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اسرائیل

Policy Analysis on اسرائیل

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Brief Analysis
With Gantz Out, Can Netanyahu Resist the Far Right’s Pull?
U.S. officials are wary of Israel’s expanding political minefield and prefer to avoid direct intervention on domestically sensitive issues, but the policy implications of Gantz’s resignation—particularly the strengthening of the far right—will make it difficult to avoid weighing in.
۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Makovsky
Jordanian flag
Articles & Testimony
Iran Targets Jordan: The Kingdom Joins the Theocracy’s List of Enemies
Tehran and its proxies have been doing everything they can to destabilize Jordan during the Gaza war, from inciting protests and increasing drug and weapons smuggling to escalating armed threats from Iraq.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Schenker
Thumbnail image of Google Map depicting Israeli and Hezbollah strikes across the Israel-Lebanon border since October 7, 2023
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Mapping Clashes Along the Israel-Lebanon Border
A regularly updated visual tracker of northern border attacks by Hezbollah, the IDF, and Palestinian groups during the Hamas-Israel war.
۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Ana Estrada Hamm
  • Miller Greene
  • Audrey Kost
  • Elizabeth Surman
Brief Analysis
Improving an Overlooked Aspect of the Gaza Ceasefire Proposal
As laid out in President Biden’s speech, the initial terms of the proposed deal include a disturbing imbalance in who guarantees that Hamas and Israel fulfill their commitments under the agreement—a problem that should be fixed now rather than later.
۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Photo of Palestinian workers awaiting entry into Israel from Gaza.
Brief Analysis
West Bank Economics Are Key to Stabilizing the Palestinian Authority—or Forcing Its Collapse
If implemented in full, Israel’s latest tax, banking, and victim-compensation measures could bring the West Bank’s two decades of relative stability crashing down—along with any plans to have the PA play a postwar role in Gaza.
۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
Marshall Islands–flagged bulk carrier Laax (IMO 9512355), which was attacked in the southern Red Sea on May 28, 2024. photo obtained via the X/Twitter account of French forces stationed in the UAE and deployed in the Indian Ocean, https://x.com/FFEAU_ALINDIEN/status/1795837694960189920.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Behind Houthi Attacks on Ships Operated by Greece-Based Companies
Links to Israel-linked companies, especially in light of the Rafah invasion, are again the culprit.
۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Noam Raydan
  • Farzin Nadimi
◆ Maritime Spotlight
Egyptian and Israeli flags along the Sinai border
Brief Analysis
The Gaza War Is Eroding Egypt-Israel Relations
Their longstanding peace treaty may be safe, but the growing tensions threaten to unwind years of progress and distract Egypt from its most important goal—securing a ceasefire with Hamas.
۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Schenker
A view of a Palestinian neighborhood reduced to rubble in Gaza - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Here’s the Real Problem with the U.N.’s Revised Gaza Death Toll
The adjusted numbers reflect the many challenges of counting deaths in a chaotic urban conflict.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Gabriel Epstein
Destruction from the Israeli strike on Hamas targets at the Jabalia refugee camp, Gaza.
Articles & Testimony
The Dangers of an Ungovernable Gaza
As the conditions for long-term lawlessness and violence begin to take root, a former Pentagon official details the urgent steps Washington and its partners should take to prepare for the postwar “golden hour.”
۲۰ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Dana Stroul
Then Vice President Joe Biden meets with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu in 2010 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Some Big Decisions: What It Will Take to Repair Israel-US Ties
The two allies are unlikely to agree on everything, but they need to iron out their differences given how much is at stake.
۱۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Makovsky
Nasrallah Ashura speech
Brief Analysis
How Israel’s Rafah Campaign Might Shape Hezbollah’s Operations
The U.S.-Israel rift over how to handle southern Gaza could embolden the Lebanese group to further accelerate its already heightened tempo of operations, though drawing clear deterrent lines could help limit the escalation.
۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
IRI drone
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Anti-Israel Surge by Iraqi Militants: Metrics and Trends
Although relatively few drones or missiles seem to make it to Israel, launches are steadily increasing, potentially inviting overt retaliation inside Iraq.
۱۵ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
UNIFIL peacekeepers in Lebanon in front of a poster depicting Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
An Israel-Lebanon Agreement May Not Be Worth the Costs
The lesson from past deals involving Hezbollah is clear: the group will try to pocket any U.S. concessions on the presidency and other issues while simply jettisoning whatever border commitments it may make in return.
۱۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Schenker
تحلیل کوتاه
منطقه‌ فلسطینی‌نشین زیر سایه بحران ایران و اسراییل
بحران کنونی فرصتی استثنایی در اختیار ایالات متحده آمریکا، اسراییل و شریکان آنها قرار داده تا ائتلافی بین‌المللی بر ضد ایران تشکیل دهند و به فلسطینی‌ها نشان دهند که اردوگاه "مقاومت" تنها راه آنها برای آینده نیست.
۱۳ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • نئومی نیومن
  • دوورا مارگولین
◆ Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
President Ronald Reagan meets with Senator Joe Biden at the White House in 1987 - source: Ronald Reagan Presidential Library
Articles & Testimony
On Israel, Biden Is No Reagan
Skewed historical comparisons do not change the fact that the president’s arms restrictions will put Israel in greater danger.
۱۰ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Singh
Turkish
Brief Analysis
Will Turkey Cut Ties with Israel?
Although the latest rift is more than rhetorical, Ankara is unlikely to sever ties completely—unless Israel blocks it from participating in Gaza’s reconstruction.
۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Iron Dome rockets intercepting Hamas missiles over Tel Aviv
Brief Analysis
How Sustainable Are Defense and Deterrence Methods in Light of Iran’s Attack?
Despite the success of the allied response on April 13, Iran’s attack calls into question the sustainability of the current approach, suggesting that policymakers should rethink military procurement, force posture, and deterrence in the Middle East.
۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Andrew G. Clemmensen
◆ Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
Photo of Muslim World League secretary-general Mohammad Al-Issa visiting Auschwitz
Articles & Testimony
A Yom Hashoah Message, from Disgust to Hope
The Gaza war has inspired prominent Arab media outlets and statesmen to come up with vile new forms of Holocaust denialism, but other voices offer a glimmer of hope.
۵ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Take-off of claimed Saraya al-Ashtar April 27, 2024 drone attack on Israel
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Is Kataib Hezbollah Behind Saraya al-Ashtar's Claimed Attack on Israel?
The connection between exiled Bahraini terrorists and Iraq's Kataib Hezbollah is demonstrably strong and probably explains the strange incident.
۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Amir al-Kaabi
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Islamic Resistance in Iraq 200-day attack metrics, April 25, 2024
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Islamic Resistance in Iraq Collates a 200-Day Attack Scoreboard
The infographic deviates from recorded IRI claims in important ways, seemingly exaggerating strikes on Israel while downplaying strikes on Syria and Jordan.
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight

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