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اسرائیل

Policy Analysis on اسرائیل

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The Mari-B and Tamar gas platforms in the Mediterranean Sea off the coast of Israel - source: The Washington Institute
Brief Analysis
New Gas Licenses Go Ahead on the Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border
Hezbollah’s recent military defeat and the 2022 Israel-Lebanon maritime agreement mediated by Washington have enabled exploration in a distant corner of Israel’s exclusive economic zone.
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Map of nothern Israel and Israel's borders with Lebanon, Syria, and Jordan. Source: Wikimedia Commons
Brief Analysis
Avoiding an Israel-Syria Showdown (Part 2): An Opening for New Negotiations
Direct Israeli dialogue with Syria’s transitional government could produce a new framework for bilateral relations—one that includes effectively ending the perpetual state of belligerency, accepting Israel’s special relationship with the Druze, agreeing on spheres of coordination throughout the south, and cooperating against Iran and Hezbollah’s comeback attempts in Syria and Lebanon.
۲۱ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Avoiding an Israel-Syria Showdown (Part 1): The Risks of “Occupation”
Israel’s cross-border incursion is understandable but may have gone too far, raising the need for U.S. intercession on merging Syria’s disparate forces, easing sanctions, deconflicting with Turkey, and other urgent stabilization tasks.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Schenker
A United Nations peacepeeker scans the terrain in southern Lebanon - source: Untied Nations
Brief Analysis
Moving Past “Wait and See” in South Lebanon: The U.S.-French Role
The announcement of "working groups" between Israel and Lebanon comes at a key juncture in the ceasefire, and complementary action by the United States and France can facilitate full implementation.
۱۸ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Souhire Medini
Photo showing Gaza residents spinning sparklers at the start of Ramadan, March 2025.
Video
Brief Analysis
Gaza Phase 2: Sorting Out the Political and Security Scenarios
What do Palestinians, Israelis, and external players see as the best option for Gaza and its people now that the first phase of the ceasefire is complete?
۱۴ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
  • Harel Chorev
  • Tamar Hermann
  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • David Schenker
U.S. and Israeli flags
Brief Analysis
Short-Lived U.S.-Hamas Talks Are a Cautionary Tale for Washington and Jerusalem
To maintain pressure on Hamas and preserve U.S. deterrence at a sensitive point in Gaza discussions, the Trump administration needs to lock in its diplomatic coordination and public messaging with Israel.
۱۱ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Makovsky
An F35A fighter on a night-training mission at dusk
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Attacking Iran's Nuclear Program:
The Complex Calculus of Preventive Action
Should a negotiated deal prove elusive, policymakers will need to consider how to define a successful strike, Iran’s potential responses, and whether a strategy of prevention can be sustained.
۱۱ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Gaza: From Red to Blue
A “four-zone” reconstruction plan could win Arab, Israeli, and U.S. support while avoiding mass relocations out of Gaza.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Assaf Orion
A Palestinian man in Gaza releases pigeons
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel Should Keep Open the Possibility of Palestinian Statehood
The supposed “status quo” that some commentators are pushing Israel to embrace is so disfigured and hollowed out that it no longer meets the definition of the phrase.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Syrian men attempt to repair electrical lines damaged by forces loyal to the Assad regime in 2013 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Does Syria’s Electricity Crisis Have an Israeli Solution?
Whether authorities call it “Egyptian gas” or “Jordanian gas,” the simple fact is that Israeli offshore supplies could help with Syria’s major power shortage if the necessary arrangements are ironed out.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Photo of Shia women returning to their war-damaged village in south Lebanon.
Video
Brief Analysis
Next Steps in Lebanon: From Ceasefire Extensions to Government Formation
Former military officials and experts from Lebanon and Israel discuss how Beirut’s unsettled political dynamics might affect ongoing implementation of the ceasefire and future peacebuilding efforts.
۱۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Fadi Daoud
  • Makram Rabah
  • Efraim Defrin
  • Assaf Orion
Protesters in New York City demand the release of U.S. citizens held hostage by Hamas in Gaza - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Trump Gives a Green Light to Resume Fighting in Gaza—But Does Netanyahu Want to Do It Now?
A hostage ultimatum from Washington seemed to provide Netanyahu with the freedom of action he wanted, but Israeli domestic realities may not allow him to break the ceasefire just yet.
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
How Trump, Arab Leaders, and Israel Can Close the Gaps on Gaza
Despite its risks for regional stability and U.S. policy, the president’s Gaza proposal has put this issue at the top of the priority list.
۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Dana Stroul
A view of a Palestinian neighborhood reduced to rubble in Gaza - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Criticizing Trump Isn’t Enough. Arab Leaders Need a Counterproposal
Moving forward with an alternative Gaza plan may not be the president’s first choice, but he could at least take credit for getting Arab states to take action.
۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Video
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu Visits Washington: Implications for Regional Diplomacy and Security
Israeli and U.S. experts discuss the agenda for the prime minister’s latest U.S. trip and the regional fallout from President Trump’s highly controversial ideas on “relocating” Gaza’s population.
۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Mira Resnick
  • Amos Harel
  • David Makovsky
Aerial view of the site of an Israeli-Hamas prisoner-hostage swap in Gaza in January 2025 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Path to a Transformed Middle East: How to Keep the Peace in Gaza While Countering Iran
Very close allied coordination will be needed to strike the right balance between pursuing viable nuclear diplomacy and giving Israel the weapons and support it needs to use force against Iran if necessary.
۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
From October 7 to the Gaza Ceasefire: A Changed Middle East Awaits the Trump Administration
Important strategic changes abound in the region, but policymakers should take care not to underestimate the persistence of old challenges or the potential emergence of new threats.
۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Neomi Neumann
Cover for Iran Transition Note, with images of a pen with U.S. flag, a B-52 bomber, nuclear symbols, and Iranian flag + map.
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Policy Steps to Prevent a Nuclear Iran
Rather than choosing between diplomacy and military action, the Trump administration should think of these options as mutually supportive, sequencing its actions in hopes of achieving the best and least costly outcome.
۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Michael Singh
◆ Transition Notes 2025
Map released as part of the November 2024 Israel-Lebanon ceasefire.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
So Far So Good? The Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Is Largely Holding
The agreement’s implementation phase is going surprisingly well and has been extended, but maintaining the ceasefire will require officials to resolve the issues in dispute and address Hezbollah’s threats.
۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Assaf Orion
A damaged UNRWA building in Gaza City.
Brief Analysis
Brinkmanship Over Israel’s Ban on UNRWA
Rather than using the months since the passage of new laws as an opportunity to agree on a more gradual implementation plan and identify alternatives to the controversial relief agency, the parties have simply dug in their heels.
۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Makovsky

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