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ترکیه

Policy Analysis on ترکیه

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Articles & Testimony
Why Erdogan Wants to Get Along with Trump
The Turkish leader knows that if he cannot restore economic growth at home or stay just out of Russia’s permanent orbit, his political troubles will only increase.
۱۴ نوامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Erdogan in Washington: Setting the Agenda for a Pivotal Visit
The Trump administration needs to treat the meeting as a chance to frankly address congressional concerns and defuse a host of hot-button issues, from Syria policy to F-35 production.
۷ نوامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Conor Hiney
  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Why Turkey Is Raising the Stakes in the East Mediterranean
Ankara is willing to take provocative and risky steps around Cyprus because it views the island’s gas resources and strategic location as crucial to countering rivals and securing interests in the neighborhood.
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The U.S.: Between Being the World’s Policeman and Trusting Regional Partners
Despite long-documented public weariness with Middle East conflicts, Trump’s successor could well recognize the value of reestablishing American credibility in the region.
۲۸ اکتبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Dennis Ross
‘Erdogan the Good’ or ‘Erdogan the Bad’?
An in-depth conversation on Washington's misguided tendency to view Turkey through binary lenses based entirely on Erdogan’s policies, forgetting the country’s strong political diversity.
۲۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Sochi Summit: Potential Outcomes and Implications
As Washington pushes Erdogan to act responsibly in northeast Syria, the Turkish leader may face contrary pressures from Russia and Iran, who are keeping forces on the ground to back up whatever demands are made at this week’s summit and beyond.
۲۱ اکتبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Soner Cagaptay
مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها
نامه ترامپ به اردوغان؛ آمریکا در تقلا برای همگامی با آنکارا
اردوغان با قطع همکاری آمریکا و یگان‌های مدافع خلق کُرد از طریق برانگیختن پوتین و ترامپ علیه یکدیگر به هدف اصلی‌اش دست یافت، اما ایران و روسیه اجازه نمی‌دهند که او از سوریه بدون لطمه دیدن خارج شود.
۱۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • سونر چغاپتای
تحلیل کوتاه
ورود ترکیه به خاک سوریه: عامل آن چه بود و بعد چه می‌شود؟
دولت ترامپ در حال حاضر به شکل غیرمستقیم از الزامات سیاست آنکارا حمایت می‌کند، اما این حمایت تاریخ انقضای کوتاهی دارد و اگر عملیات ترکیه به بیراهه رود، حتی کوتاه‌تر خواهد شد.
۱۱ اکتبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • سونر چغاپتای
Turkey’s Syria Offensive Puts Alliance with U.S. Near Breaking Point
Erdogan is relying on his personal relationship with President Trump to stave off congressional anger, but bilateral ties cannot function if civilian and military agencies lack faith in each other.
۹ اکتبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Troop Withdrawal Gives Turkey Access to Syria—and ISIS Space to Rebuild
If the president insists on removing U.S. forces before conditions on the ground are sufficiently stable, he will clear the way for a terrorist resurgence.
۸ اکتبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Dana Stroul
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
Erdogan's Empire: The Evolution of Turkish Foreign Policy
A lively discussion of how Ottoman history, pro-Western precedent, and sharp regional setbacks have shaped the Turkish leader's shifting approach to foreign affairs and relations with Washington.
۲۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Amanda Sloat
  • Molly Montgomery
  • Tomasz Hoskins
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Reconfigured Ties with the ‘Strategic West’
Despite diluting certain commonalities with Europe and Washington over the past decade, Ankara still relies on the West in the trade, investment, and security realms.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Another Conference on Libya? Enforce the Arms Embargo Instead
Without a concerted international effort to ground UAVs and halt the flow of weapons, the UN will have minimal leverage to restart the country's long-stalled political transition.
۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Will Turkey and China Become Friends?
Despite their limited economic relations and ongoing differences over the Uyghur issue, the two countries could grow closer if Western partners fail to provide the financial boost Turkey needs so badly.
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Rising Wave of Social Protests
This year’s Istanbul election and last year’s move to a presidential system have unified and galvanized the opposition, raising questions about Erdogan’s next move.
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
U.S. Safe Zone Deal Can Help Turkey Come to Terms with the PKK and YPG
Checking the YPG’s ascendance in Syria could bring the PKK back to the negotiating table, ultimately making Turkey more amenable to Kurdish enclaves across the border.
۷ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Growing Anti-Syrian Sentiment in Turkey
Refugees are being blamed for the country’s economic and social troubles, resulting in online hate speech, vigilante violence, and further pressure on the government to change the status quo in north Syria.
۵ اوت ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Energy Confrontation with Cyprus
While much of the world is focused on the Strait of Hormuz, tensions are also mounting rapidly in the East Mediterranean.
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Why the U.S. Ejected Turkey from F-35 Fighter Jet Program, and Why the Turbulence Will Only Grow
The future of the bilateral relationship looks bleak after years of strategic divergence on crises in Iraq and Syria.
۲۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Erbil Shooting: Implications for U.S.-Turkish Policy
If the PKK is confirmed as the perpetrator, Ankara will almost surely launch retaliation in Iraq or Syria, and Washington will have little choice but to stand aside.
۱۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay

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