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Tunisian citizens who fled the Russian invasion of Ukraine arrive in Tunis - Source: Reuters

Middle East Students Stranded in Ukraine

Regional governments are scrambling to repatriate thousands of their trapped citizens, and the United States could play a key role in facilitating their safe return.

۹ مارس ۲۰۲۲

Carol Silber
Calvin Wilder

Turkish President Erdogan meets Ukrainian President Zelenskiy in Kyiv - source: Reuters

مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها

بحران اوکراین: ملاقات شرق و غرب؟

در فرضیه، ایران، ترکیه، کشورهای حوزه خلیج فارس و دیگر بازیگران منطقه‌ انواعی از اهرم‌های بالقوه برای تاثیرگذاری بر سیاست مسکو دارند، اما بررسی دقیق مسئله نشان می‌دهد که بیشتر این اهرم‌ها در بهترین حالت کاربرد محدودی دارند.

۷ مارس ۲۰۲۲

دیوید پولاک

Israel Juggles Diplomacy with Turkey, Cyprus, and Greece

A high-level visit to Athens was notionally about climate issues, but it also took advantage of a potential shift in regional politics, including with Turkey.

۱ مارس ۲۰۲۲

Simon Henderson

A Ukrainian flag flies at a naval base in Crimea in 2014 - source: Reuters

تحلیل کوتاه

واکنش کشورهای خاورمیانه به بحران اوکراین

تاکنون، اظهارات رسمی از سوی کشورهای منطقه متفاوت بوده: از مخالفت با اقدامات روسیه گرفته تا برخورد با آن به عنوان دنباله طبیعی سیاست موجود.

۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۲

مارگارت دین
هانا لابو
کارول سیلبر

Flames emerge from flare stacks at Nahr Bin Umar oil field, north of Basra, Iraq - source: Reuters

The Death of Oil Federalism? Implications of a New Iraqi Court Ruling

The legal decision and its political fallout are threatening some of the country’s key interests, including its aspirations toward federalism, its relations with Turkey, and its ability to attract sorely needed international investment.

۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۲

Bilal Wahab

Articles & Testimony

The Third Age of Erdogan’s Foreign Policy

Turkey has been forced to adopt a new approach abroad, presenting a valuable opportunity that the United States and Europe need to seize quickly.

۱۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۲

Rich Outzen
Soner Cagaptay

Battle for al-Sinaa Prison: The Enduring Islamic State Threat in Syria

The military response to a major prison attack exhibited the strength of the U.S.-SDF partnership, but it also highlighted ongoing counterterrorism shortcomings.

۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۲

Ido Levy

Reality Check for Israel’s Natural Gas Plans

Washington has logical reasons to step away from an undersea pipeline project in the East Mediterranean, though the decision effectively kills Israel’s improbable dream of becoming a significant gas supplier to Europe.

۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۲

Simon Henderson

Sailors aboard a Turkish Naval Forces warship - source: Reuters

Will Turkey Help Washington If Russia Invades Ukraine?

Fears of Russian military power may keep Ankara out of the spotlight, but its Black Sea calculations and Crimean Tatar sympathies indicate a willingness to assist behind the scenes if necessary.

۲۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۲

Soner Cagaptay

Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Erdogan’s End Game: Will He Undermine Turkish Democracy to Stay in Power?

The president is very unlikely to win the next election fair and square, so he may well resort to undermining the vote, disregarding the result, or even fomenting a January 6-like insurrection.

۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۲

Soner Cagaptay

A Turkish soldier stands guard at a rally. Image source: Reuters

Turkey vs. the YPG: What’s Next?

As Ankara and Moscow mull a potential exchange of Syria border incursions for Idlib concessions, Erdogan risks endangering his intertwined goals of improving Turkey’s economy and minimizing tensions with Washington.

۱۶ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱

Soner Cagaptay

Articles & Testimony

Helping Syria’s Kurds Weigh Their Options

By reassuring its Kurdish allies via temporary diplomatic, military, and economic measures, Washington can gain greater leverage over Russia and other players at acceptably low risk and cost.

۱۵ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱

David Pollock

Turkey’s F-16 Request May Not Stave Off the Inevitable

Washington and Ankara have significant diplomatic and security incentives for considering the deal, while rejecting it outright would likely hasten Erdogan’s drift into Putin’s orbit.

۲۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱

Grant Rumley
Soner Cagaptay

Muslim Brotherhood supporters in Egypt display the victory and Rabaa signs at a protest

The Muslim Brotherhood Sees Cairo’s Flirtation with Biden as an Opportunity

Many Brotherhood members seem eager to exploit recent U.S.-Egyptian gestures on human rights, but there is little likelihood that the Sisi government will reconcile with the fractured, unpopular Islamist group.

۲۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱

Haisam Hassanein

Rouhani, Putin, Erdogan

گزارش‌های تفصیلی

دیپلماسی مثلث‌ها:

تحلیل استراتژی روسیه در سوریه

مسکو بارها بازیگران سوریه را در مقابل هم به بازی گرفته تا منافع خود را تامین کند و رژیم اسد را در قدرت نگهدارد.

۱۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۱

آنا بورشچفسکایا
اندرو جی. تابلر

Articles & Testimony

U.S. Policy on the Mediterranean and the Role of PMCs

Although Biden may not see Russia as his top priority, Moscow’s proxy military activities in the Mediterranean are directly aimed at diluting Washington’s leverage in the Middle East, Africa, and Europe.

۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۱

Anna Borshchevskaya

HDP protests, Turkey

Articles & Testimony

What's Happening with the HDP?

Tracking Legislators in Turkey's Liberal, Pro-Kurdish Party

Erdogan knows that a flourishing opposition could mean his political demise.

۲۶ اوت ۲۰۲۱

Soner Cagaptay
Umut Can Fidan
Nibras Khudaida

Turkish National Security Council

In-Depth Reports

Deals, Drones, and National Will:

The New Era in Turkish Power Projection

Turkey has recently pushed the PKK fight from its own turf and blunted challenges in northern Syria, Azerbaijan, Libya, and the Gulf, all while strengthening its defense export sector.

۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱

Rich Outzen

Articles & Testimony

When Humanitarian Aid Becomes a Bargaining Chip

Cross-border access into Syria has become a stress test for Putin and Biden’s nascent relationship, so what exactly will it take for their governments to reach a durable agreement?

۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱

Jomana Qaddour

Accidental Allies cover

In-Depth Reports

Accidental Allies:

The US–Syrian Democratic Forces Partnership Against the Islamic State

To some, America's partnership with the SDF exemplified an economy-of-force effort that minimized U.S. casualties and wrested control of northeast Syria from the Islamic State. To others, it was a cautionary tale about a U.S. military hoodwinked into working with a terrorist group.

۲۲ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

Michael Knights
Wladimir van Wilgenburg

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