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شمال آفریقا

Policy Analysis on شمال آفریقا

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تحلیل کوتاه
قطعنامه سازمان ملل در محکومیت الحاق مناطقی از اوکراین به روسیه: رأی کشورهای خاورمیانه چه بود؟
بیشتر کشورهای منطقه از این اقدام حمایت کردند؛ با یک رأی منفی، دو تغییر مهم از زمان قطعنامه ماه مارس، و چندین بیانیه محکم در حمایت از تمامیت ارضی.
۸ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
A cargo ship carrying Ukrainian grain passes through the Bosphorus - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
MENA Countries Stand to Lose the Most If the Ukraine Grain Initiative Falters
Russia will continue using the Black Sea corridors as leverage, so Western countries and their partners should prepare alternative routes and other assistance as counter-leverage.
۸ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Sabina Henneberg
Map of U.S. Army operations in Operation Torch, 1942 - source: U.S. Army
Articles & Testimony
From Torch to Tunis to El Alamein: Events 80 Years Ago Made the Modern Middle East
The second week of November 1942 has much to tell us about the region’s geopolitical centrality, its enduring political currents, and its role in the future of the Jewish people—not to mention the evolution of American foreign policy.
۶ نوامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Robert Satloff
US Army soldiers meet local civilians in Morocco during Operation Torch in November 1942 - source: U.S. Army
Video
Brief Analysis
From Torch to Tunis to El Alamein: The Most Important Forgotten Week in Modern Middle East History
Watch an expert conversation on the pivotal week in WWII whose events continue to shape the modern Middle East.
November 7, 2022
◆
  • Mehnaz Afridi
  • Aomar Boum
  • Martin Cüppers
  • Haim Saadoun
Brief Analysis
What to Expect (or Not) from the Arab League Summit
Participants will probably issue potent-sounding statements on Iran, oil production, and other key issues, but their rhetoric is unlikely to result in any substantive policy shifts or internal dispute resolution.
۲۴ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • David Schenker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Will Haftar’s Heir Be an Ally of the Russians or the Americans?
As Libya's political dynamics continue to change, Washington's next moves are more important than ever.
۲۱ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Khalil El Hasse
Currency exchange prices on display
Maps & Graphics
تحلیل کوتاه
تخصیص حق برداشت ویژه در خاورمیانه: کمک می‌کند، اما معجزه نمی‌کند
دولت‌های متعددی از اعتبار غیرمنتظره تخصیصی صندوق بین‌المللی پول در سال گذشته استفاده خوبی کردند، اما جنگ اوکراین، بدهکاری‌های جاری، و دیگر مسائل اقتصادی یادآور این است که منطقه نمی‌تواند تا ابد از اصلاحات عمیق‌تر طفره برود.
۱۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • جونا شراک
Articles & Testimony
Ten Years After Benghazi: Getting Past Groundhog Day
Of all the conflict-riven countries in the Middle East, Libya still has the greatest potential for resolution in a way that could benefit the wider region, Europe, and the United States.
October-November 2022
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Fair-Observer-Arab-NATO-Middle-East-politics-Iran-news-GCC-news
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Middle East NATO: From Fiction to Fact
In light of increased regional tensions, the idea of a Middle East NATO is becoming more and more realistic, this time with the possibility of Israeli-Arab cooperation.
۱۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Mohamed Chtatou
A Western Sahara flag flying in the Sahara - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Will the Western Sahara Crisis Tear the Maghreb Apart?
Although the threat of a more serious armed conflict is not acute, the region's worsening diplomatic strife could have far-reaching economic consequences.
۱۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Algeria’s Foreign Policy: Facing a Crossroads
The ongoing war in Ukraine, with its recrystallization of allegiances, can provide Algeria the opportunity to return from a shift towards Russia and China back to a more balanced relationship with great powers.
۹ اوت ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Vasilis Petropoulos
President Kais Saied of Tunisia casts a vote in the July 2022 constitutional referendum.
Brief Analysis
How to Engage with Tunisia’s New Constitutional Republic
Although anti-democratic measures continue to mount, now is not the time for cutting assistance, but rather for bolstering the country’s imperiled private sector, robust civil society, and compromised judiciary.
۸ اوت ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
Tunisia timeline thumbnail image
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Timeline of Tunisia's Constitutional Crisis and the U.S. Response
An infographic illustrating President Saied's controversial political moves since summer 2021 and the steps U.S. officials have taken to discourage authoritarian backsliding.
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Ben Fishman
  • Kyle Robertson
Articles & Testimony
Libya Could Make or Break Biden’s Middle East Oil Diplomacy
Increased Saudi production will mean little if Libyan production remains unreliable, so it's time to play hardball with Haftar.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Ben Fishman
A Panamanian-flagged oil tanker in the Persian Gulf - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Reflagging Ships Could Be the Answer to Russia's Blockade of Black Sea Ports
Such an option could limit the risk of escalation, pressure Russia, and help avert a humanitarian crisis in the Middle East.
۲ ژوئن ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Garrett I. Campbell
Articles & Testimony
The Impact of Russia’s Ukraine Invasion in the Middle East and North Africa
A former Pentagon advisor testifies on how the war might affect Moscow's ability to sell arms to MENA governments and project power in the region.
۱۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Grant Rumley
A supporter of Tunisia's Islamist Ennahda Party protests against the Tunisian president's 2022 coup - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Promoting Stability and Reform in Tunisia
A frozen democratic transition and widening economic uncertainty mark the ongoing national crisis, so Washington will need to make careful use of sticks and carrots in supporting open governance.
۳ مهٔ ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
Brief Analysis
French-Turkish Relations: Foes to Friends?
The Ukraine war has greatly boosted their diplomatic and military cooperation, but lingering friction over Syria, Libya, and Mediterranean issues will need to be handled carefully if this rapprochement is to endure.
۲۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Pierre Morcos
  • Soner Cagaptay
Israeli and Arab foreign ministers, along with U.S. Secretary of State Blinken, at the Negev Summit - source: Reuters
مقاله‌ها و دیدگاه‌ها
نقش منطقه‌ای جدید اسرائیل همزمان با نشانه‌های خروج واشنگتن از خاورمیانه
کشورهای عرب با شرکت در نشست نقب تایید خود را از نقش اسرائیل چه به عنوان یک قدرت محلی و چه به عنوان یک واسطه یگانه با ایالات متحده آمریکا نشان می‌دهند.
۱۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • دیوید ماکوفسکی
Brief Analysis
Ukraine Invasion Ushers in Algeria’s Return
Although the wave of Western overtures is understandable, Algeria is unlikely to make up for Europe’s energy supply gaps or take other actions that give the appearance of choosing sides.
۲۸ مارس ۲۰۲۲
◆
  • Geoff Porter

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