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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

شمال آفریقا

Policy Analysis on شمال آفریقا

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Articles & Testimony
Perpetual Deadlock Is Limiting Libya’s Potential
Oil is flowing and warring factions are not actively warring, but this illusion of stability can disappear at any time unless further steps are taken to produce a legitimate government.
Jun 17, 2023
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Geopolitics and the Second Negev Summit
After months of delay, U.S. and Israeli government officials reportedly suggested that the second Negev Summit will proceed on June 25.
۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Nashat Shawamreh
Tunisian police guard the site of a terrorist attack - soucre: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
All Quiet on the North African Jihadi Front
Dwindling terrorist activity in the region stands in sharp contrast to sub-Saharan Africa, but changing local dynamics and other factors could revive the threat quickly.
۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
US Foreign Policy in Tunisia: Dilemmas and Prospects
By standing up for human rights and taking concrete steps to support a receptive Tunisian public, Washington can help overcome its reputation for putting security and economic interests ahead of democratic ideals.
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
A bread seller in Cairo walks past a sign promoting President Sisi - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Bread in Egypt: Politics, Social Unrest, and State Stability
The global rise in wheat prices since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has renewed questions about Egypt’s bread subsidies and the government’s broader legitimacy.
۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Aaron Rock-Singer
Illustration of the Algerian and Russian flags
Brief Analysis
Algeria-Russia Relations After the Ukraine Invasion
The North African country has maintained a close rapport with its traditional security partner, but a perpetual desire for balance and autonomy could offer opportunities for Western countries, including the United States.
۱۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Grant Rumley
  • Erik Yavorsky
Tunisia's King Mohammed VI addresses the Tunisian parliament
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia Can “Bounce Back” from Authoritarianism with Proper Support
Other countries that have restored democratic norms in recent years have seen progress in five distinct areas.
۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Sarah Yerkes
Maps & Graphics
تحلیل کوتاه
حقوق سیاسی و آزادی‌های مدنی در خاورمیانه: روندها از سال ۲۰۱۰، بر اساس داده‌های خانه آزادی
جدیدترین گزارش «خانه آزادی» حاکی از سیر قهقرایی در سال گذشته و از زمان بهار عربی است، همراه با افول چشمگیر حقوق سیاسی و مدنی در چند کشور و حاوی هشدارهایی درباره افول بیشتر در سال آتی.
۱۳ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • کامیله یابلونسکی
A bread seller in Cairo walks past a sign promoting President Sisi - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Is Egypt Headed Toward Collapse?
The country has been described as “too big to fail,” but further deterioration is possible amid mounting debt, major inflation, and delayed military divestment.
۵ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
How the United States Can—and Should—Continue to Support Tunisia
Washington may be tempted to give up after the country’s democratic backsliding; instead, it should take targeted, supportive actions that have worked in other cases.
۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Sarah Yerkes
A Sudanese protester against military rule
Brief Analysis
The Fighting in Sudan Threatens Peace Efforts with Israel
Even if another civil war is averted, the delay in signing a peace agreement has provided room for the rise of political factions that oppose further relations with Israel.
۲۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Photo of Israelis in Tel Aviv protesting proposed judiciary changes, February 2023.
تحلیل کوتاه
واکنش‌های منطقه‌ای به اعتراضات در اسرائیل
بسیاری از رسانه‌های خاورمیانه از بحران در اسرائیل برای تقویت لحن آتش‌افروزانه خود استفاده کردند، ولی برخی تحلیل‌های متفاوت از دریچهٔ اصول دموکراتیک و صلح اعراب-اسرائیل هم مطرح شده است.
۱۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • فرانسیس مک‌دونو
Brief Analysis
China’s Presence in Tunisia: How Far Has It Come, and Where Is It Headed?
Tunisia’s structural roadblocks, public skepticism, and ongoing domestic crises have combined to limit its relationship with China, leaving Beijing unable to jumpstart its typical large-scale projects and investments.
۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Sabina Henneberg
Egypt market
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egyptians Face a Difficult Holy Month This Ramadan as Food Prices Skyrocket
Runaway inflation, currency devaluation, and unprecedented foreign debt could make this holiday the most challenging one in years, especially for low-income households.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Mohamed Abdelaziz
Articles & Testimony
Neglect for Human Rights Helped Produce the Crisis in Tunisia
Rampant corruption and economic instability facilitated Saied’s takeover, but Western governments need to recognize that these ills stem from deeper human rights problems such as unchecked police brutality, erosion of freedoms, and lack of respect for due process.
۱۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
Articles & Testimony
Four Possible Scenarios for Tunisia’s Political Crisis
As waves of protest rock the country following mass arrests of political opponents, what will happen next?
۱۴ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Karim Mezran
  • Sabina Henneberg
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Saied’s Tunisia Is Politicizing Counterterrorism Again
His government is using CT tools to go after the political opposition, but the ongoing lull in jihadist activity may give Washington some breathing room to press him on these issues.
۹ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Changing Egyptian-Turkish Dynamics May Create Opportunities for Libya
Turkey’s tragic earthquake and Egypt’s economic crisis may lead both governments to ease their conflicts over Libya.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Negev Forum
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Morocco, Israel, and the Future of the Negev Forum
Morocco is preparing to host the upcoming Negev Forum summit, an opportunity for the Kingdom to expand economic ties and bridge regional divides.
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Mohamed Chtatou
Burns Visit Libya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Takeaways from William Burns’ Surprise Visit to Libya
Burns met with both Dbeibeh and Haftar, likely to discuss key U.S. concerns such as the Lockerbie case, energy security, and terrorism.
۱۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
  • Mohamed Eljarh

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