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11178
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Articles & Testimony
Libya Floods: As Families Search for Loved Ones, Politicians Trade Blame
Derna’s future and Libya’s broader political fate will be determined by the race for recovery and the battle of narratives over who is responsible for the tragedy.
Sep 14, 2023
◆
Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Gulf De-escalation and Hedging in the Shadow of US Retrenchment
Although any decrease in tensions is welcome, Washington should be concerned that regional rapprochement is being driven by diminished confidence in the United States.
Sep 12, 2023
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Is a New Israel-Hezbollah War Looming?
After many years serving as Iran’s mercenaries in regional wars, Hezbollah leaders now feel compelled to resume their aggressive approach to Israel.
Sep 9, 2023
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Uncertain State of Deterrence in the Persian Gulf
Despite conducting military drills and maintaining a defiant tone, Iran has avoided further ship seizures, but its demonstrated willingness to take assertive action in this zone of “contested deterrence” remains intact.
Sep 13, 2023
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Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Pressure Campaign on Iranian Kurds Continues
Iran has stepped up pressure on Baghdad and Erbil to disarm and relocate Iranian Kurdish opposition parties in the Kurdistan Region amidst ongoing disputes between Erbil and Baghdad over budget and oil revenues.
Sep 13, 2023
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Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Video
Brief Analysis
Oslo at 30: Looking Back and Ahead
A panel of former Israeli, Palestinian, and U.S. officials discuss the legacy and future of the Oslo Accords as a framework for achieving Israeli-Palestinian peace.
Sep 12, 2023
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Neomi Neumann
Ghaith al-Omari
Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
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Oslo at 30
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Abbas and the Khazar Claim: Separating Myth from Fact
The lesson of this current episode with Abbas should be that more research is called for to throw light on this half-forgotten chapter of history to refute such claims. Only more accurate information can help remove the Khazars from the shadows of mystery and antisemitism and place them instead in the correct historical context.
Sep 12, 2023
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Ehud Yaari
Video
Brief Analysis
Woman, Life, Freedom: Iran’s Mass Protest Movement, One Year On
A Conversation with Masih Alinejad
A leading activist discusses the protests and the international response on the anniversary of the movement’s outbreak.
Sep 12, 2023
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Masih Alinejad
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Coordination Framework's Four-Way Split in Provincial Elections (Part 2): Division Over Diyala?
Diyala is the one area where the CF's main militia politicians are competing, with the upstart Qais al-Khazali trying to challenge his elders Hadi al-Ameri and Faleh al-Fayyad in their tribal home province.
Sep 12, 2023
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia and Lebanon: A Love-Hate Relationship
Riyadh won’t lend a helping hand in Lebanon unless Washington takes action on fully implementing the Taif Accord, curbing Captagon smugglers, and reversing Iran and Hezbollah’s takeover of the state.
Sep 12, 2023
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Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
30 Years Later, the Oslo Vision Can Still Be Revived
Leadership dynamics make a two-state breakthrough impossible at the moment, but an Israeli-Saudi accord could help—so long as everyone honestly acknowledges what the situation would be like without Oslo.
Sep 11, 2023
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
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Oslo at 30
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
ISKP Goes Global: External Operations from Afghanistan
Two decades after the 9/11 attacks, Taliban-ruled Afghanistan is once again becoming a haven for terrorist activities abroad—but this time by a local Islamic State branch.
Sep 11, 2023
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Biden’s G20 Optimism Won’t Stave Off a Potential Oil Crisis
Because the Saudis and other oil players hold more leverage than the administration may care to admit, prices could balloon once again.
Sep 11, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Support for Mass Protest on the Rise in Gaza and the West Bank
As rival Palestinian factions clash in Lebanon’s Ain al-Hilweh camp and Hamas-backed militants capture UNRWA schools, new polls indicate that public frustration in Gaza and the West Bank has grown to the point where many would back popular protests.
Sep 11, 2023
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Catherine Cleveland
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Coordination Framework's Four-Way Split in Provincial Elections (Part 1): Overarching Trends
Badr, Asaib Ahl al-Haq, and Nouri al-Maliki are testing each other's strength in the south but mostly hanging together in the north.
Sep 11, 2023
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
US Support for Morocco Is No Mistake. Biden Should Reaffirm It.
The administration clearly dislikes the Western Sahara policy it inherited, but reversing course now would exacerbate Washington’s serious credibility deficit with the Saudis and other regional partners.
Sep 9, 2023
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David Schenker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Implications of the Second Intifada on Israeli Views of Oslo
The sense of helplessness that deepened during the course of the intifada was also accompanied by the need to find a source of the blame. In the eyes of the Israeli public, that blame was placed squarely on Palestinian leadership.
Sep 8, 2023
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Zohar Palti
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Oslo at 30
Brief Analysis
Syria’s New Protests Highlight Vulnerabilities in Assad’s Minority Base
Growing unrest in Suwayda and other traditionally loyal areas may help force Assad’s hand on longstanding local, U.S., and allied demands.
Sep 8, 2023
◆
Erik Yavorsky
Brief Analysis
Barbie in the Middle East
Some countries banned the film while others let it screen amid restrictions and criticism, illustrating the region’s widening—but still comparably narrow—spectrum of views on cultural openness.
Sep 8, 2023
◆
Anna Brown
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Rayan al-Kildani Pretends to Have a Personal Audience with the Pope
A serious Iraqi human rights abuser sank to new depths to build his credibility after being rejected by the country's Christian leadership.
Sep 8, 2023
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Yaqoub Beth-Addai
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
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