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U.S. Policy

Policy Analysis on U.S. Policy

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Brief Analysis
Strengthening the Kadhimi Government (Part 1): Protection and Security Issues
Washington expects Iraqi leaders to put their lives on the line to defend the country’s sovereignty and secure the government center, but they can’t do so without at least a little U.S. help.
Jul 13, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
  • Alex Almeida
Brief Analysis
Sunset of the Iran Arms Embargo: The Narrow Path to a Policy Compromise
Delinking the embargo from the nuclear deal could offer the best hope of reducing tensions within the P5+1 while also limiting Iran’s access to sophisticated weaponry.
Jun 29, 2020
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Testing Iraq’s Ability to Crack Down on Anti-U.S. Terrorism
After Kataib Hezbollah was caught red-handed prepping new rocket strikes, justice needs to be served, and Iraq’s government needs to be better secured.
Jun 26, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Merging Talks on Northeast Syria with a Whole-of-Country Approach
Deeper Turkish engagement with the Syrian Kurds would be helpful, but any such talks need to be linked with ongoing efforts to contain the Islamic State and advance the UN’s broader Geneva process.
Jun 25, 2020
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  • Jomana Qaddour
  • Cansu Camlibel
Articles & Testimony
The Ghost of Annexation Past
King Abdullah's 1950 annexation of “Arab Palestine” shows that a bold leader can play his advantages well, redraw the map, gain some recognition, and still leave only regrets.
Jun 25, 2020
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  • Martin Kramer
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
A Nation Divided: Palestinian Views on War and Peace with Israel
Recently, much attention has focused on Israel’s drift away from a two-state solution and toward annexation of the West Bank. But hard data shows that the Palestinian public has also clearly moved away from the classic compromise peace deal with its neighbors. When the Trump peace plan was announced in
Jun 22, 2020
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  • David Pollock
Video
Brief Analysis
The New U.S.-Iraq Strategic Dialogue: Expert Views from Both Sides
One of Iraq’s most prominent public opinion analysts joins two American experts to assess the dialogue’s achievements and discuss what Baghdad and Washington can do to advance real reform.
Jun 18, 2020
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  • Munqith Dagher
  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
The Caesar Act Comes Into Force (Part 2): Pressuring Hezbollah in Lebanon
In addition to targeting Hezbollah and other local actors who support the Assad regime and harm Lebanon’s economy, the new U.S. legislation can help bolster Beirut’s sovereignty.
Jun 12, 2020
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Israel Has a Lot to Lose by Annexing West Bank Territory
Even if Netanyahu steps away from the precipice this month, the problem will not dissipate until the White House stops incentivizing annexation with offers of American recognition.
Jun 12, 2020
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Caesar Act Comes Into Force (Part 1): Increasing the Assad Regime’s Isolation
New Syria sanctions signal bipartisan support for continued diplomatic isolation and economic coercion, but their impact ultimately depends on whether the executive branch is willing to prioritize the issue.
Jun 11, 2020
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  • Dana Stroul
  • Katherine Bauer
In-Depth Reports
Wrestling with Annexation: The Elusive Search for a Policy Rationale
As soon as next month, Israel’s new government could approve plans to annex a substantial portion of the West Bank. The trigger for this comes from Washington—a shift by the Trump administration to recognize Israel’s new self-declared borders. But that still doesn’t explain why. What might Israel gain by discarding
Jun 11, 2020
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Iran and America—The Impasse Continues
The answer does not lie in doubling down on pressure or ‘returning’ to diplomacy, but rather in wielding those policy tools in concert under the guidance of a realistic strategy.
May 27, 2020
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  • Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Avoiding an Epic Mistake: The Case for Continuing the U.S. Mission in Sinai
For almost four decades, the Multinational Force & Observers has protected Israel-Egypt peace and anchored stability in the Sinai Peninsula, but a new Pentagon initiative could end the American contribution by late next year. Defense Secretary Mark Esper has indicated that all military endeavors must now fall within a National
May 27, 2020
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  • Assaf Orion
  • Denis Thompson
Brief Analysis
Did Pompeo’s Visit Shift the Annexation Debate in Israel and Washington?
The Trump administration has signaled that it won’t be bound by Netanyahu’s summer rush schedule on the issue, adding to the many foreign and domestic factors that could lead the prime minister to delay or curtail the move.
May 20, 2020
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Rethinking U.S. Policy Toward the Fractured GCC
Genuinely resolving the various entrenched disputes between GCC states is unlikely, so Washington should focus instead on managing relations with them bilaterally while still maximizing regional security.
May 12, 2020
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  • Nabeel Nowairah
Articles & Testimony
Has Trump Finally Lost Patience with the Saudis?
Whatever combination of factors spurred the latest withdrawal of U.S. military equipment from the kingdom, the administration is tempting fate given Iran’s ongoing challenges and shifting tactics in the Gulf.
May 8, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran Gets Aggressive in the Northern Gulf Following U.S. Military Exercises
Recent joint drills by the U.S. Navy, Army, and Air Force have essentially challenged Tehran to a game of contested deterrence, spurring its forces to respond with swarm maneuvers and a vessel seizure.
Apr 21, 2020
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Will Crashing Oil Prices Put American Energy in Its Coffin?
The prospect of a full shale collapse has spurred politicians and oil companies to raise furious questions about the future of U.S. economic and military cooperation with Saudi Arabia.
Apr 21, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran's Coronavirus Crisis: Implications for U.S. Policy
Read or watch an expert conversation on the immediate and long-term effects of the Islamic Republic’s response to the pandemic. How will Iranian politics change? How much aid can Tehran get under sanctions? How will the global economic slowdown affect daily life there?
Apr 16, 2020
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  • Amir Afkhami
  • Mehdi Khalaji
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Don’t Blame the Mossadeq Coup for Iran’s Anti-Americanism
Close analysis of Iranian history textbooks indicates that not even the regime regards the 1953 coup as a seminal event in souring bilateral relations.
Apr 15, 2020
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  • Jonathan Sameyach

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