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Shia Politics

Policy Analysis on Shia Politics

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Sadrist protestors, Republic Palace, Baghdad, August 29, 2022
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militias Show Message Discipline During Sadrist Clashes
Centralized direction was evident as "resistance" outlets carried out their (apparently successful) public relations campaign to claim the moral high ground.
Aug 30, 2022
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
muqtada al sadr
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Will the Sadrists Succeed in Effecting Regime Change in Iraq?
New polling reveals how the Iraqi public views Baghdad’s ongoing political crisis.
Aug 26, 2022
◆
  • Munqith Dagher
Iraq-Sadr
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Navigating the Political Impasse Between Sadrists and the Coordination Framework
10 months after Iraqi elections, intra-Shia feuding between the Sadrist movement and the Coordination Framework has led to several public demonstrations but few viable solutions.
Aug 12, 2022
◆
  • Azhar Al-Rubaie
Supporters of Iraqi Shia cleric Moqtada al-Sadr gather during a sit-in, inside the parliament building in Baghdad - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq’s Two Coups—And How the U.S. Should Respond
Iran’s allies in Iraq mounted a judicial coup at the start of this year. Now, Muqtada al-Sadr is trying to place the system under his control through mob action. U.S.-led friends of Iraq should care about both these developments, not just the most recent one.
Aug 2, 2022
◆
  • Michael Knights
Al-Etejah TV’s documentary featuring Nouri al-Maliki, posted on Al-Etejah’s YouTube channel on April 13, 2021
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Maliki Leaks: The Shadow Culture of Politics in Iraq
The Maliki audio leaks highlight the inherent fragility of Iraqi politicians while offering an insight into the dynastic politics of Iraq.
Aug 2, 2022
◆
  • Sardar Aziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Political Opposition in Iraq: Between Reform and Regime Change
Iraq’s model of opposition traditionally focuses on ideological frameworks and regime change at the expense of working within the political system to effect change.
Jul 11, 2022
◆
  • Abbas Abboud Salem
Iraq-Sadr
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Implications of the Sadrist Withdrawal for the Shia Coordination Framework and Iran
The conflict between the Sadrists and the Shia Coordination Framework signals the potential for a new political order in Iraq and a shift in Iran's influence in the country.
Jun 29, 2022
◆
  • Firas Elias
Tishreen
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Tishreeni Movement Continues: Change Is Inevitably Coming to Iraq
Iraq’s Tishreen movement, driven by a reduced fear of political authority, is reshaping Iraqi politics by injecting fear of the popular will into the political elite.
Jun 28, 2022
◆
  • Munqith Dagher
 Ali Khamenei and Muqtada al-Sadr
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Why did the Sadrists Withdraw from the Iraqi Political Process?
The current stalemate in Iraq may lead to a complete collapse of its political institutions and prompt the international community to intervene if domestic political actors fail.
Jun 23, 2022
◆
  • Mohanad Faris
Tahira
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Cyber-Surge (Part 2): Attributing Attacks to Militia Platforms
Sabereen News has seemingly broadened its capabilities to include simple hacking tactics like DDoS attacks, and it might quickly proceed to more complex exploits.
Apr 25, 2022
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
Tahira
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Cyber-Surge (Part 1): Chronology of Recent Attacks
Sabereen News appears to have added cyberattacks to its normal activities of spreading militia propaganda and disinformation, claiming operations against Israeli, Turkish, and Saudi targets.
Apr 25, 2022
◆
  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Hezbollahland book cover, Dahiya map, Hassan Nasrallah, fighters
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Hezbollahland
Mapping Dahiya and Lebanon's Shia Community
The southern Beirut suburb encompasses multiple layers of clashing and besieged identities that pose major internal challenges to Hezbollah’s hold over Lebanon.
Mar 14, 2022
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Abu Hussein in public
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Exposing Kataib Hezbollah's Royal Family? Insights from Recent Leaks
The unmasking of Abu Hussein and his brothers puts the deposed Kataib Hezbollah official on the receiving end of his favorite tactic: leaking the faces and names of rivals.
Mar 9, 2022
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
Qaani in Najaf
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Lionization of Esmail Qaani: Consolidation or Covering Embarrassment?
The Iranian general has never received such intense praise from the Iraqi "resistance," but it may just be his attempt to spin his recent disappointing visit.
Jan 24, 2022
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Akram and Abu Fadak, Basra, Jan 1, 2022
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muhandis Replaced by Not One Man, But Two?
Abu Fadak and Akram Kaabi seem to have inherited the PMF and "resistance" parts of the late militia leader's portfolio.
Jan 12, 2022
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Abu Fadak
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Abu Fadak Tries to Split the Shrine Units
Recent moves by the senior PMF commander are seemingly aimed at sowing divisions among four key militias that do not answer to the so-called "resistance."
Jan 11, 2022
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Muqawama assassination
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Militia Assassination Surge (Part 2): December Attacks
Desperate militias are now killing Shia civilians in mass-casualty bombings as they try to assassinate Iraqi investigators and intelligence personnel.
Dec 10, 2021
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Militia Assassination Surge (Part 1): Sabereen and Unit 10,000 Threaten Iraqi Forces
Both outlets are openly advocating the murder of Iraqi security forces at a time of escalated shootings and bombings.
Dec 10, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
KSS recruitment numbers
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Fake KSS Recruitment Drive
Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada may have exaggerated its recruiting numbers, but the episode points to militias' desperation to look potent and regain leverage by threatening to destabilize Iraq in early 2022.
Nov 27, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
Nujana Syria 2
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Interpreting the Reemergence of the Allies of Syria Operations Room
The recent attack on al-Tanf base and the identity of the Iraqi factions that reportedly helped carry it out indicate Iran's plans to establish a new "deterrence equation" in Syria.
Oct 28, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight

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