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Lebanon

Policy Analysis on Lebanon

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Articles & Testimony
The Regional Dimensions of Hariri's Resignation: Will Iran and Hizballah Compromise?
The prime minister's move was only a temporary setback for Tehran and its chief proxy, whose foothold in Lebanon and the wider Middle East is strong enough to withstand Saudi pressure for the foreseeable future.
Nov 28, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
In-Depth Reports
Beyond Islamists and Autocrats:
Prospects for Political Reform Post Arab Spring
The compiled series provides a timely country-by-country guidebook for engaging non-Islamist, pluralistically inclined actors in North Africa, the Gulf, and the Levant.
Nov 27, 2017
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  • David Schenker
  • Sarah Feuer
  • Vish Sakthivel
  • John P. Entelis
  • Simon Henderson
  • Nathaniel Rabkin
  • Nadia al-Sakkaf
  • Eric Trager
  • Hala Aldosari
  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • James Bowker
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • David Pollock
  • Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia's War on Lebanon
In seeking to combat Iranian influence, Riyadh could undermine an already vulnerable Lebanese economy and threaten the country's tenuous calm.
Nov 13, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Prime Minister Resigns: What's Next?
Hariri's announcement could make Hezbollah and its Iranian patron more vulnerable to international pressure, particularly if the upcoming parliamentary elections do not go their way.
Nov 6, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Shia Unrest in Hezbollah's Beirut Stronghold
The group is hoping to rein in rampant social problems by allowing government authorities to crack down on its poorest constituents, but the plan could backfire amid unprecedented anti-Hezbollah riots.
Oct 30, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Video
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Terror Army: How to Prevent a Third Lebanon War
Three veteran European military leaders discuss Hezbollah's escalating threat to regional stability and outline urgent steps for avoiding a destructive new conflict with Israel.
Oct 27, 2017
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  • Richard Kemp
  • Richard Dannatt
  • Klaus Naumann
Brief Analysis
Are Shia Dynamics in Iraq and Lebanon Turning Against Iran?
If Iraqi Shia reject Tehran's call for a unified bloc in next year's elections, it could have welcome implications for the future of Iranian influence in Baghdad -- and Beirut.
Oct 5, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Shadow over Lebanon
Beirut's tilt toward Tehran has dangerous implications when it comes to countering Sunni radicalization.
Oct 4, 2017
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Next Hizballah-Israel Conflict
There are signs of war on the horizon, and it could be the most destructive Arab-Israeli conflict yet.
Sep 19, 2017
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Jeffrey White
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Middle East Maritime Security:
The Growing Role of Regional and Extraregional Navies
A number of developments are transforming the Middle East maritime security environment, with profound implications for regional trade and security. Historically, protection of (SLOCs) sea lines of communication--a process integral to projecting power regionally--was the purview of only Great Power nations such as the United States and Britain. Today, by
Sep 14, 2017
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  • Theodore Karasik
  • Jeremy Vaughan
Articles & Testimony
A War with Hizbollah Would Essentially Mean War with Iran This Time Around
Conflict with Israel might be inevitable, but the context has become more complicated than ever for both sides.
Sep 4, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
U.S. Security Assistance to Lebanon at Risk
Despite collusion between the LAF and Hezbollah, the United States may still have an interest in funding the Lebanese military.
Aug 3, 2017
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Arsal: The Last Hurdle to Hezbollah's Safe Zone
Absent vigorous international complaints, Hezbollah will force Syrian refugees out of eastern Lebanon to face certain persecution from the Assad regime.
Jul 21, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
On Bombing Anniversary, Iran Still Engaged in Illicit Activity
Working through its proxy Hezbollah, the Islamic Republic continues to support terrorist plots across the globe and to raise significant sums through illegal smuggling, including in South America's Triborder Area.
Jul 19, 2017
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
A Half-Million Syrian Returnees? A Look Behind the Numbers
Closer examination reveals that far more refugees are leaving Syria than coming home and that security and corruption represent major obstacles to their return.
Jul 7, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
In-Depth Reports
How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings, and the Islamic State
Over the past eight years, al-Qaeda's fortunes have ebbed and flowed. Drones, uprisings, and a challenge from the Islamic State have forced the core al-Qaeda organization—historically based in the Afghanistan/Pakistan region—and its various branches to adapt and migrate outward. In this new Policy Focus, Washington Institute fellow Aaron Y. Zelin
Jun 28, 2017
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Attacking Hezbollah's Financial Network: Policy Options
A former Treasury official describes how the group has continued to expand its criminal and operational activities worldwide despite the changes wrought by the Syria war and Iran nuclear accord.
Jun 8, 2017
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
A New Electoral Law for Lebanon: Continuity or Change?
Although the new legislation constitutes another win for Hezbollah, potential shifts in Lebanese political alignments may not be in the militia's favor.
Jun 6, 2017
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
To Stop the New Hezbollah, Think Regionally
Despite setbacks in Syria, and anxieties over a potential future conflict with Israel, the group has substantially widened its reach in recent years.
May 24, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
From Lebanon to Syria
Syria and Lebanon have always had a contentious border, but the Syrian war -- and its different factions -- have made it far more complex than before.
May 18, 2017
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  • Mounir al-Rabih

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Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Matthew Levitt
Matthew Levitt
Matthew Levitt is the Fromer-Wexler Fellow and director of the Reinhard Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence at The Washington Institute.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Fellow at The Washington Institute's Geduld Program on Arab Politics, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
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