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Iran

Policy Analysis on Iran

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An Iranian woman walks by the scene of a U.S. airstrike in Tehran - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
In the Dark and in Danger: Iran’s Internet Shutdown and Wartime Repression
Human rights experts diagnose the current public mood in Iran and discuss how foreign governments can help counter the regime’s growing use of internet blackouts and other digital repression tools.
Apr 10, 2026
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  • Mahsa Alimardani
  • Nazanin Boniadi
  • Roya Boroumand
A photo illustration depicts chess pieces and the Iranian and U.S. flags - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How Trump Could Still Get a Strategic Win from the Iran War
As long as the Strait of Hormuz is fully reopened and enriched uranium is shipped out, ending the war quickly may be Washington’s best bet, since Tehran would be left to deal with dire domestic problems it has no answer for.
Apr 9, 2026
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  • Dennis Ross
A man walks by a mural of international currencies
Articles & Testimony
How the Iran War Will Upend the Global Economy
Beyond the widely discussed risk of energy shocks, the war also seems likely to spark a prolonged debt crisis, especially for the world’s poorest nations.
Apr 8, 2026
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  • Henry Tugendhat
Iraqi protesters display Iranian and Popular Mobilization Forces militia flags at a demonstration in Baghdad following the killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Iraq Is at Another Crossroads with Iran-Backed Militias—and Washington
Although U.S. officials should keep pushing Baghdad to move against these groups, the Iran war has demonstrated the need to seek other avenues of pressure and recalibrate the bilateral relationship.
Apr 8, 2026
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  • David Schenker
Armed members of the Iraqi Shiite militia Asaib Ahl al-Haq demonstrate at a funeral in Iraq - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
What an “Iranian Proxies” Agreement Should Encompass
As wider peace negotiations continue, U.S. officials should carefully consider the many moving parts needed for a proxies deal to succeed—and what Washington would do if Tehran starts flagrantly violating its terms.
Apr 6, 2026
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  • Michael Jacobson
Articles & Testimony
War with Iran Tests Gulf-US Economic Model
The longstanding balance of Gulf security—in which states quietly maintained ties with Tehran while relying on Washington as the ultimate guarantor—is now under strain, making the future of their investment flows into the United States difficult to judge.
Apr 6, 2026
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  • Simon Henderson
A photo illustration depicts chess pieces and the Iranian and U.S. flags - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Diplomacy During War: Priorities for the Trump Administration
Three former U.S. policy practitioners experienced in negotiating with Iran discuss what kind of agreement is possible, what each side may require to make it happen, and how officials in Washington, Israel, the Gulf states, and Europe should address emerging differences in their objectives.
Apr 3, 2026
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  • Emily Harding
  • Richard Nephew
  • Michael Singh
  • Nancy A. Youssef
Articles & Testimony
How Tehran’s Proxy Network Could Outlast the Iranian Regime
Even if Washington somehow convinces Iran to cut off support for groups like Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis, this would not eliminate the threat they pose.
Apr 2, 2026
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  • Michael Jacobson
  • Matthew Levitt
Houthi fighters rally in Sanaa, Yemen
Brief Analysis
The Houthis Join the War
Why did the group strike now, what might they do next, and how could it affect the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran?
Apr 1, 2026
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  • April Longley Alley
A solar field in Morocco - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Iran War’s Reverberations in North Africa
The crisis will challenge economic and political stability in the Maghreb countries, but they will also have opportunities—with Washington’s help—to fortify their prewar progress by filling gaps in global energy markets and other key sectors affected by the war.
Mar 31, 2026
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  • Sabina Henneberg
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East After the Iran War: Lessons and Outcomes
However the conflict ends, it has already delivered pivotal lessons on U.S. military innovation and political strategy, the continued dominance of hydrocarbons, the future posture of regional and external powers, and more.
Mar 2026
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  • James Jeffrey
Photo of frozen Russian tanks in Ukraine.
Articles & Testimony
The War in Iran Could Become Like the War in Ukraine
Trump’s fifteen-point peace proposal suggests that he recognizes the need to find an off-ramp, but Washington must stay committed to that path to avoid a Russian-style quagmire.
Mar 27, 2026
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  • James Jeffrey
A poster depicts former Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh alongside the Iranian flag in Tehran following Haniyeh's killing in Iran - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
With the Iran War, Hamas Tilts Toward the Brotherhood
The monthlong conflict and developments in Gaza have weakened the terrorist group’s connection to Tehran, offering Washington an opportunity to achieve its goals by working through Qatar and Turkey as well as Egypt.
Mar 26, 2026
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
Gen. Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr - source: Wikimedia Commons
Brief Analysis
Zolghadr at the Top of Iranian Security
His appointment as SNSC secretary shows that the regime is relying on a veteran hardliner to manage the crisis and preserve control.
Mar 26, 2026
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  • Farzin Nadimi
A man speaks on his phone in Beirut, Lebanon, in front of posters depicting the U.S. flag - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
How Middle East Societies Grapple with War
A trio of leading regional journalists discuss how Emiratis, Israelis, and Jordanians are weathering the Iran crisis, what outcomes they are rooting for, and how their relations with Washington and each other might evolve as a result.
Mar 24, 2026
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  • Yonit Levi
  • Nadim Koteich
  • Amer Al Sabaileh
Articles & Testimony
Will Iran Turn to Terrorism?
With its leadership badly damaged and its security establishment humiliated by deep intelligence infiltration, the desperate regime likely sees little downside in setting caution aside and greenlighting a wide variety of international attacks.
Mar 24, 2026
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  • Matthew Levitt
Tracking map for the oil tanker Nora.
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Force Multiplier: Tracking the War’s Maritime and Energy Effects
If Washington wants to calm the markets and reach its other energy objectives more quickly, it will have to find a way of de-escalating a shipping crisis that Tehran is clearly taking advantage of in the Strait of Hormuz and beyond.
Mar 23, 2026
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  • Noam Raydan
USS Boxer leads U.S. Navy ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz - source: Department of Defense
Brief Analysis
Military Options for Reopening the Strait of Hormuz: Limitations and Imperatives
Loosening Tehran’s grip on the strait and its disruption of the global economy would entail not only reducing threats to navigation, but also increasing pressure on the Iranian economy in order to deter further attacks and create leverage for diplomacy.
Mar 23, 2026
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Assaf Orion
Close-up photo of Chinese leader Xi and Russian leader Putin.
Video
Brief Analysis
Great Power Competition During (and After) the Iran War
Three experts examine how Moscow, Beijing, and European capitals are navigating the crisis and what their choices reveal about the future of the global order.
Mar 19, 2026
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Souhire Medini
  • Henry Tugendhat
  • Grant Rumley
Protesters wave a Syrian opposition flag during a demonstration at a Roman ruin in Deraa Province in 2016 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Syria Is Feeling the Fallout from the Iran Crisis
The war’s effects on Syria have largely fallen below the radar, yet no one should forget how much has changed there since 2024, nor how important it is to preserve the government’s accomplishments against Iran and its partners while acknowledging the conflict’s local economic consequences.
Mar 18, 2026
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin

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Supported by the

Viterbi Program on Iran and U.S. Policy

Today, the Islamic Republic of Iran poses the most serious and urgent set of security challenges to the United States and its allies in the greater Middle East. Since the Khomeini revolution in 1979, Iran has sought to export its radical ideology through the use of terrorism, subversion, and support to ideological fellow-travelers throughout the Muslim world.

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Featured experts

Farzin Nadimi
Farzin Nadimi
Farzin Nadimi, a Senior Fellow with The Washington Institute, is a Washington-based analyst specializing in the security and defense affairs of Iran and the Persian Gulf region.
Holly Dagres
Holly Dagres
Holly Dagres is the Libitzky Family Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Viterbi Program on Iran and U.S. Policy.
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
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