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Great Power Competition

Policy Analysis on Great Power Competition

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Articles & Testimony
Jordan’s Retreat from China on 5G Could Signal a Growing Distance
Amman will necessarily continue seeking Chinese direct investment for various purposes, but its rejection of Huawei echoes U.S. concerns about Beijing’s involvement in sensitive sectors.
Apr 25, 2023
◆
  • David Schenker
Photo of a Shahed drone in an Iranian military parade near imagery of Supreme Leader Khamenei..
Video
Brief Analysis
Iran's Military Drone Program: Security Implications and Policy Responses
A former CENTCOM chief joins two arms experts to discuss the capabilities of Iran’s drones, the gaps in current efforts to curb their proliferation, and the pressing need for a regional air defense architecture that can counter them.
Apr 24, 2023
◆
  • Kenneth McKenzie Jr.
  • Damien Spleeters
  • Valerie Lincy
Iranian and Russian flags on a table
Articles & Testimony
What the Russia-Iran Arms Deals Mean for the Middle East
In the longer term, the increased flow of weapons will likely exacerbate tensions in the region, spur Arab states to enhance their own arsenals, and endanger any U.S. and partner forces that confront Tehran’s proxies.
Apr 19, 2023
◆
  • Grant Rumley
Candidates Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Kemal Kilicdarolgu, May 2023 Turkish elections
In-Depth Reports
Turkey's Pivotal 2023 Elections:
Issues, Potential Outcomes, and What Comes After
Opinion polls offer hope for the challengers, but Erdogan's media control and other factors could foil their efforts to finally topple the president and his ruling bloc.
Apr 19, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
A meeting of the International Solar Alliance in India - source: ISA
Articles & Testimony
Minilateralism: A Concept That Is Changing the World Order
The UAE, Israel, India, and other countries are showing why smaller-scale collaboration based on shared interests can offer distinct advantages in a multipolar world.
Apr 14, 2023
◆
  • Nickolay Mladenov
Brief Analysis
China’s Presence in Tunisia: How Far Has It Come, and Where Is It Headed?
Tunisia’s structural roadblocks, public skepticism, and ongoing domestic crises have combined to limit its relationship with China, leaving Beijing unable to jumpstart its typical large-scale projects and investments.
Apr 6, 2023
◆
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
  • Sabina Henneberg
OPEC flag
Articles & Testimony
Are Surprise Oil Production Cuts a Saudi Message to Washington?
One hopes that the U.S. intelligence community picked up all the chatter between oil producers even if energy analysts and the news media did not.
Apr 3, 2023
◆
  • Simon Henderson
An Azeri woman with an Azerbaijan flag in the Nogorno-Karaback region of Armenia - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Tensions with Azerbaijan Point to Broader Shifts in the South Caucasus
Amid flare-ups in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Iran and Russia are keeping a watchful eye on developments in the South Caucasus, from Israel’s warming relations with Baku to potentially shifting control over regional transport corridors.
Mar 31, 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Andrew J. Tabler
A man watches Russian president Vladimir Putin speak on television in the Crimean city of Simferopol - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Disinformation Machine Has a Middle East Advantage
The region has been most receptive to Moscow’s war narrative, which Russian state-run media outlets have been permitted to spread far and wide with no Ukrainian or Western counter-narrative.
Mar 23, 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Illustration of chess pieces and the Russian and Ukrainian flags - source: Reuters
Video
Articles & Testimony
Middle East Matters, Episode Two: The Mideast Impact of the Ukraine War, One Year On
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has had a ripple effect on global politics, including in the Middle East.
Mar 23, 2023
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Grant Rumley
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
◆ Middle East Matters
Wang Yi, director of China's Office of the Central Foreign Affairs Commission, Ali Shamkhani, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, and Minister of State and national security adviser of Saudi Arabia Musaad bin Mohammed Al Aiban shake hands in Beijing in March 2023 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Saudi-Iran Deal Reflects a New Global Reality
Leaders in the Middle East feel more threatened by the competition between China and the United States than by the individual powers themselves, so Washington needs to adapt accordingly.
Mar 16, 2023
◆
  • Michael Singh
Newspapers at a shop in Tehran display headlines about the China-brokered Iran-Saudi deal in March 2023 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
What Beijing’s Iran-Saudi Deal Means—and What It Doesn’t
China brokered the agreement, but this does not signal a new Beijing-led order in the Middle East—in fact, it could make regional tensions worse.
Mar 15, 2023
◆
  • Henry Rome
  • Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
China’s Track Record on Middle East Diplomacy
Beijing has responded to regional conflicts with a bevy of multilateral forums, peace plans, and envoys, but without the deeper commitments and follow-through required to resolve them.
Mar 15, 2023
◆
  • Carol Silber
Crown Prince Muhammad and President Xi walking in Riyadh.
Articles & Testimony
With Saudi-Iran Diplomacy, Is China Pushing the US Aside in the Middle East?
The surprise development may have more to do with resolving the Yemen war than rebuking the Biden administration, but the full implications will take time to register.
Mar 13, 2023
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Illustration of chess pieces and the Russian and Ukrainian flags - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
A Year of War in Ukraine
As the conflict enters year two, it remains unclear if the West has fully internalized the right lessons about Moscow, its partners in the “Global South,” or the parameters of long-term victory.
March 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
How Europe Is Quietly Putting ‘Strategic Autonomy’ into Practice
The hard lessons learned in Syria have given European leaders the confidence and tools they needed to respond forcefully in Ukraine.
Mar 9, 2023
◆
  • Louis Dugit-Gros
Russian President Vladimi Putin tours an exhibit of Tsarist weapons on display in the UAE in 2007 - source: Reuteurs
Articles & Testimony
Russia Uses Middle Eastern Ties to Mitigate Isolation
By taking largely ambivalent stances on the Ukraine war, states in the region have helped ease the effects of international sanctions against Moscow.
Mar 7, 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Turkish President Erdogan meets Ukrainian President Zelenskiy in Kyiv - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Unpacking Turkey’s Non-Binary Ukraine War Policy
Erdogan's stance has been pro-Ukrainian but not anti-Russian, enabling him to strike a delicate balance between NATO expectations, Moscow’s economic lifeline, and domestic political pressures.
Mar 7, 2023
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Treacherous Triangle of Syria, Iran, and Russia
If the Assad regime's two main allies emerge victorious in Syria and Ukraine, U.S. adversaries will likely conclude that the pros of challenging Washington ultimately outweigh the negatives.
Spring 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Putin Netanyahu
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Netanyahu Government’s Approach to Russia and Ukraine
Despite increased pressure on both sides, Netanyahu is likely to maintain Israel's nonaligned approach to the conflict in Ukraine in an effort to preserve his immediate regional interests.
Feb 28, 2023
◆
  • Daniel Rakov

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Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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Featured experts

Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya is the Harold Grinspoon Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute, focusing on Russia's policy toward the Middle East.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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