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Democracy & Reform

Policy Analysis on Democracy & Reform

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Brief Analysis
Ceasefire and Elections in Syria: Putin Still a Step Ahead
If Moscow and Damascus have their way, the latest ceasefire will further divide the rebels, isolate Turkey, and facilitate their ongoing military and political strategy for preserving Assad's rule.
Feb 23, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Salafi Politics During the Arab Uprisings: Methodological Insights from Game Theory
Understanding how Salafi leaders balance ideological robustness and personal risk as they are validated or threatened by local circumstances might be a good place to start in assessing their future approach to political engagement.
Feb 19, 2016
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  • Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
The State(s) of Ideology in the Middle East: Introduction
Western policy must be precise and consistent in its use of terms, objectives, and methods in order to account for differing local perceptions.
Feb 18, 2016
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  • Jacob Olidort
TWI Series on State(s) of Ideology
Explore the roles of Salafism, jihadism, nationalism, and other movements as drivers of conflict and alliance post-Arab Spring.
Feb 17, 2016
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  • Jacob Olidort
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • David Pollock
  • Said Amir Arjomand
Brief Analysis
The Worst of the Syrian Refugee Crisis Is Coming for Europe
The Assad regime's Russian-aided military campaign and the onset of spring augur another mass refugee flow into the EU, and the only surefire way to stop it is by addressing the root of the crisis inside Syria.
Feb 12, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Five Years After Mubarak's Fall, Lessons for Washington
By allowing events 6,000 miles away to outpace its decisionmaking, the Obama administration put itself in a lose-lose situation, which is why Egyptian and regional players regard U.S. policy during the uprising as a failure.
Feb 11, 2016
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  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Is ISIS Good at Governing?
The establishment of jihadi governance projects is becoming the new normal as ISIS and al-Qaida learn from past mistakes, but the long-term sustainability of these efforts remains unclear.
Feb 9, 2016
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
In-Depth Reports
Bahrain’s Stalled Reforms and the Future U.S. Role
With tensions peaking between Iran and the conservative Arab states, the current calm in the island kingdom of Bahrain may prove only temporary. A longtime U.S. ally that hosts the Navy's Fifth Fleet headquarters, Bahrain plays a crucial role in ensuring regional security. Yet reforms of its political system have
Feb 8, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Choosing Iran's Next Supreme Leader
While the Experts Assembly elected this month may be formally tasked with appointing the elderly Khamenei's successor, the real decision will likely be made by other power centers that could wind up controlling the new Supreme Leader.
Feb 4, 2016
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Lining Up the Tools to Break the Islamic State Brand
Reversing the political, military, and ideological factors that led to the movement's rise will require substantive projects that are as self-sustaining and nimble as IS has proven to be.
Feb 2, 2016
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  • Alberto Fernandez
Articles & Testimony
In the Regional Power Struggle, has Erbil Decided to Join the Sunni Bloc?
The security of the Kurdistan Region-Iraq (KRI) depends more on agreements between Erbil and Kurdistan’s neighbors than the KRI’s own security and intelligence capabilities. Whenever the regional powers surrounding the KRI have suspected that their interests are at risk, they have not hesitated to put the KRI’s security and stability
Jan 29, 2016
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  • Frzand Sherko
Articles & Testimony
The Case for Turkey’s EU Membership
Turkey is poised to become the most pivotal country of the Middle East. Turkey’s position as the geographical, historical, religious and cultural bridge between Europe and Asia leaves it uniquely situated in the region. It is also a close regional ally of Israel and the major Arab powers of Saudi
Jan 28, 2016
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  • Maurizio Geri
Articles & Testimony
Kemal Erdogan's Second Turkish Revolution
The Turkish leader seems intent on uprooting the Ottoman legacy and restoring Islam's central role.
Jan 25, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Truth About Sectarianism
Rather than postulating alternatives to centuries-old sectarian doctrines, Washington should focus on preventing exploitative actors from institutionalizing their violent vision through schools and bureaucracies.
Jan 25, 2016
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  • Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
Biden Should Ask Turkey to Double Down on Its Commitment to the West
Although Ankara is seemingly responding to westward-oriented pressures at home and abroad, it could still swing Turkey back to the right if it continues to pursue the politics of religion, especially while the Islamic State looms on its borders.
Jan 23, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Sisi's Fracturing Regime
Egypt's strongman is cracking down ahead of the revolution's fifth anniversary, but the real threat he faces isn't from protests.
Jan 22, 2016
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Iran's Parliamentary Elections: Inside the Candidate Approval Process
As in past elections, the Guardian Council seems poised to disqualify thousands of registered Majlis candidates, and its procedures for doing so are revealing.
Jan 22, 2016
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  • Patrick Schmidt
Articles & Testimony
Facts and Fictions: A Defense of the U.S.-Saudi Relationship
Despite very different values and tactical preferences, Washington and Riyadh continue to share important strategic interests, and it would be the height of folly to throw them overboard because of misguided reactions to recent events.
Jan 21, 2016
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  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Female Victory in Municipal Elections: Overrated or Underestimated?
Around twenty Saudi women won municipal elections last month, and the news of Saudi women making history through political participation went viral. Talk shows discussed Saudi women’s victory and social media networkers congratulated Saudi women for their remarkable accomplishment. While some commentators overrated women's gain on the political level, others
Jan 20, 2016
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  • Heba Albeity
Articles & Testimony
The Brotherhood Breaks Down
Although the group's vision for establishing an Islamist state in Egypt won't evaporate, the rigid internal discipline that defined its decisionmaking and mobilization is now a thing of the past.
Jan 17, 2016
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  • Eric Trager
  • Marina Shalabi

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Supported by the

Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas

Fikra n. [Arabic] "Idea"

The Washington Institute's Project Fikra is a multiyear program of research, publication, and network-building designed to generate policy ideas for promoting positive change and countering the spread of extremism in the Middle East.

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Featured experts

Catherine Cleveland
Catherine Cleveland
Catherine Cleveland is The Washington Institute's Croft-Wagner Family Senior Fellow and managing editor of Fikra Forum.
Ben Fishman
Ben Fishman
Ben Fishman is the Steven D. Levy Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on North Africa.
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