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Brief Analysis
Saudi Oil in Iran’s Crosshairs
Attacks on tankers near the Strait of Hormuz and Saudi Arabia’s main internal pipeline have accelerated the emerging Gulf crisis and could cause prices to spike worldwide.
May 14, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
If Iran Deploys Missiles in Iraq: U.S.-Israeli Response Options
If Iran duplicates its formula from Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen by sending long-range missiles to Iraq, then future conflicts with Israel would likely include military action on Iraqi soil.
May 13, 2019
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Michael Knights
Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Prince's Scorecard on New 'Vision' Looks Good—With Caveats
Change is certainly happening in the kingdom, but it hasn’t been smooth, and doesn’t look like it will be so in the future either.
May 12, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Jared Kushner’s Peace Plan Would Be a Disaster
The only way to protect the long-term viability of the plan's best aspects is to kill it.
May 10, 2019
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Moscow in the Middle East and North Africa
To counter Russia’s long game, Washington must show its willingness to compete by maintaining a credible regional presence, crafting a clearer message about its intentions, and moving beyond sanctions.
May 9, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Comparing Arab Polls on Trump, U.S. Policy, Israel, Iran and More
Two signature Trump Administration initiatives dominate U.S. Mideast policy today: “maximum pressure” against Iran and pursuit of an Israeli-Palestinian peace “deal of the century.” In recent weeks, Washington has upped the ante on both. It has tightened oil sanctions against Iran and designated the entire Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps as
May 9, 2019
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David Pollock
Catherine Cleveland
Articles & Testimony
The Next Round in Gaza Will Be Deadlier
An Israeli-Palestinian truce ended the fighting but didn’t address the issues driving it.
May 9, 2019
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Neri Zilber
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How the U.S. Government Should Think About Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Forces
A spirited policy debate is underway within the corridors of power in Washington D.C. over the manner in which the United States should view and treat the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), Iraq’s web of paramilitary organizations. It takes a great deal of concern to elevate such a niche issue to
May 9, 2019
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sunni Lebanon: An “Oddity” at Risk
In successive polls, approval of the United States within the Sunni Lebanese community has rated consistently high—a fact that stands in contrast with low numbers in other Sunni Arab populations. Certainly, part of the discrepancy reflects internal Lebanese politics. Sunni Lebanese view Washington, together with Riyadh and Paris, as backers
May 8, 2019
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Iraq-Turkey Pipeline Arbitration: Avoiding a Policy Train Wreck
Baghdad is suing Ankara for giving the Kurds independent pipeline access, but the biggest loser may be Washington’s pressure campaign on Iran.
May 8, 2019
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Six Potential Nuclear Steps
Hoping to pressure Europe into providing more concessions, Tehran may threaten to reduce its commitments under the nuclear deal, but can it avoid escalation with Washington while doing so?
May 7, 2019
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Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Why Erdogan Will Win in Istanbul, and What This Means for Turkish Democracy
Despite the opposition’s resilience, the president can use any number of legal, political, or foreign policy tools to ensure his candidate wins this time around, no matter the reputational costs.
May 7, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Co-Opting Politics in Morocco
Morocco was one of the few countries in the Arab World partially spared by the upheaval of the Arab Spring. However, recent regime changes in Algeria and Sudan, along with continued domestic discontent, suggest that Morocco should reexamine its prior response to its domestic version of the Arab Spring—the 20
May 7, 2019
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Mohamed Chtatou
Articles & Testimony
U.S.-Iran, Israel-Gaza Turn Mideast into a Danger Zone Again
American ships and bombers are arriving in the Gulf at a time when nerves are raw and various players are making risky escalation wagers.
May 6, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
A Real Plan to End the War in Yemen
If the battle lines stay where they are now, with the capital and largest port still out of government control, then the Iranian-backed Houthis will effectively have won the war.
May 2, 2019
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Michael Knights
Kenneth Pollack
Barbara Walter
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Breaking Point: How to Get Iran Back to the Negotiating Table
The chances of extracting substantial concessions from the current regime are not great, but the odds fall to zero if Washington withholds security assurances or waits for the inevitably chaotic transition period.
May 2, 2019
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. and Saudi Arabia Can’t Get a Divorce
Even amid growing exasperation over Riyadh’s behavior, realities on the ground and in the global economy show why the relationship is still crucial.
May 1, 2019
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Dennis Ross
Audio
In-Depth Reports
Inside the Trump Administration's Middle East Peace Effort: A Conversation With Jared Kushner
Watch a keynote conversation between White House senior advisor Jared Kushner and Institute executive director Rob Satloff.
Apr 29, 2019
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Jared Kushner
Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Soviets’ Unbreakable Code
Rather than acknowledge history and face the future, the Russian government keeps celebrating a past in which the people were suppressed, secrecy was championed, and fear nurtured.
Apr 27, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Making Sense of Iraq's PMF Arrests
By highlighting the hypocrisy of recent ‘housecleaning’ campaigns, Washington can show the Iraqi public that Iran’s Shia militia networks offer no genuine solution to rampant corruption.
Apr 26, 2019
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Phillip Smyth
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