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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Lessons on Iran from Putin’s Playbook: How to Avoid Miscalculating Khamenei
Understanding the mistakes that led to the Russian invasion offers critical lessons for future Iran policy.
Apr 26, 2022
◆
Kasra Aarabi
Saeid Golkar
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Beyond the Blocs
Jewish Settlement East of Israel's Security Barrier and How to Avert the Slide to a One-State Outcome
Communities outside the West Bank security barrier constitute an obstacle to a future two-state solution and a potential source of friction between Washington and Jerusalem.
Apr 26, 2022
◆
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
A Badly Needed New Approach to Quelling the Violence
A U.S.-Israel attempt to compel Qatar, the Palestinian Authority, and Hamas to end terrorist attacks against Israelis could ultimately help reset dynamics, even if such a move generates a costly short-term backlash.
Apr 25, 2022
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Ehud Yaari
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Cyber-Surge (Part 1): Chronology of Recent Attacks
Sabereen News appears to have added cyberattacks to its normal activities of spreading militia propaganda and disinformation, claiming operations against Israeli, Turkish, and Saudi targets.
Apr 25, 2022
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Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Cyber-Surge (Part 2): Attributing Attacks to Militia Platforms
Sabereen News has seemingly broadened its capabilities to include simple hacking tactics like DDoS attacks, and it might quickly proceed to more complex exploits.
Apr 25, 2022
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Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
French-Turkish Relations: Foes to Friends?
The Ukraine war has greatly boosted their diplomatic and military cooperation, but lingering friction over Syria, Libya, and Mediterranean issues will need to be handled carefully if this rapprochement is to endure.
Apr 20, 2022
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Louis Dugit-Gros
Pierre Morcos
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Egypt, Israel, and Hamas: Opportunities for Progress in Gaza
Cairo is signaling more initiative than ever on rebuilding Gaza, curbing Hamas, and openly engaging Israel, but longer-term progress will require greater international donor resources and U.S. diplomatic support.
Apr 19, 2022
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Ramy Aziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Russian Propaganda in Arabic Hidden from the West
Russian narratives are increasingly suffusing Arabic social media depictions of the war in Ukraine.
Apr 18, 2022
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Nadia Oweidat
Brief Analysis
Saudi-Kuwaiti Tensions with Iran over Offshore Gas Field
A relatively straightforward legal dispute could have geopolitical consequences.
Apr 18, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Warm Peace and the Challenge of People to People Relations after the Abraham Accords
Recognizing and addressing the challenges in people-to-people relations is a vital step in furthering the efforts of the Abraham Accords.
Apr 15, 2022
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Nir Boms
Ahmed Khuzaie
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Manufacturing Extremism in Iraq: ISIS, the Sarkhi Movement, and Popular Discontent
Some reject the idea of a potential ‘ISIS-ification’ of southern Iraq, but radicalization can occur anywhere when the social tensions are sufficiently severe. Southern Iraq certainly faces this dilemma.
Apr 15, 2022
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Munqith Dagher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Eritrea: Supporting Russia to Stay in Power
Eritrea is the only African country that voted against the United Nations General Assembly resolution demanding that Russia withdraw its military forces from Ukraine—a strong statement of support for Russia.
Apr 13, 2022
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Habtom Ghebrezghiabher
Tesfazion Gerhelase
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Sabereen's Suspension (Part 2): Causes and Consequences
The network's hiatus may have been ordered in response to its recent lean toward Russia, or perhaps its role in enabling a controversial arson attack on a political office.
Apr 11, 2022
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Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Political Tempest in Israel: Can Bennett Right the Ship?
His coalition is just one lost seat from being legislatively hobbled or even ousted altogether, leaving him and his allies in Washington with little time for essential damage control.
Apr 11, 2022
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The Clock Runs Out on Imran Khan as Pakistan’s Prime Minister
Things to watch going forward include Islamabad’s relationship with traditional cash source Saudi Arabia and its geopolitical posture toward Iran and Afghanistan.
Apr 11, 2022
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Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Defense Minister Benny Gantz Discusses Israel's Strategic Challenges
The country's top defense official shares his insights on recent terrorist attacks, the Iran nuclear talks, the Ukraine war, expanding cooperation with regional countries, and more.
Apr 11, 2022
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Benny Gantz
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Sabereen's Suspension (Part 1): Signs of Dissent and Noncompliance
The network was closed down almost entirely from March 28 to April 8, albeit with one apparent effort by rebellious members to refuse the suspension and blame Iran.
Apr 11, 2022
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Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Why Arab Allies Don’t Trust the U.S. on Ukraine
“This will not stand,” the president said after Iraq invaded Kuwait, but no such fortitude has been evident in response to Iran’s continued aggression.
Apr 9, 2022
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
West’s Weakness Led Putin into Ukraine—and Other Enemies Are Looking for Similar Signs
Moscow has provided a wake-up call about how actors like Iran interpret habitual demonstrations of U.S. inaction.
Apr 8, 2022
◆
Dennis Ross
Video
Brief Analysis
Terror and Turbulence in Israel and the West Bank
Three experts discuss the risks of escalating violence on the ground, the Israeli and PA response so far, and U.S. policy options.
Apr 8, 2022
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Anna Ahronheim
Matthew Levitt
Ghaith al-Omari
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