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U.S. Policy

Policy Analysis on U.S. Policy

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Brief Analysis
From October 7 to the Gaza Ceasefire: A Changed Middle East Awaits the Trump Administration
Important strategic changes abound in the region, but policymakers should take care not to underestimate the persistence of old challenges or the potential emergence of new threats.
Jan 31, 2025
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  • Neomi Neumann
Cover for Iran Transition Note, with images of a pen with U.S. flag, a B-52 bomber, nuclear symbols, and Iranian flag + map.
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Policy Steps to Prevent a Nuclear Iran
Rather than choosing between diplomacy and military action, the Trump administration should think of these options as mutually supportive, sequencing its actions in hopes of achieving the best and least costly outcome.
Jan 28, 2025
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  • Michael Singh
◆ Transition Notes 2025
A Palestinian views a building reduced to rubble in Gaza - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
What the Israel-Hamas Ceasefire in Gaza Means for the Middle East
Netanyahu likely wanted to start off on a good foot with Trump—not just out of fear, but because Israel has its eyes on a much wider allied agenda in the region.
Jan 17, 2025
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
How Trump Can Remake the Middle East
If he uses his major regional leverage to curtail the Iranian nuclear threat and end the Gaza war, he will be well-placed to resume other important tasks that have been sitting on the back burner—including Israeli-Saudi normalization.
Jan 16, 2025
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Replacing UNRWA Is an Opportunity Trump Should Not Miss
The incoming U.S. administration has no intention of strong-arming Israel into working with such a problematic organization, so officials should focus on pressing other UN agencies to take on its job in Gaza—or risk cuts to their own funding.
Jan 15, 2025
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Current and Future Houthi Threat to the Middle East
An effective response to the group's persistent aggression should include strengthening the United Nations verification and inspection mechanism, preparing sanctions against actors who violate UN resolutions, and taking steps to interdict arms transfers.
Dec 29, 2024
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  • Michael Knights
Syrian rebel leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolana speaks on the phone during the campaign to take Damascus in December 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Washington Returns to Damascus with High Stakes for Syria’s Transition
The delegation’s findings on key political and security issues will have a major impact on future U.S. engagement with Syria’s new leaders, including the decision on whether or not to remove sanctions.
Dec 20, 2024
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Will Stability Rise from the Middle East Rubble?
Though it may seem counterintuitive, the Middle East stands a decent chance of becoming more stable in the coming year if Trump takes advantage of Iran’s weakness to broker good deals.
Dec 16, 2024
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  • Dennis Ross
An Israeli border guard secures the gate at a crossing with Lebanon in 2007 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Lebanon Ceasefire: Managing Israeli Public Expectations and U.S. Coordination
In addition to assuaging public fears about the agreement, officials will need to reach a shared understanding with Washington about how to enforce its terms and respond to Hezbollah violations.
Dec 5, 2024
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  • David Makovsky
Photo showing smoke clearing from Beirut during the 2024 Hezbollah-Israel war.
Video
Brief Analysis
The Hezbollah-Israel Ceasefire and U.S. Leadership: What Comes Next
Four experts discuss the agreement’s detailed security provisions, the prospects for successful implementation, and the potential impact on other regional players.
Dec 4, 2024
◆
  • David Schenker
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Assaf Orion
  • Matthew Levitt
Book cover with Iranian missiles, including Shahab-3
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
If Iran Gets the Bomb:
Weapons, Force Posture, Strategy
The decision would require tradeoffs affecting the security, survivability, and military credibility of Tehran's nascent arsenal.
Nov 25, 2024
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
How the B-2 Can Help Reinforce U.S. Messaging to Iran
Amid serious escalation in the Middle East, the United States should more clearly frame its recent deployment of B-2 and B-52 bombers to the region as a warning to Iran—and reinforce this with more posturing, messaging, and accelerated deployment of deep penetrators.
Nov 21, 2024
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
  • James E. Shepard
Yezidi women and children at a refugee camp in Iraq - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Addressing Entities of Particular Concern: Non-State Actors and Egregious Violations of Religious Freedom
A terrorism expert assesses how Washington and its partners can best counter—and in some cases engage—jihadist actors in Afghanistan and the Sahel amid growing limitations on U.S. influence in such locales.
Nov 19, 2024
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Semiconductor image over map of UAE with U.S. Capitol dome
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Semiconductors, AI, and the Gulf:
Policy Considerations for the United States
In seeking to bolster partnerships and simultaneously protect U.S. technology, officials will need to navigate export options ranging from permissive to restrictive.
Nov 18, 2024
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  • Elizabeth Dent
  • Grant Rumley
U.S. and Iranian flags
Brief Analysis
Before Maximum Pressure, Trump Needs an Iran Strategy
The administration should first consider how enhanced sanctions would fit into its broader regional policy before talking about how to get them going again.
Nov 14, 2024
◆
  • Richard Nephew
People watch the September 10, 2024 debate between presidential candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
U.S. Election 2024: Views from the Middle East
A panel of distinguished journalists from across the Middle East discuss regional perspectives on the second Trump administration’s potential approach to critical issues of war and peace.
Nov 12, 2024
◆
  • David Horovitz
  • Barcin Yinanc
  • Nadim Koteich
  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Donald Trump’s Return Could Bring a More Peaceful Middle East
A look at how his new administration might combine old and new policies to tamp down the past year of war and address other threats.
Nov 9, 2024
◆
  • Jeffrey Sonnenfeld
  • Dennis Ross
  • Adam Boehler
  • Roya Hakakian
  • Steven Tian
Secretary of State Antony Blinken
Brief Analysis
How Blinken Can Seize Opportunity After the Deaths of Sinwar and Nasrallah
The United States has a short window to advance crucial goals in Gaza and Lebanon, including efforts to draw in Gulf support, establish a legitimate post-Hamas entity, and urge Beirut to start reasserting its sovereignty.
Oct 22, 2024
◆
  • David Makovsky
Secretary of State Antony Blinken speaking with President Joe Biden
Articles & Testimony
Book Review: “War” by Bob Woodward
The veteran journalist dishes on the Jordanian king’s “man cave,” Biden’s pique at both Netanyahu and Abbas, and Harris’s public versus private diplomatic style.
Oct 21, 2024
◆
  • Simon Henderson
U.S. President Joe Biden greets French President Emmanuel Macron at the White House in December, 2022 - source: White House
Brief Analysis
Assessing U.S.-French Cooperation a Year After October 7
Fighting on several Middle East fronts has revealed gaps between the allies, but they have ample room to collaborate in areas that range from ensuring Lebanese sovereignty to delivering humanitarian aid.
Oct 18, 2024
◆
  • Souhire Medini

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Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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Featured experts

Robert Satloff - source: The Washington Institute
Robert Satloff
Robert Satloff is the Segal Executive Director of The Washington Institute, a post he assumed in January 1993.
Ambassador Dennis Ross
Dennis Ross
Dennis Ross, a former special assistant to President Barack Obama, is the counselor and William Davidson Distinguished Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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