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Syria

Policy Analysis on Syria

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Qasef-2k drone in Iraq, photograph made public on August 23, 2022
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Tracking Anti-U.S. and Anti-Israel Strikes From Iraq and Syria During the Gaza Crisis
Militia Spotlight presents a regularly updated tracker with the best-known information about drone, rocket, and missile attacks against U.S. and allied targets, which have intensified since the Gaza war broke out.
Oct 14, 2024
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Amir al-Kaabi
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Iraqi flag
Brief Analysis
Turkey Wants to Stitch Iraq and Syria Back Together (Part 2)
Ankara’s push for “soft recentralization” in Iraq will likely include more intensive efforts to establish the Development Road and prioritize Baghdad’s interests, though without abandoning the Kurdistan Region.
Oct 8, 2024
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Security forces the Iraqi-Syrian border, after it has been reopened for trade and travel, in Al Qaim, Iraq in 2019 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Turkey Wants to Stitch Iraq and Syria Back Together (Part 1)
Having observed two decades of instability across its southern borders and anticipating U.S. withdrawals, Ankara is planning steps to end the volatility, including potentially wide-ranging agreements with the Assad regime.
Oct 8, 2024
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Turkey-Syria border wall
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A New Era for Turkish-Syrian Ties?
The path towards reconciliation between Ankara and Damascus faces numerous obstacles, linked to a history of mistrust and significant gaps in major contentious issues.
Aug 16, 2024
◆
  • Omar al-Radad
A Syrian girl waves a national flag during a protest in Idlib in support of demonstrations in Suwayda - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
A Year of Suwayda Protests Show That Assad Is No Partner
The regime’s increasing violence against a once-loyal Druze minority is yet another reminder that “normalizing” relations with Assad will never yield the stability neighboring states crave.
Aug 16, 2024
◆
  • Erik Yavorsky
Brief Analysis
Countering Iran in East Syria Means Moderating the SDF
Groups supported by Iran and the Assad regime have found some local traction due in part to grievances against the Kurdish-led SDF’s governance strategy in Arab tribal areas.
Aug 16, 2024
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
View of Afrin, Syria from the south
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Clashes in Northern Syria: The Triumph of Interests Over the Language of "Brotherhood"?
With no prospects for a political solution to the Syrian crisis, the Turkish government's insistence on maintaining its previous policies in northern Syria and its usurpation of the Syrian people's decision-making warns of dire consequences for an already fragile relationship.
Aug 9, 2024
◆
  • Salahuddin Hawa
Russian president Vladimir Putin inspects a rifle while touring an arms factory in 2014 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Countering Russia’s Strategy of Arming Anti-American Proxies
From rumored Houthi missile upgrades to Libyan arms deliveries by the ton, Moscow is doing all it can to empower hostile forces and undermine stability in the Middle East.
Aug 2, 2024
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Yezidi women and children at a refugee camp in Iraq - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Countering the Islamic State's Gendered Violence and Minority Persecution
To mark the tenth anniversary of the genocide against the Yezidi people, three experts discuss the Islamic State’s minority atrocities, its systematic use of gendered violence, and the related challenges of repatriation.
Aug 1, 2024
◆
  • Gina Vale
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Pari Ibrahim
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Fuad Shukr - source: Twitter/X
Brief Analysis
The Death of a Hezbollah Lifer
For more than four decades, the late terrorist and military commander Fuad Shukr was at the forefront of the group’s most destabilizing activities, from killing American, European, and Israeli soldiers to procuring advanced weapons from Iran.
Jul 31, 2024
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Families of Islamic State fighters in Syria - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
In the Shadow of the Caliphate: A Decade of Islamic State Gendered Violence
To hold the group accountable for its victimization of women and children and ongoing fragmentation of communities in Iraq, Syria, and beyond, countries need to make better use of international law and repatriation strategies.
Jul 31, 2024
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Gina Vale
German counterterror police - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State’s External Operations Are More Than Just ISKP
Although the recent focus on ISKP plots emanating from Afghanistan is understandable, other IS “provinces” have been accelerating and coordinating their external operations as well.
Jul 26, 2024
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
"Holy Shrine Defenders" at Sayyid Zainab Mosque, Damascus
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Evolving Strategy in Eastern Syria
The Iranian model of creating and supporting proxy groups is consistent across the “Shia Crescent,” but recently Tehran has begun employing new and troubling tactics that threaten to only expand their influence.
Jul 18, 2024
◆
  • Omar Abu Layla
Luna al-Shibl - source: Social media
Brief Analysis
Demise of Syria’s “Second Lady” Shakes Up the Assad Regime
Although separating fact from fiction inside the Assad regime is often difficult, Luna al-Shibl’s death is likely a harbinger of further internal changes at a sensitive international juncture.
Jul 15, 2024
◆
  • Erik Yavorsky
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Europe Can Still Make a Difference in the Middle East
The challenge is to find a common line that accounts for different national positions on regional issues while still promoting a coherent foreign policy.
Jul 2, 2024
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Gathering in Suwayda, Facebook: السويداء الثورة و الحراك السلمي
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Suwayda Protests Continue Despite Growing Pressure
The protest movement’s ability to weather pressures from the Assad regime has allowed Suwayda to remain an impressive display of solidarity, tenacity, and bravery, alongside a willingness after over a decade of conflict in Syria to still demand a better future.
Jun 7, 2024
◆
  • Ishtar Al Shami
Brussels conference, 2017
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Brussels Conference on Supporting Syria: Complex Issues Surrounding "Early Recovery"
Alignment between recovery efforts and the international coalition requires a comprehensive approach that prioritizes security, economic stabilization, and social cohesion.
May 15, 2024
◆
  • Ibrahim Murad
Brief Analysis
A Year of Arab Engagement with Assad Has Failed
The “carrots” approach only emboldened the regime to increase its smuggling of Captagon and weapons, but Caesar sanctions remain a potent stick.
May 15, 2024
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
U.S. Returnees from Syria Reveal Much About the Repatriation Challenge
The latest U.S. repatriation is an important model for the international community to follow, but much work still needs to be done on resolving the precarious detainee dilemma before the situation in northeast Syria deteriorates further.
May 9, 2024
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
Bourj Hammoud neighborhood, Beirut
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Protecting Syrian Refugees in Lebanon
Given the breakdown of the Lebanese state, Arab countries' normalization with Assad, and the fragmentation of the Syrian opposition, it seems that the United States can step in to play a pivotal role in protecting Syrian refugees facing persecution.
May 8, 2024
◆
  • Ammar Musarea

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler is the Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on Syria and U.S. policy in the Levant.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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