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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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Articles & Testimony
Memo to Trump: Iraq Is Too Big to Fail
Actions like the travel ban on Iraqis could have the unintended effect of derailing the U.S. alliance with Baghdad -- an outcome that would benefit Iran, the Islamic State, and no one else.
Feb 13, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
After Syria, Putin's Next Move Could Be Libya
Moscow has neither the resources nor the desire to bring long-term stability to Libya, and Haftar is the wrong man for the job, but that won't stop Putin from trying to exploit the situation.
Feb 13, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Campaign to Retake Raqqa Is Accelerating
Kurdish-led forces are in good position for a final assault on the Islamic State's Syrian stronghold, and other actors seem ready to either support them or stand aside and benefit from their faster progress on the battlefield.
Feb 9, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
The Plan to Defeat ISIS: Key Decisions and Considerations
Washington should pursue a 'day after' scenario that keeps the United States in the region, maintains its new (YPG) and old (Turkish and Iraqi) relationships, pushes back Iranian ambitions, and 'manages' an inevitable Russian presence.
Feb 7, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Iran's Latest Missile Test: Scenarios and Implications for the New Administration
Regardless of how the details surrounding Sunday's launch shake out, it was an unhelpful move at a time when the Trump administration is determining its policy toward Iran's missile program and broader regional behavior.
Feb 3, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
The Saudi-Houthi War at Sea
This week's apparent suicide strike on a Saudi warship highlighted the difficulty of protecting military vessels against small-boat attacks, as well as the ongoing struggle to break the stalemate in Yemen.
Jan 31, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson
  • Jeremy Vaughan
A U.S. Army soldier on patrol in Iraq
Articles & Testimony
Principles to Guide U.S. Military Engagement in the Middle East
The military cannot be effective unless it is used to implement policies based on sound geopolitical judgment and an accurate reading of the region's political and cultural realities.
Jan 31, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Cyber: Iran's Weapon of Choice
In the past decade, Tehran’s cyber toolkit has evolved from a low-tech means of lashing out at its enemies to a central pillar of its national security concept.
Jan 29, 2017
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Rethinking American Military Intervention in the Middle East
An in-depth look at how the United States can reverse its policy missteps and subpar performance in various regional conflicts, in large part by correcting its inadequate understanding of the operational environment.
Jan 26, 2017
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Shifting International Support for Libya's Unity Government
If the Trump administration steers away from the internationally backed unity government and toward the Russian/Egyptian-backed strongman, Khalifa Haftar, it risks ending Libya's fragile accord and sparking another civil war.
Jan 19, 2017
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  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Iran Appoints Seasoned Qods Force Operative as Ambassador to Iraq
General Masjedi reportedly has a long track record of overseeing deadly anticoalition operations and making threatening statements against Israel and other U.S. allies, so his appointment to the embassy in Baghdad is highly troubling.
Jan 18, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
After the Islamic State in Libya: All-Out War?
The battle against the Islamic State in Sirte distracted many observers from Libya's ongoing political dysfunction, failed reconciliation process, and growing potential for renewed inter-militia warfare.
Jan 11, 2017
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  • Andrew Engel
Brief Analysis
The Counterintuitive Role of Air Defense in Iran's Anti-Status Quo Regional Strategy
While Iran's air defenses are a central element of its deterrent capabilities, newly arrived long-range mobile systems like the S-300 could also enable it to constrain the air forces of its neighbors over their own sovereign territory, thereby enhancing Tehran's ability to intimidate and coerce these neighbors.
Jan 11, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
The Growing Islamic State Threat in Jordan
Amman has shaken up its counterterrorism and military leadership in response to an uptick in attacks and security failures, and Washington cannot afford to be complacent about the kingdom's situation either.
Jan 10, 2017
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
How Israel Catches Lone Wolves
The successful campaign to curb the latest 'eruption' of attacks has relied on technology, smart policing, and cooperation with the Palestinian Authority.
Jan 10, 2017
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  • Ehud Yaari
Maps & Graphics
The Obama Administration: A Washington Institute Retrospective
Review the Obama administration's approach to the Middle East with this interactive timeline pairing a topical history of major events 2009-2017 with analysis by Institute scholars.
Jan 10, 2017
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Battle for al-Bab Is Bringing U.S.-Turkish Tensions to a Head
Helping Erdogan take the city could greatly decrease the civilian death toll and preserve U.S.-Turkish cooperation in Syria, but Washington will still need to decide what to do with the Kurds, its other key ally against the Islamic State.
Jan 9, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Mosul Battle: Iraq Gaining Momentum Against IS
After making important gains on Mosul's eastern side and reestablishing security and basic services for some displaced civilians, Iraqi forces will likely need to regroup before tackling the rest of the city.
Jan 9, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
A Tactical -- Not Strategic -- Ceasefire in Syria
The post-Aleppo lull on the western front is likely just an excuse for Russia to rotate new forces and equipment into Syria and prepare for the next major offensive.
Jan 6, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
The Latest Ceasefire Will Not Change Hezbollah's Role in Syria
Iran and Russia may find a way to push past their strategic differences and make the ceasefire work, but it will be much more difficult to forge agreements on Syria's other intractable issues at the upcoming peace conference.
Jan 6, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar

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Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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