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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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Brief Analysis
The Qatar Crisis on the Mediterranean's Shores
Secretary Tillerson should bear in mind that his diplomatic efforts over Qatar's role in the Middle East will have significant implications for the balance of power in Libya, not just the Gulf.
Jul 12, 2017
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  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
An Opening for the Syrian Regime in Deir al-Zour
Events on the ground are fluid in the eastern Syrian city and province, but dynamics suggest Syrian forces and their backers will prevail over the Islamic State and U.S.-supported fighters.
Jul 12, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Why Latest Syria Ceasefire Is Exactly What Putin Wanted
As long as Putin keeps control of the narrative in Syria, he can forestall a resolution that compromises Russian interests.
Jul 11, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Will Iranian President Rouhani's Second Term Be Different?
Although Rouhani is a skillful politician who convinced the Iranian leadership to go along with the nuclear deal, he likely will not be in a position to wield similar influence over his country's regional activities.
Jul 11, 2017
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  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Addressing Iranian Weapons Smuggling and the Humanitarian Situation in Yemen
Reenergized and more-targeted maritime interdiction operations could reduce Iranian support for the Houthis while helping respond to Yemen's humanitarian crisis.
Jul 11, 2017
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  • Eric Pelofsky
  • Jeremy Vaughan
Articles & Testimony
The Foolhardy Crisis With U.S. Jews That Threatens Israel's National Security
Israelis must recognize that the American aid that has deterred major wars since 1973 is not automatic, and U.S. Jews are instrumental in securing it.
Jul 10, 2017
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  • David Makovsky
  • Dov Zakheim
Articles & Testimony
Mosul Defeat a Blow to IS, but Not the End
Risks include a burgeoning jihadist insurgency in areas retaken from the group more than two years ago, including Diyala province, where Iran-backed militias have exacerbated matters by engaging in collective punishment.
Jul 10, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Trump in a Meeting with Putin
Articles & Testimony
What Trump Should Have Asked Putin For: Ground Rules for the U.S.-Russia Relationship
A sensible approach would entail cooperation where U.S. and Russian interests converge, such as on proliferation, terrorism, and drugs, and management where they differ, such as on Iran.
Jul 9, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
A Half-Million Syrian Returnees? A Look Behind the Numbers
Closer examination reveals that far more refugees are leaving Syria than coming home and that security and corruption represent major obstacles to their return.
Jul 7, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Trump in a Meeting with Putin
Brief Analysis
The Trump-Putin Sideline and the Syria Conflict
Whatever the two leaders discuss at the G20 summit, the Trump administration must work urgently to develop a new Syria strategy that articulates a clear vision for the country's future and the U.S. readiness to protect it.
Jul 6, 2017
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  • Nikolay Kozhanov
Qatari leader Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Qatar Crisis: Worst Case Scenarios
A dramatic response by Qatar could entail an appeal to the UN Security Council or, more dangerously, an attempt to play its military cards, both of which would carry risks for the United States.
Jul 6, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Simmering Trouble in Oil-Rich Shia Area Complicates Riyadh's Concerns
Incidents in the town of al-Awamiyah are creating headaches for the Saudi leadership and adding to regional tensions.
Jul 5, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Managing Escalation Dynamics with Iran in Syria -- and Beyond
Given recent frictions, the United States should take a number of steps to reduce the potential for escalation with Tehran and to avoid a broader conflict.
Jul 5, 2017
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings, and the Islamic State
Over the past eight years, al-Qaeda's fortunes have ebbed and flowed. Drones, uprisings, and a challenge from the Islamic State have forced the core al-Qaeda organization—historically based in the Afghanistan/Pakistan region—and its various branches to adapt and migrate outward. In this new Policy Focus, Washington Institute fellow Aaron Y. Zelin
Jun 28, 2017
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Waiting Game in Sinjar
From Ankara's perspective, an optimal outcome may ultimately involve using soft power, rather than actual force, to remove its Kurdish PKK and YPG adversaries from the district.
Jun 27, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Fight for the Northern Iraq-Syria Border
At the symbolic level, Iran and its proxies are achieving great success in planting their flags along this contested frontier, but real control will entail the much tougher task of establishing permanent bases and logistical arrangements.
Jun 27, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Tillerson's 'Peaceful' Regime Change for Iran:
Really? And What Comes Next?
Efforts by U.S. officials to identify or suggest support for anti-regime "elements" within Iran will only undermine any authenticity these elements previously enjoyed.
Jun 26, 2017
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  • Eric Pelofsky
Articles & Testimony
Green-on-Blue Attacks in Jordan
Even as Washington adapts to changing circumstances, the risks for U.S. military personnel in Jordan will likely persist.
Jun 23, 2017
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Iran Missile Strikes Reveal Potential Military Weaknesses
The retaliatory attacks against alleged Islamic State facilities in eastern Syria apparently failed to hit any of their intended targets, undermining Iranian deterrence and raising questions about the effectiveness of Iran's missile force.
Jun 22, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
What's Behind Moscow's Latest Threats in Syria
Bluster from the Kremlin should not be interpreted to mean Putin wants a direct military confrontation with the United States.
Jun 21, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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