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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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An Israeli security officer stands guard at the scene of a terrorist shooting in Tel Aviv, March 2022.
Articles & Testimony
A Badly Needed New Approach to Quelling the Violence
A U.S.-Israel attempt to compel Qatar, the Palestinian Authority, and Hamas to end terrorist attacks against Israelis could ultimately help reset dynamics, even if such a move generates a costly short-term backlash.
Apr 25, 2022
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  • Ehud Yaari
Tahira
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Cyber-Surge (Part 2): Attributing Attacks to Militia Platforms
Sabereen News has seemingly broadened its capabilities to include simple hacking tactics like DDoS attacks, and it might quickly proceed to more complex exploits.
Apr 25, 2022
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  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
Tahira
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Cyber-Surge (Part 1): Chronology of Recent Attacks
Sabereen News appears to have added cyberattacks to its normal activities of spreading militia propaganda and disinformation, claiming operations against Israeli, Turkish, and Saudi targets.
Apr 25, 2022
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  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Saudi-Kuwaiti Tensions with Iran over Offshore Gas Field
A relatively straightforward legal dispute could have geopolitical consequences.
Apr 18, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Pakistani men watch a televised address by Prime Minister Imran Khan on March 31, 2022 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Clock Runs Out on Imran Khan as Pakistan’s Prime Minister
Things to watch going forward include Islamabad’s relationship with traditional cash source Saudi Arabia and its geopolitical posture toward Iran and Afghanistan.
Apr 11, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Israeli Minister of Defense Benny Gantz - source: Israeli Ministry of Defense
Video
Brief Analysis
Defense Minister Benny Gantz Discusses Israel's Strategic Challenges
The country's top defense official shares his insights on recent terrorist attacks, the Iran nuclear talks, the Ukraine war, expanding cooperation with regional countries, and more.
Apr 11, 2022
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  • Benny Gantz
Articles & Testimony
Why Arab Allies Don’t Trust the U.S. on Ukraine
“This will not stand,” the president said after Iraq invaded Kuwait, but no such fortitude has been evident in response to Iran’s continued aggression.
Apr 9, 2022
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
A Battle Over Oil Rages Alongside Russia’s War in Ukraine
The latest OPEC+ production decision is a clear statement that Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and other traditional American partners are still at loggerheads with Washington.
Mar 31, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Israeli and Arab foreign ministers, along with U.S. Secretary of State Blinken, at the Negev Summit - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
A New Regional Role for Israel, as Washington Shows Signs of Stepping Back
By participating in the Negev Summit, Arab states are signaling their appreciation for Israel’s status as both a local power and a unique interlocutor with the United States.
Mar 28, 2022
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  • David Makovsky
Russian President Vladimir Putin meets with Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed in 2018 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Middle East—Read “Energy”—Complicates Ukraine Crisis
A new gas deal with Germany may help, but the Gulf states are taking a risk by intertwining urgent Western energy requests with seemingly tangential regional issues.
Mar 22, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Can Turkey and the UAE Help Break Libya’s Deadlock?
Finding a compromise timeline for elections will be delicate, but the recent thaw in relations between Ankara and Abu Dhabi removes a significant external impediment to progress.
Mar 14, 2022
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  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
A British Trip to Secure Extra Saudi Oil?
Boris Johnson’s expected visit reflects both the urgency of the crisis and the chill between Riyadh and the White House.
Mar 14, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Illustration of chess pieces and the Russian and Ukrainian flags - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
How Will the Ukraine Crisis Affect Middle East Policy?
Three experts discuss whether the war might alter Washington’s calculus on rapprochement with Turkey, regional military deployments, and wider great power competition.
Mar 10, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Grant Rumley
Israeli and UAE flags flying together in Abu Dhabi - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Israel-UAE Economic Cooperation Has Deep Roots and Broad Dividends
From growing bilateral investments to talk of a “new Quad,” the relationship could significantly affect regional economic integration and competition well beyond the Gulf.
Mar 8, 2022
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  • Katherine Bauer
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salmon durnig a meeting with Russian President Vladimor Putin in Rihady - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
As the Ukraine Crisis Continues, the West Needs a Middle East Assist
The outcome of Israeli diplomacy, Iranian oil decisions, and Gulf hesitance may play a crucial role in the crisis, particularly if it drags on for months rather than weeks.
Mar 7, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Arab Spring Tunisia Yemen Bahrain Egypt Libya Syria
Audio
In-Depth Reports
No Going Back
Activists Reflect a Decade After the Arab Spring
Interviews with thirteen activists reveal a deep sense of disappointment but also a shared conviction that a new reform movement will eventually rise and deliver lasting change to the region.
Mar 7, 2022
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  • Roy Gutman
◆ Reform, Protest, Change
A Ukrainian flag flies at a naval base in Crimea in 2014 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Middle East Responses to the Ukraine Crisis
So far, official statements from the region have ranged from rejecting Russia’s moves to treating them as a natural extension of existing policy.
Updated Mar 4, 2022
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  • Margaret Dene
  • Hannah Labow
  • Carol Silber
Russian President Vladimir Putin meets with Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed in 2018 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Putin’s War Has Middle Eastern Countries Hedging Their Bets
Facing greater regional demands and limited resources, Washington will have to be more judicious in its obligations and more consistent in following through, lest its assurances fail to assure.
Mar 4, 2022
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Why the US Needs Saudi Arabia to Help Put Pressure on Russia
Currently, the odds do not favor Riyadh making the substantial oil production increases sought by Washington.
Feb 25, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Israeli and UAE flags flying together in Abu Dhabi - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Axis of Abraham: Arab-Israeli Normalization Could Remake the Middle East
The accords may point to a future in which the United States can do less in the region—but to get there, Washington must first do more.
March-April 2022
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  • Michael Singh

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Fellow of The Washington Institute, specializing in the military and security affairs of Iraq, Iran, and the Persian Gulf states. He is a co-founder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to the Iranian-backed militias in Iraq and Syria.
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