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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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A view of the 18th hole of a 2022 LIV Golf tournament in Thailand - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Golf Detente: Saudi Arabia’s LIV to Merge with the PGA
The deal raises questions about Riyadh’s human rights record and media double standards, but its most important outcome may be further diversification of the Saudi economy away from oil dependence.
Jun 7, 2023
◆
  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Will OPEC’s Cuts Stabilize the Oil Market—and Affect Gas Prices at the Pump?
The cartel’s idea of price stability doesn’t match Washington’s, nor will it help international efforts to isolate Russia.
Jun 5, 2023
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
UAE Public Opinion: Still Friendly to United States, Split on Israel, Hostile to Iran
A fresh opinion poll of UAE citizens, commissioned by The Washington Institute and conducted by a reliable independent regional firm in April 2023, reveals some of the most pro-American and anti-Iranian attitudes of any Arab country surveyed lately. On normalization with Israel, views are more mixed—yet surprisingly moderate, given this poll’s timing during Ramadan.
May 31, 2023
◆
  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Is OPEC About to Play With Oil Prices as the Summer Driving Season Starts?
With Saudi princes publicly warning oil traders and U.S.-Chinese economic factors coming to a head, the markets may be headed for further volatility.
May 26, 2023
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  • Simon Henderson
Gulf of Aden Migrants
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Migration from the Horn of Africa to Yemen: Not Just a Passing Phenomenon
Though Yemen struggles with economic, political, and environmental issues of its own, more and more migrants are crossing the country's borders in hopes of a better life.
May 25, 2023
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  • Muneer Binwaber
Yemeni rebel soldiers in Aden
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Political Settlement in Yemen: Challenges and Future Prospects
In order to reach a sustainable political settlement in Yemen, all parties must be involved in negotiating the geographic and military dimensions of the country's future.
May 23, 2023
◆
  • Adel Dashela
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Kuwait Poll Shows Little Interest in Protests Despite Deadlock, Split Views of Global Powers
In a new public opinion poll commissioned by The Washington Institute and conducted in March-April by an independent regional firm, Kuwaitis appeared averse to any disruptions at home or around the region, even as tensions grow across Kuwait’s political scene.
May 18, 2023
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  • Frances McDonough
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Another Round of Negotiations with the Houthis: AQAP as Potential Spoiler in Yemen
If talks with the Houthis continue to ignore key Yemeni stakeholders, al-Qaeda is poised to absorb disillusioned tribal groups into its ranks.
May 16, 2023
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  • Mohamed Mokhtar Qandil
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Saudi Opinion Poll Shows 40 Percent Still Back Some Ties with Israel; Three-Fourths Say Rocket Fire Against Israel Will Have Negative Effects
A rare public opinion poll in Saudi Arabia, commissioned by the Washington Institute and conducted in March/April 2023 by a reputable regional firm, reveals an intriguing mix of attitudes—some in line with emerging Saudi government policies; others, not so much.
May 15, 2023
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  • David Pollock
UAE President Muhammad bin Zayed - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Making Sense of the UAE’s Latest Leadership Appointments
Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed's recent decisions aim to refresh the image of UAE leadership, ushering in the next generations of rulers.
May 12, 2023
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  • Dr. Clemens Chay
GCC
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Syria’s Normalization and the GCC: Adjusting to A New Modus Vivendi
Though GCC member states may disagree on Syria's normalization, the collective memory of past conflicts and the desire for regional stability will likely override internal divisions.
May 10, 2023
◆
  • Leonardo Jacopo Maria Mazzucco
national Security Advisor Jake Sullivan addresses the Institute's 2023 Soref Symposium
Video
Brief Analysis
Keynote Address by National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan
Watch video or read a transcript of a new Biden administration speech on U.S. policy in the Middle East, delivered at The Washington Institute’s 2023 Soref Symposium.
May 4, 2023
◆
  • Jake Sullivan
◆ 2023 Soref Symposium
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Bahrain Poll Reveals Support for Russia, Entente with Iran, Split on Israel
A rare public opinion poll in Bahrain, commissioned by the Washington Institute and conducted in March/April by an independent regional firm, shows surprisingly high levels of popular approval for Russia—including its war aims in Ukraine.
May 3, 2023
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  • David Pollock
Saudi crown prince Muhammad bin Salman, President Biden, Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu (with backdrop of national flags)
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Saudi Normalization with Israel, Domestic 'Transformation,' and U.S. Policy
A near-term breakthrough may be unlikely, but President Biden is well positioned to apply his energy toward negotiating a historic deal that establishes peace and advances American interests.
May 1, 2023
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  • Robert Satloff
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Political Rights and Civil Liberties in the Middle East: Trends in Freedom House Data Since 2010
The organization’s latest report showed persistent backsliding last year and since the Arab Spring, along with dramatic drops in a handful of countries and warnings of further drops next year.
Apr 27, 2023
◆
  • Camille Jablonski
Video
Articles & Testimony
Middle East Matters: Back to Normal? The Region Reaches Out to Assad
Two experts discuss why Arab governments are increasingly normalizing with the Syrian regime and what consequences this may hold for U.S. policy.
Apr 25, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Ahed al-Hendi
◆ Middle East Matters
A meeting of the International Solar Alliance in India - source: ISA
Articles & Testimony
Minilateralism: A Concept That Is Changing the World Order
The UAE, Israel, India, and other countries are showing why smaller-scale collaboration based on shared interests can offer distinct advantages in a multipolar world.
Apr 14, 2023
◆
  • Nickolay Mladenov
Photo of Israelis in Tel Aviv protesting proposed judiciary changes, February 2023.
Brief Analysis
Regional Reactions to Israel’s Protests
Many Middle Eastern outlets have used the crisis to reinforce their inflammatory rhetoric, but some have provided nuanced analysis through the lenses of democratic principles and Arab-Israel peace.
Apr 12, 2023
◆
  • Frances McDonough
Articles & Testimony
Don’t Throw Good Arab Money After Bad in Syria
The Gulf states have their own reasons for reaching out to Assad, but they need to understand that Washington will not exempt them from most of its multilayered Syria sanctions without substantial change in the regime’s posture.
Apr 7, 2023
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
OPEC flag
Articles & Testimony
Are Surprise Oil Production Cuts a Saudi Message to Washington?
One hopes that the U.S. intelligence community picked up all the chatter between oil producers even if energy analysts and the news media did not.
Apr 3, 2023
◆
  • Simon Henderson

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Fellow of The Washington Institute, specializing in the military and security affairs of Iraq, Iran, and the Persian Gulf states. He is a co-founder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to the Iranian-backed militias in Iraq and Syria.
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