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All Policy Analysis by Aaron Y. Zelin
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In-Depth Reports
Your Sons Are at Your Service: Tunisia’s Missionaries of Jihad
How did Tunisia, a democratic bright spot of the Arab uprisings with very little history of terrorist violence within its borders before 2011, become one of the largest sources of foreign fighters for the Islamic State? This groundbreaking book presents the first history of the Tunisian jihadi movement and challenges simplified views of jihadism's appeal and success.
Feb 7, 2020
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Feb 4, 2020
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Turns a Corner Against the Jihadist Movement
Fewer attacks and more prosecutions suggest the country’s integrated approach could eventually become a model for the region.
Jan 27, 2020
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Dec 27, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
After Losses, Islamic State Plots Comeback
An in-depth interview on the scope of the terrorist group's remaining activities in Syria, Iraq, and other countries, including the potential for future insurgencies and mass-casualty attacks.
Dec 13, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State in Libya Has Yet to Recover
Given the group’s operational silence and loss of foreign help, it may not be able to launch the type of insurgency seen in Syria, but that could change if U.S. attention wanes militarily or diplomatically.
Dec 6, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State in Syria: What's Next?
Three leading scholars assess the group’s status and ambitions following the death of its leader, and discuss how to handle the numerous potential supporters still residing in Syrian camps.
Nov 1, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Devorah Margolin
Amarnath Amarasingam
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Oct 31, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Baghdadi Is Dead but His Legend Lives On
The Islamic State no longer governs territory, but aspiring jihadists can now point to a caliphate project achieved in their lifetime, a long-held yearning of the international movement.
Oct 29, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Oct 28, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
After Baghdadi: How the Islamic State Rebounds
The back-to-back deaths of the IS leader and allegedly one of his likely successors mark a significant counterterrorism accomplishment, but neither high-profile deaths nor the territorial loss of the so-called caliphate will translate into the organization’s defeat.
Oct 28, 2019
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Katherine Bauer
Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Oct 27, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State in Syria After the U.S. Withdrawal
Recent U.S. decisions have seemingly ignored the degree to which the group is continuing its insurgent attacks and reorganizing its supporters inside increasingly vulnerable detention facilities.
Oct 23, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Wilayat al-Hawl:
'Remaining' and Incubating the Next Islamic State Generation
Many inhabitants of the al-Hol camp still profess loyalty to the jihadist group and have sought to impose a fundamentalist lifestyle on their fellow residents.
Oct 18, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Huras al-Din: The Overlooked al-Qaeda Group in Syria
Although it still relies on its stronger rival to operate, the ascendant affiliate has been cementing its presence in Idlib province, attracting other factions to its banner, and potentially setting itself up to lead a future insurgency.
Sep 24, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Development of Tunisia’s Domestic Counter-Terrorism Finance Capability
The country is fast becoming a regional leader in meeting global CT norms, developing the necessary toolkits, and integrating its efforts with those of foreign governments.
Sep 10, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Keeps Calm and Carries On After Latest Terrorist Attack
Links between this attack and older jihadist networks underscore the complex nature of Tunisian radicalization, even if suspicious government data trends seem to suggest the problem is diminishing.
Jul 3, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Apr 29, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Not Gonna Be Able To Do It: al-Qaeda in Tunisia’s Inability to Take Advantage of the Islamic State’s Setbacks
While the consensus might be that al-Qaeda is primed to benefit from Islamic State setbacks, unless conditions change locally, the so-called caliphate will likely remain a more attractive avenue for jihadi mobilization in Tunisia.
Mar 1, 2019
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Repatriating Western Jihadists: The Impact of U.S. Syria Policy
Unless Washington changes its mixed message on foreign fighters and helps its European allies find practical solutions, it may soon face another mass outbreak of seasoned operatives from Syria.
Feb 27, 2019
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Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin
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