عرب و اسلام سیاسی

Policy Analysis on عرب و اسلام سیاسی

Promoting Sovereignty and Accountability in Iraq:

The complexity of Iraq’s challenges might prompt some U.S. officials to balk, but a constructive policy can help advance both Iraqi and American interests in areas ranging from counterterrorism to economic development.

۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Bilal Wahab

◆ Transition 2021

Hayat Tahrir al-Sham militia members in Syria

Articles & Testimony

Affirmations of Support and Rituals of Jihadi Martyrdoms

As eulogies for a recently slain militia figure spread online, they highlighted the differences between major jihadi organizations and revealed the solid local roots HTS has formed in northwest Syria.

۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Aaron Y. Zelin

Video

Brief Analysis

The Last Vote? Obstacles to Renewing UN Cross-Border Assistance in Syria

Amid talk of a potential new Security Council resolution, veteran diplomats and aid practitioners debate the future of humanitarian assistance to needy Syrians.

۱۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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James Jeffrey
Basma Alloush
Carsten Wieland

Figure 1: Qais al-Khazali’s interview with iNEWS TV, June 1, 2021

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Qais al-Khazali's Show of Independence

The militia leader is positioning himself as Iran's equal and close partner, aspiring to comparisons with Hassan Nasrallah and Abdul-Malik al-Houthi.

۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Hamdi Malik

◆ Militia Spotlight

Video

تحلیل کوتاه

یک انتخابات تقلبی دیگر در سوریه: پیامدها برای حل و فصل جنگ

در این نشست، گروهی از کارشناسان درباره پیامدهای کوتاه‌مدت و بلندمدت انتخابات ریاست جمهوری سال ۲۰۲۱ سوریه از جمله تاثیر بالقوه آن بر اپوزیسیون داخلی سوریه، عادی‌سازی روابط با اسرائیل در منطقه، چشم‌انداز آینده صلح و سیاست غرب بحث می‌کنند.

۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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ولادیمیر پران
هانا رابرتز
وائل سواح
زهره البرازی
امیل حوکاییم
اما بیلز

Flag of the Syrian Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)

Brief Analysis

Hanging on in Idlib: Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s Expanding Tribal Engagement

As Western policymakers debate potential engagement with HTS, they should do so with eyes wide open to the jihadist group’s true status in the province and its intentions toward local tribal institutions.

۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Aaron Y. Zelin

Brief Analysis

Iraq’s Judiciary Weak Link

Regardless of the executive branch’s willingness to confront militia abuses, true rule of law cannot take hold unless judges are protected from intimidation and corruption.

۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Michael Knights

Brief Analysis

Preserving the Lebanese Armed Forces Amid State Decline

Although continued pressure on the country’s political elites is necessary, the U.S. government needs to find more immediate ways of helping soldiers and citizens by making creative use of State, Defense, and congressional authorities.

۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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David Schenker
Grant Rumley

In-Depth Reports

A Sultan in Autumn

Erdogan Faces Turkey's Uncontainable Forces

The unprecedented economic growth and personal popularity once enjoyed by the Turkish leader have given way to stagnation, a dwindling support base, and problems abroad.

۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Soner Cagaptay

Articles & Testimony

The Policy Consequences of Arab State Normalization with the Assad Regime

In addition to undermining the Biden administration’s promised focus on human rights, allowing Assad to regain legitimacy abroad would constitute a strategic blunder that cannot be explained away.

۲ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Oula A. Alrifai
Aaron Y. Zelin

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Threats Against Iraq's Government Aired on al-Etejah TV

Kataib Hezbollah's television outlet is still airing false claims about the release of Qasim Muslih, as well as coup threats that draw comparisons to Yemen's Houthi takeover.

۱ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith

◆ Militia Spotlight

President Donald Trump speaks about Syria

Articles & Testimony

The Inside Story of How Trump ‘Kept the Oil’ in Syria and Lost

The ambitious plan would have seen Delta Crescent, a tiny Delaware company, try to bring peace and stability to the war-ravaged northeast, but local corruption, a lack of U.S. commitment, and other complications doomed the idea.

۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Kenneth R. Rosen

Iranian presidential candidate Ebrahim Raisi speaking in 2021

تحلیل کوتاه

رقابت یک‌نفره؟ ایران فهرست نامزدهای ریاست‌جمهوری را قیچی می‌کند

رژیم ظاهرا همه موانع احتمالی برنده‌شدن ابراهیم رئیسی در انتخابات ریاست‌جمهوری، و شاید جانشینی خامنه‌ای را در آینده، برطرف می‌کند؛ اما مشروعیت داخلی رژیم با خطر زوال روبروست.

۳۰ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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عمر کرمی

Brief Analysis

Algeria’s Economic Challenges: Opportunities for U.S. Engagement

The pandemic has exacerbated persistent structural problems in the government’s approach to foreign investment, banking reform, monetary policy, and other sectors, but Algiers may be more open to U.S. advice on such matters.

۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Geoff Porter

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Muqawama Fake News Surrounding Qasim Muslih’s Arrest (Part 2): Release Claims

Militias made a concerted effort to create the false impression that their colleague had been released immediately, and the claim was soon echoed by major global media outlets.

۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik

◆ Militia Spotlight

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Muqawama Fake News Surrounding Qasim Muslih’s Arrest (Part 1): International Zone Claims

The first wave of post-arrest deception operations tried to give the false impression that militias controlled the Baghdad zone containing the prime minister's residence, the U.S. embassy, and other sensitive sites.

۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
Alex Almeida
Hamdi Malik

◆ Militia Spotlight

Police walk past the Palestinian Legislative Council in Ramallah

Articles & Testimony

Palestinian Politics Are More Divided Than Ever

Fatah and Hamas have tried every conceivable power-sharing mechanism to no avail, and many Palestinians now feel alienated from both brands of authoritarianism.

۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Ghaith al-Omari

Brief Analysis

Iraqi Militias Try, and Fail, to Intimidate the Government

Baghdad effectively enforced the rule of law by detaining a senior militia figure, though it still needs to arrest other murder suspects and show the public that October’s election will be safe.

۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Michael Knights

Maps & Graphics

تحلیل کوتاه

چگونه ایران از گروه‌های «مقاومت» عراق برای واکنش به انفجار نطنز استفاده کرد

ادعای دروغین شبه نظامیان در به عهده‌ گرفتن حملات علیه اهداف اسرائیلی و آمریکایی در عراق در تلافی حادثه نطنز، نشان می‌دهد که چگونه تهران هر تحرک نیروهای نیابتی خود و عملیات‌های اطلاعاتی آن‌ها را به شکلی متمرکز هماهنگ می‌کند.

۲۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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حمدی ملک
کریسپین اسمیت

◆ Militia Spotlight

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

When the Tansiqiya Speaks in AAH's Absence

The May 20 Gaza protest in Baghdad saw the Tansiqiya speak in the notable absence of any Asaib Ahl al-Haq members, and the event was conspicuously ignored by AAH channels.

۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith

◆ Militia Spotlight

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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دیوید شنکر

David Schenker is a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.

غیث العمری

*غیث العمری، هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و یکی از نویسندگان کتاب «خنثی سازی بشکه باروت غزه» است.

حنین غدار

حنین غدار هموند فریدمن در برنامه گدولد در انستیتو واشنگتن است که بر سیاست‌ کشورهای عربی متمرکز است. در این برنامه، مطالعات او در حوزه سیاست‌های شیعیان در سرزمین شام است.

بلال وهاب

بلال وهاب هموند برنامه نیتن و استر ک. واگنر در انستیتو واشنگتن است

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منطقه‌ها و کشورها

موضوع

عرب و اسلام سیاسی

Policy Analysis on عرب و اسلام سیاسی

Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

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