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Brief Analysis
U.S.-Saudi Security Cooperation (Part 1): Conditioning Arms Sales to Build Leverage
Washington should continue its selective approach to restricting the delivery of certain offensive weapons, yet leave defensive procurement on track.
Nov 5, 2018
◆
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iran Intensifying Its Crackdown on Citizens Abroad
The regime is once again targeting dissidents in Europe and arresting dual nationals, giving Washington and the EU common cause to sanction senior Iranian officials.
Nov 2, 2018
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Iran Deal Pullout: How Will Tehran Respond?
What can the Trump administration do to shape Iran’s choices?
Nov 1, 2018
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Getting to Zero Iranian Oil Exports
The world oil market will be the most sensitive indicator of how increased sanctions affect Iran.
Nov 1, 2018
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Procurement Channel (Part 2): The Clandestine Factor
Trying to stop Iran’s nuclear proliferation is a task better suited to allied intelligence services than customs authorities and procurement channels.
Oct 31, 2018
◆
Elana DeLozier
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Tunisia’s Female Jihadists
An unprecedented attack by a female bomber should not come as a surprise considering the spike in women’s jihadist activism since 2011.
Oct 31, 2018
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
U.S. Officials Push for Yemen Talks
Washington’s abrupt change in tone could bolster the UN envoy’s efforts to end the fighting and convene negotiations sooner rather than later.
Oct 31, 2018
◆
Elana DeLozier
August Pfluger
Articles & Testimony
How France and Italy’s Rivalry Is Hurting Libya
The upcoming Palermo conference should be used to facilitate UN-led dialogue between Libyan groups, not to score points in a European diplomatic spat.
Oct 31, 2018
◆
Federica Saini Fasanotti
Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Procurement Channel (Part 1): Salvaging Nonproliferation Gains While Reimposing Sanctions
Washington can use sanctions as leverage to demand more vigilance from JCPOA signatories even as it allows certain useful procurements.
Oct 30, 2018
◆
Katherine Bauer
Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Must Impose a Price on Saudis, But One With a Clear Purpose
Rather than limiting itself to half-measures, Washington should suspend the delivery of offensive weapons and take other steps that convince Riyadh to change the way it operates.
Oct 30, 2018
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran’s ‘Resistance’ Bloc Rises amid New U.S. Sanctions
Hardliners see the latest pressure as proof that defiance works better than compromise—an attitude they are likely to change only if the pressure intensifies.
Oct 29, 2018
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Gorran: A Party of Words, not Deeds
Among the opposition parties operating in Iraqi Kurdistan, the largest is the Gorran Movement (Movement for Change). Founded in 2009 by Nawshirwan Mustafa, former Deputy Secretary of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), the Gorran movement advocates for reform measures and its members have vowed to fight against corruption, nepotism
Oct 29, 2018
◆
Hawkar Abdullah Azeez
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Polls Show Most Gazans Want Israeli Jobs, Not Hamas Mobs
Over the past weekend, the Hamas rulers of Gaza took one old and two new steps. They launched more incendiary balloons at Israeli villages; they condemned Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu’s official visit to Sultan Qaboos in Oman; and they equated the Pittsburgh synagogue massacre to the “terror” of “Israeli occupation.”
Oct 29, 2018
◆
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Economy Is Stagnating Even Before New U.S. Sanctions Hit
The impact of imminent sanctions will be magnified by the economy’s recent struggles, and Tehran’s bad financial policies will only make matters worse.
Oct 29, 2018
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
A Window of Opportunity Has Just Opened in Iraq. Will the U.S. Act?
The triumvirate of leaders to emerge from this year’s elections are strongly associated with nonsectarian, pragmatic government.
Oct 27, 2018
◆
Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu Visits Oman
The high-profile nature of the meeting reaffirms Israel’s success in developing ties with Gulf states, as well as the independent character of Oman’s leader.
Oct 26, 2018
◆
Simon Henderson
Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Anti-Western ‘Blueprint’ for the Next Fifty Years
Khamenei’s latest guidelines for Iranian culture and governance focus on resisting any efforts to reform the regime’s decisionmaking tendencies.
Oct 24, 2018
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Mehdi Khalaji
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Why Hariri Has More to Lose and Hezbollah More to Gain in the New Lebanese Government
On May 24, in the aftermath of the parliamentary elections held earlier that month, Lebanon’s incumbent Prime Minister Saad Hariri was tasked with forming the next cabinet. Nonetheless, while Hariri’s Future Movement remains the biggest Sunni-led party in the Lebanese government, Hezbollah and its allies were able to win the
Oct 22, 2018
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Mona Alami
Brief Analysis
What Does Khashoggi’s Murder Tell Us About the Saudi Power Structure?
The prospect of MbS ruling for decades was once thought to portend stability for the kingdom, but that judgment now seems premature.
Oct 22, 2018
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Why Does Hezbollah Want Lebanon’s Health Ministry?
Iran’s economic problems have reportedly decreased the flow of financial patronage to the group, forcing it to seek another slush fund at home.
Oct 19, 2018
◆
Hanin Ghaddar
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