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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Asaib Ahl al-Haq Accuses Falih al-Fayyadh of Turkish Collusion
Asaib Ahl al-Haq continues to battle with Falih al-Fayyadh, this time highlighting the latter's alleged ties to Turkey as a means to undermine the Popular Mobilization Forces secretary-general
May 8, 2025
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Video
Brief Analysis
Syria Trip Report: Next Steps for U.S. Policy
Watch or read an in-depth conversation with three experts who have spent weeks on the ground in Syria and met with the interim authorities who toppled the Assad regime.
May 8, 2025
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Caroline Rose
Gareth Browne
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqis Are Increasingly Positive on Governance, but Waning National Identity a Warning Sign
With signs of fewer Iraqis prioritizing their national identity, Iraqis are likely to see another elections cycle shaped by subnational identities in the upcoming parliamentary elections.
May 8, 2025
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Munqith Dagher
Karl Kaltenthaler
Brief Analysis
President Trump’s High-Stakes Gulf Trip Requires More Than Good Business
The president is expected to focus on big investment deals and arms sales during his Gulf tour, but he also needs to address some urgent security issues if he wants to come home with a win.
May 8, 2025
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Elizabeth Dent
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Pragmatists Open a Window in Tehran—But for How Long?
Regime officials and the Supreme Leader himself have signaled a willingness to make unprecedented concessions, but taking advantage of this opening will require careful U.S. messaging on counterterrorism, regional deterrence, and human rights.
May 7, 2025
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Hamdi Malik
Articles & Testimony
The Coming Clash Over Syria: Israel and Turkey Are on a Collision Course
After a stunning blow to their mutual Iranian enemy, Israel and Turkey should use close defense and intelligence dialogue to navigate Syria’s extraordinary period of flux and craft a new regional order.
May 6, 2025
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David Makovsky
Simone Saidmehr
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Balancing National Security and Economic Priorities in the U.S.-Jordan Relationship
As the U.S. administration shifts towards an economics-first approach to foreign policy, Jordan will need to find ways to emphasize the benefits of the two countries' decades-long broader strategic relationship in public messaging—both for its own national security interests and as a way to assuage public concerns.
May 5, 2025
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Saud Al-Sharafat
Video
Brief Analysis
President Trump's Gulf Visit: Setting the Stage for Strategic Wins
Watch an expert conversation previewing President Trump's upcoming trip to the Middle East.
May 2, 2025
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Dennis Ross
Emile Hokayem
Joyce Karam
Articles & Testimony
Iraqi Oil and the Iran Threat Network
Terrorist organizations are exploiting Iraq’s energy sector to the tune of billions of dollars per year, raising the need for more intensive efforts to trace how revenues are routed into oil “voucher” programs and other diversion schemes.
April 2025
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Benefits of Disarming Hamas Are Clear. What About the Price?
Even if Washington were willing to support indefinite military occupation, escalating in Gaza would increase the risk to hostages, the strain on the IDF’s reserves, and the discord Israel has faced at home and abroad.
Apr 29, 2025
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David Makovsky
Simone Saidmehr
Articles & Testimony
Ending Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program Is Not Enough
Tehran cannot enjoy the economic benefits it seeks while under sanction, but some sanctions will necessarily remain in place as long as it continues sponsoring terrorism, leaving negotiators with little choice but to address issues beyond the nuclear program.
Apr 25, 2025
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Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Return of Abu Ali al-Askari
In its first statement since October, a notorious Kataib Hezbollah Telegram account offered a deeper dive into how the "resistance" views a range of new developments in Iraq, Syria, and Iran.
Apr 24, 2025
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Crispin Smith
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Sudani's Invitation to Ahmed al-Sharaa Triggers Militia Backlash
Iraq's self-styled "resistance" had an allergic reaction to the idea of Syria's new president setting foot on Iraqi soil, putting Prime Minister Sudani at odds with some of his terrorist supporters.
Apr 23, 2025
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
There Is No Better Time to Disarm Hezbollah
With the group and its Iranian patrons at their weakest point in decades, Beirut has a real opportunity to restore its sovereignty, but waiting for another futile “national dialogue” may close that window.
Apr 23, 2025
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Live by the Sword or Die: Israel’s Post-October 7 Strategic Environment
A year and a half of multifront warfare holds lessons for Israel's approach to regional security, peacemaking, and U.S. relations.
Apr 23, 2025
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Ido Levy
Brief Analysis
The Brotherhood May Have Pushed Jordan Too Far This Time
As revelations continue to unfold about the group’s involvement in militant plots, weapons smuggling, and coordination with foreign accomplices, Amman will likely feel obligated to crack down—the question is how much?
Apr 22, 2025
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
How to Ensure the PLO Meeting Goes Beyond Token Reforms
Although President Abbas seems more focused on meeting diplomatic expectations abroad than dealing with burning issues at home, officials should still push him to propose something beyond cosmetic change—both to address the reality in the West Bank and, perhaps, to legitimize the PA’s eventual return to Gaza.
Apr 22, 2025
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Neomi Neumann
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Chief Urges Ongoing Caution with the United States
Abu Hussein has asked the group's fighters to keep showing restraint, seemingly reinforcing Iran's preference for calm as nuclear talks with Washington proceed.
Apr 22, 2025
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Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Is the Houthi Threat a Checkmate for U.S. Military Logistics?
The Iran-backed militia’s disruption of Red Sea shipping is threatening America’s ability to rapidly deploy and supply its forces in the Middle East and beyond, but a combination of logistical workarounds, military measures, and diplomatic efforts may be the answer.
Apr 21, 2025
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James E. Shepard
Brief Analysis
Settler Violence Is Turning the West Bank Into a Tinderbox
The West Bank has been a relatively minor front in Israel’s post-October 7 war, but if violence by far-right settlers continues to increase, the fallout could be substantial.
Apr 18, 2025
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Neomi Neumann
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