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Articles & Testimony
Putin Prioritizes Syria. Biden Should Too.
Moscow has intensified its military deployments in sensitive areas and continued its counterproductive diplomatic track, exhibiting a long-game mindset that Washington needs to match.
Mar 24, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Iranian Nuclear Breakout: What It Is and How to Calculate It
With a basic knowledge of uranium enrichment and an interactive spreadsheet, governments and even the public can quickly work out how close Tehran may be to a nuclear weapon.
Mar 24, 2021
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Revitalizing Alliances to Counter Terrorism
Washington needs to revisit its traditional reluctance to share decisionmaking with European partners—who in turn need to reconsider their traditional discomfort over burden sharing.
Mar 24, 2021
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Matthew Levitt
In-Depth Reports
Defining a Realistic Policy Toward Erdogan's Turkey:
Advice for the Biden Administration
U.S. concerns center on Turkey’s democratic backslide and deepening ties between Erdogan and Putin—but the Turkish president also wants to develop a rapport with Joe Biden and fortify his country’s weakened economy.
Mar 24, 2021
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Soner Cagaptay
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Transition 2021
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Expanding Humanitarian Assistance to Syrians: Two Deadlines Approaching
Syria may not be a priority for the Biden administration, but the Brussels pledging conference and the July vote on the UN cross-border mechanism mean that major donors can no longer keep the disastrous humanitarian situation on the back burner or expect NGOs to resolve it on their own.
Mar 23, 2021
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Calvin Wilder
Brief Analysis
Momentum Swings Toward Netanyahu in Tight Race
Netanyahu has managed to erode support for key rivals and further complicate any opposition coalition scenarios, but the lingering possibility of a fifth round of elections raises troubling questions about the status of Israeli politics.
Mar 22, 2021
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Continues Playing Hardball in Nowruz Speech
Far from compromising his nuclear position, the Supreme Leader keeps asserting that Iran can neutralize sanctions and solve its economic challenges on its own, both by leveraging domestic capabilities and demonstrating the people’s supposed electoral support for the regime.
Mar 22, 2021
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Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Gray Zone Strategy: Cornerstone of Its Asymmetric Way of War
America’s failure to operate effectively in the gray zone against a third-tier power like Iran raises questions about its ability to counter much more potent actors like Russia and China.
Mar 19, 2021
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Michael Eisenstadt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Morocco’s Diplomatic Efforts in Africa Are Shaping the Region
Shifts in African continental politics and U.S. recognition of Moroccan sovereignty in Western Sahara are components of a deepening rift between Morocco and Algeria.
Mar 19, 2021
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Samir Bennis
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Can Washington Constructively Engage Cairo on Human Rights?
If Washington hopes to encourage a change in human rights issues in Egypt, it should prioritize constructive engagement with Egypt and refrain from numerous critical public statements, unless it is willing to back them with action.
Mar 19, 2021
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Haisam Hassanein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The EastMed Gas and Philia Forums: Reimagining Cooperation in the Mediterranean
Arab and Mediterranean countries with common interests are creating new shared tools that can be used to combat Turkish and Iranian influence in their regions.
Mar 18, 2021
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Rauf Baker
Articles & Testimony
Re-Budgeting for a Right-Sized International Counterterrorism Posture
After twenty years of investing in unique and powerful counterterrorism tools, the U.S. government now risks falling behind the times by allowing these tools to direct its strategy.
Mar 18, 2021
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
To Push Past Hezbollah Stonewalling, Leverage the LAF
The political fallout from a recent speech by the Lebanese Armed Forces commander gives Washington and its partners a golden opportunity to prod the country from crisis management toward actual solutions.
Mar 18, 2021
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Pope, Iraq, and the Iranian-Backed Iraqi Militias
The pope's visit in Iraq highlights Iranian-back militias' failure to successfully depict themselves as saviors of Iraqi Christians.
Mar 18, 2021
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Phillip Smyth
Brief Analysis
The Saudi Air Defense Problem Is a U.S. Opportunity
Washington can do much to help the kingdom close its serious air defense gaps, whereas acquiring Russian S-400s would be militarily insufficient and strategically disastrous.
Mar 17, 2021
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Patrick Schmidt
Brief Analysis
Saving the Yemen Peace Process by Blunting the Houthi Push for Marib
Losing Marib would discredit and debilitate the multilateral peace effort, so the United States should facilitate more energetic Saudi and Emirati support to the city’s defense.
Mar 17, 2021
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Articles & Testimony
Tunisia 2021: Ennahda vs. Extremists
Despite accusations by leftist politicians, Ennahda’s commitment to national security has not wavered since it turned on the jihadi movement, but the party still needs to define what it means by “Muslim Democracy.”
Mar 17, 2021
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Video
Brief Analysis
Rethinking U.S. Counterterrorism Two Decades After 9/11
Three veteran counterterrorism practitioners from recent administrations take stock of America’s overall strategy, foreign posture, and domestic threats at the dawn of the Biden presidency.
Mar 17, 2021
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Matthew Levitt
Katrina Mulligan
Christopher Costa
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Jihadi Movements 2021: ISIS, al-Qaeda, and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham
A closer look at the attack patterns, ideological disagreements, and shifting strategies of the world’s foremost jihadi organizations over the past year.
Mar 17, 2021
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Is Russia Trying to Play Kingmaker in Lebanon?
To expand its strategic influence on the Mediterranean, Moscow is exploiting Beirut and Hezbollah’s crisis at a time when the West seems uncertain about how much to intervene.
Mar 16, 2021
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
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