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Proliferation

Policy Analysis on Proliferation

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Brief Analysis
An “Enrichment Consortium” Is No Panacea for the Iran Nuclear Dilemma
The United States should recognize consortia concepts for what they are: face-saving steps rather than cure-alls for the nonproliferation problems created by Iran’s nuclear activities.
Jun 5, 2025
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  • Richard Nephew
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Nuclear Talks and Iran’s Missile Program: Addressing the Overlooked Arsenal
Given Iran’s unchecked missile buildup since the last nuclear deal, any future agreement should include enforceable limits on the development and stockpiling of long-range missiles to ensure lasting regional security and nonproliferation.
Jun 3, 2025
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Iranian foreign minister Abbas Araghchi in 2025 - source: Foreign Ministry of Iran
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Foreign Minister Knows How to Speak Trump’s Language—Literally
In a bid to appease—and manipulate—the pioneer of “Twitter diplomacy,” Iran’s chief nuclear negotiator has adopted President Trump’s social media style while seeking favorable terms for the next big deal.
May 30, 2025
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  • Holly Dagres
A man holds a newspaper featuring a photograph of U.S. President Trump and his Middle East advisor, Steve Witkoff, in Tehran - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Is a Good Iran Deal Possible?
If carefully negotiated and given enough time to demonstrate results, a new deal could prevent a crisis in the near term and create a foundation for regional stability down the road.
May 26, 2025
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  • Richard Nephew
A sign and mural in Tehran promote the Fatteh missile and threaten Israel with the slogan "400 Seconds to Tel Aviv" - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
A Potential "Interim" Iran Nuclear Deal Sounds Great, But It Isn’t
Now is the time to exert Washington's greatly expanded leverage, forcing Tehran to choose between a painful future with enrichment and other subversive tools in its arsenal or a hopeful future without them.
May 21, 2025
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  • Robert Satloff
Iranian presidential candidate Masoud Pezeshkian poses in front of a poster of Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei prior to Iran's 2024 presidential elections - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Pragmatists Open a Window in Tehran—But for How Long?
Regime officials and the Supreme Leader himself have signaled a willingness to make unprecedented concessions, but taking advantage of this opening will require careful U.S. messaging on counterterrorism, regional deterrence, and human rights.
May 7, 2025
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  • Hamdi Malik
An Iranian soldier wearing an IRGC uniform salutes in front of an Iranin flag - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Ending Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Program Is Not Enough
Tehran cannot enjoy the economic benefits it seeks while under sanction, but some sanctions will necessarily remain in place as long as it continues sponsoring terrorism, leaving negotiators with little choice but to address issues beyond the nuclear program.
Apr 25, 2025
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
What a U.S.-Saudi Nuclear “Pathway” Might Mean for the Iran Talks
Rather than clearing a route to normalization with Israel, a Saudi nuclear agreement with Washington may be key to addressing Iran’s military nuclear potential and wider proliferation concerns in the region.
Apr 16, 2025
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  • Simon Henderson
Photo of the Barakah nuclear power plant in the United Arab Emirates.
Brief Analysis
Setting Up the Next Phase of U.S.-UAE Nuclear Cooperation
With the U.S. point man on energy development touring the Gulf and Chinese and Russian nuclear initiatives on the rise, the Trump administration should consider how best to replicate the responsible Emirati model elsewhere in the region.
Apr 11, 2025
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  • Noam Raydan
Articles & Testimony
A Return to Maximum Pressure: Comprehensively Countering the Iranian Regime’s Malign Activities
The Washington Institute’s director of research testifies on the Trump administration's best means of combining diplomatic, military, and congressional pressure to permanently block Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon or reconstituting its damaged regional threat network.
Apr 1, 2025
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  • Dana Stroul
US and Israeli military planes participate in the 2023 Juniper Oak joint exercise - source: IDF
Video
Brief Analysis
Bombing Iran's Nuclear Program: Implications of Preventive Action
Washington Institute experts discuss what challenges must be addressed in negotiating a new nuclear deal or, failing that, planning a military campaign to degrade or destroy the program.
Mar 25, 2025
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  • Dana Stroul
  • Richard Nephew
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Holly Dagres
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi greets Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov and Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi in Beijing in March 2025 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Leveraging the Gaps in Russia and China’s Complex Relations with Iran
Far from signaling a strong trilateral alliance, their history of often transactional cooperation reveals strategic gaps that Washington can leverage to help curb Iran’s nuclear ambitions.
Mar 24, 2025
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  • Richard Nephew
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio waves from the steps of his official plan in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia - source: Department of State
Articles & Testimony
How to Match Ends and Means in the Middle East
To resolve crises like the Gaza war and Iran’s drive toward nuclear breakout, the Trump administration will need to rediscover the practice of statecraft and marshal the necessary allied help.
Mar 19, 2025
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  • Dennis Ross
An F35A fighter on a night-training mission at dusk
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Attacking Iran's Nuclear Program:
The Complex Calculus of Preventive Action
Should a negotiated deal prove elusive, policymakers will need to consider how to define a successful strike, Iran’s potential responses, and whether a strategy of prevention can be sustained.
Mar 11, 2025
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Iranians shop in a Tehran market ahead of Nowruz celelbrations in 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Sour National Mood Could Complicate U.S. Engagement
When it comes to fixing serious problems with the economy, energy, and other sectors, the reformists have been just as ineffective as the hardliners, eroding any legitimacy they might claim to reopen nuclear negotiations with Washington.
Mar 6, 2025
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  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Here’s Why the U.S. Is No Longer the World’s Only Superpower
Mismatching objectives and means has repeatedly produced failure and undermined consensus, but Washington no longer has the luxury of bad statecraft on pressing issues like Iran’s nuclear program.
Mar 4, 2025
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  • Dennis Ross
Aerial view of the site of an Israeli-Hamas prisoner-hostage swap in Gaza in January 2025 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Path to a Transformed Middle East: How to Keep the Peace in Gaza While Countering Iran
Very close allied coordination will be needed to strike the right balance between pursuing viable nuclear diplomacy and giving Israel the weapons and support it needs to use force against Iran if necessary.
Feb 3, 2025
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  • Dennis Ross
  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
How Trump Can Remake the Middle East
If he uses his major regional leverage to curtail the Iranian nuclear threat and end the Gaza war, he will be well-placed to resume other important tasks that have been sitting on the back burner—including Israeli-Saudi normalization.
Jan 16, 2025
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Making Iran Choose Between the Bomb and Bankruptcy
The regime’s fears of new oil restrictions, simmering domestic unrest, eroding regional deterrence, and unpredictable U.S.-Israeli military action can all be leveraged to steer Khamenei away from racing toward a nuclear weapon.
Jan 13, 2025
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  • Hamdi Malik
A photo illustration shows US and Iranian flags and an atomic symbol - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
A Last Chance for Iran
The Trump administration should give nuclear diplomacy a final shot—while preparing to use military force.
Jan 2, 2025
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  • Richard Nephew

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Henry Rome
Henry Rome
Henry Rome was a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, specializing in Iran sanctions, economic, and nuclear issues.
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