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Syria

Policy Analysis on Syria

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Brief Analysis
Erdogan's Nationalist Path to a Full Presidential System
By further hardening his approach toward Kurdish nationalism at home and in Syria, Erdogan hopes to woo Turkish ultranationalists and legally enshrine his executive power, but his efforts could clash with U.S. policy on the war next door.
May 24, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Video
Salafism and the Islamic State: A Video Introduction
The Islamic State (IS or ISIS) is often identified as the world’s leading proponent of Salafism, or fundamentalist Sunni Islam. The IS-affiliated perpetrators of the 2016 Brussels terrorist attacks had close ties with local Salafist groups. In their textbooks, the Islamic State promises to revive a Salafi understanding of Islam
May 23, 2016
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  • Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
Turkey's War of Attrition With the Islamic State: The Rocket Threat
Ankara's terrorist adversaries have expanded their destructive reach with mobile rocket launchers and other formidable weapons, so deterring the threat will require a similarly robust Turkish approach to procurement, development, and deployment of various military systems.
May 17, 2016
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  • Can Kasapoglu
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Biggest Loss to Date in Syria
Mustafa Badreddine's death will hurt the group's operational efforts and morale in Syria, but it remains to be seen who it will blame for the attack and whether it will retaliate.
May 13, 2016
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  • Nadav Pollak
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The IRGC Morphs Into an Expeditionary Force
Funeral notices indicate that Iran has increased its use of IRGC Ground Forces in Syria to offset mounting losses by the elite Qods Force, and this pattern could signal a wider transformation in how the IRGC operates abroad.
May 12, 2016
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  • Ali Alfoneh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Battle for Deir al-Zour: A U.S.-Russian Bridge Against the Islamic State?
The survival of the regime enclave in Deir al-Zour is fundamental to the anti-IS fight, so Washington and Moscow's allies on the ground may need to race to its rescue sooner rather than later.
May 11, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Why Turkey Is Unlikely to Alter Its Syria Policy in Wake of Prime Minister's Exit
Davutoglu's departure probably won't change President Erdogan's perception that Turkey has the moral high ground by supporting Sunni rebels in Syria against the Assad regime.
May 6, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Fueling the Islamic State's Engine
What makes someone become a violent Salafi rather than a non-violent Salafi depends on how they answer a basic question -- what makes someone Muslim?
May 5, 2016
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  • Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
Syria and the Holocaust: Putting 'Never Again' to the Test
As complicated as the Syria policy challenge may be, the president’s continued inaction in the face of atrocity and his statements about that deliberate posture remain deeply troubling.
May 3, 2016
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  • Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
U.S. Military Engagement in the Broader Middle East
Reflecting broad foreign policy themes dating to World War I, U.S. grand strategy in the Middle East since the Cold War has focused on establishing and managing a global security system to contain and deter outside threats. Given Eurasia's demographic and economic/technical strength, a dominant power or powers arising from
May 3, 2016
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  • James Jeffrey
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Leave Root Causes Aside -- Destroy the ISIS 'State'
Of course it would be daunting to solve the conflicts the Islamic State feeds on, but that shouldn't be the mission in the first place.
Apr 29, 2016
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  • James Jeffrey
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Ideology of Authority: 50 Years of Education in Syria
April 28, 2016 In the decades before 2011, Syria’s Baath Party flag, which controlled “society and state," and images of the president and “Leader” dominated all public platforms: the corridors of the state’s institutions and agencies, public squares, and even non-governmental institutions. This branding was most visible in educational institutions
Apr 28, 2016
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  • Dr. Raymon Al-Maaloli
Articles & Testimony
The Caliphate as Geopolitical Challenge
Until ISIS declared its so-called caliphate in 2014, this Islamic theological term barely raised flags for the West.
Apr 28, 2016
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  • Jacob Olidort
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Latest Aleppo Battle May Give the Islamic State Another Reprieve
Aside from President Obama, none of the main players in Syria has an interest in rushing toward Raqqa, so they will likely focus on exploiting the various campaigns around Aleppo instead.
Apr 26, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Red Line Revisited: The Costs and Benefits of Not Striking Syria
Rather than debate the hypothetical results if the administration had ordered strikes in 2013, it is more instructive to examine the policy it did execute, which delivered questionable results at significant cost.
Apr 22, 2016
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  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Moscow's Playbook in Syria
The recent Russian "withdrawal" from Syria reflects not a parting of ways with Assad but rather frustration with the regime's poor performance on the battlefield and at the negotiating table.
Apr 21, 2016
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Bachar el-Assad Garde Encore la Main
Despite talk of a negotiated transition or a national unity government, Syria's Bashar al-Assad intends to stay. And while Western powers maneuver for diplomatic high ground in Geneva, Russia continues to push its on-the-ground military advantage on Assad's behalf.
Apr 13, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Iran's Army Suffers Its First Casualties in Syria
Elements of the national army have officially joined the IRGC on Syria's battlefields, but Tehran's apparent public-relations strategy could backfire at home if casualties mount.
Apr 12, 2016
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
The Islamic State, Extremism, and the Spread of Transnational Terrorism
For many at-risk Muslims in Europe, the Islamic State provided the opportunity to be a part of building something exciting, and local authorities are now dealing with the consequences of this recruitment wave.
Apr 12, 2016
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  • Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Alawites in Syrian Society: Loud Silence in a Declaration of Identity Reform
April 11, 2016 The “Declaration” presumably issued by Alawite notables and broadly covered by international media is a historic statement, irrespective of its political implications. While it commands international engagement, both to highlight its positive aspects and to invite its authors to expand on the less positive, it particularly ought
Apr 11, 2016
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  • Hassan Mneimneh

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler is the Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on Syria and U.S. policy in the Levant.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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