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Syria

Policy Analysis on Syria

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In-Depth Reports
In Pursuit of Good Ideas:
The Syria Train-and-Equip Program
This study by two military experts explores the evolution of the initial Syria train-and-equip program and offers recommendations should Washington decide to pursue future iterations.
Sep 12, 2016
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  • Lt. Col. J. Stewart Welch
  • CDR Kevin Bailey
Articles & Testimony
In Syria Talks With Russia, John Kerry's Hand Is Missing a Key Card
If President Obama hopes to change the ongoing stalemate on ceasefire talks, Secretary Kerry needs an 'or else' to deliver to Moscow.
Sep 9, 2016
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  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
After ISIS: A New ISIS
Even after the group is defeated in Iraq and Syria, it will maintain the intellectual arsenal it has constructed for its supporters, so the U.S. should prepare for the next stage of the fight accordingly.
Sep 8, 2016
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  • Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
Iran's 'Useful Syria' Is Practically Complete
Helping the Assad regime establish full control in Damascus is only one part of Iran's plan to create a regional Shiite crescent, and any ceasefire plan that furthers such goals could spark wider sectarian conflict.
Sep 8, 2016
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Obama's Meeting with Erdogan: 'Minor Uptick' in U.S.-Turkey Relations
Their first post-coup meeting was one of the few positive bilateral developments in quite some time, so Washington should try to build on it.
Sep 7, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
After the Jarabulus Offensive:
How Far Will Turkey Shift Its Syria Policy?
Turkey's Syria policy appears to be changing trajectory, signaled by three recent developments: the July 16 attempted coup, which exposed rifts within the military; the August 9 meeting between Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Russian president Vladimir Putin; and Turkey's incursion into Syria, culminating in the capture of Jarabulus
Sep 2, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Non-Iranian Shiites Paying the Price in Aleppo
The costly siege has spurred Iran to withdraw or relocate certain IRGC units, but this is unlikely to hurt the Assad coalition's strategy in Aleppo so long as Hezbollah and other Shiite militias remain willing to fight there.
Aug 31, 2016
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  • Ali Alfoneh
Articles & Testimony
Vladimir Putin and the Shiite Axis
Russia's military alliance with Iran is all about keeping Assad in power and America on its back foot, and even a short-lived partnership can do long-term damage to U.S. interests.
Aug 30, 2016
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
In-Depth Reports
The Rise of ISIL:
Counterterrorism Lectures 2015
As authorities scramble to prepare for the ways in which the Islamic State threat will continue to evolve, many lessons can be learned by looking at the factors that led to its rise. This seventh volume of Counterterrorism Lectures traces ISIL's evolution during 2015.
Aug 29, 2016
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  • Matthew Levitt
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Turkey
The ongoing influx of Syrians could tilt future elections in Erdogan and the AKP's favor, though the long-term demographic and social repercussions will be felt regardless of political outcomes.
Aug 25, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Oya Aktas
  • Cagatay Ozdemir
Brief Analysis
Rojava's Sustainability and the PKK's Regional Strategy
As the Kurds continue to pursue their goal of a contiguous territory in northern Syria, various nonmilitary factors will determine whether their nascent statelet is viable in the long term, including a host of demographic, economic, water, and oil issues.
Aug 24, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Assad Bombs the Kurds: Implications for U.S. Strategy in Syria
Escalating hostilities between regime forces and Syrian Kurds in Hasaka will likely complicate Washington's campaign against the Islamic State, in which the Kurds and their Arab allies have been its most effective partners.
Aug 23, 2016
◆
  • Barak Barfi
Brief Analysis
Iran's Afghan and Pakistani Proxies: In Syria and Beyond?
As part of its renewed effort to export the Islamic Revolution through armed proxies, Tehran has been recruiting and training Afghan and Pakistani fighters for Syria's battlefields, thereby giving them invaluable experience for potential future campaigns in other regional countries.
Aug 22, 2016
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Russia Uses an Iranian Air Base: Two Essays
Two Iran experts discuss the political and military implications of Tehran's unprecedented decision to allow Russian airstrikes from its territory.
Aug 17, 2016
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
  • Farzin Nadimi
Video
Brief Analysis
A Transformative Experience: Understanding Hezbollah's Involvement in Syria
How has Hezbollah avoided a catastrophic quagmire in Syria and even exploited its campaign there to enhance its military capabilities? Two experts chart the group's evolution and its future threats to Lebanon, Israel, and regional order.
Aug 15, 2016
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  • Nadav Pollak
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Aleppo: Is the Turnaround Sustainable for the Rebels?
Anti-Assad forces can relish a victory, but their stated aspiration to hold the entire city should be taken with a grain of salt.
Aug 9, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Russian Ties after the Erdogan-Putin Breakthrough
The Russian president will likely follow up today's meeting by offering to lift sanctions, along with other incentives, but the longer-term bilateral impact on political ties, especially in Syria, will remain unknown for some time.
Aug 9, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
Inside the Caliphate's Classroom:
Textbooks, Guidance Literature, and Indoctrination Methods of the Islamic State
Two years after the declaration of a caliphate by the Islamic State, the world has become well acquainted with the group's brutality, territorial expansion, apocalyptic narrative, and ability to stage large-scale terrorist attacks inside and outside the Middle East. Less discussed are IS textbooks and book-publishing activities. Our knowledge of
Aug 5, 2016
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Video
Brief Analysis
Prosecuting Assad: War Crimes, Mass Atrocities, and U.S. Policy
Three experts discuss the trove of documentation behind Syrian war crimes, U.S. pursuit of transitional justice for the Assad regime, and how prosecutions might proceed.
Aug 5, 2016
◆
  • Stephen J. Rapp
  • Ben Taub
In-Depth Reports
The Transformation of Hezbollah by Its Involvement in Syria
In examining the military and political effects of Hezbollah's involvement in Syria, one sees that the group has paid a heavy price in blood and treasure, yet it has also achieved much. For an entity that has evolved from a small cadre of militants to a large guerrilla force to
Aug 4, 2016
◆
  • Nadav Pollak

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler is the Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on Syria and U.S. policy in the Levant.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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