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Syria

Policy Analysis on Syria

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Articles & Testimony
The Case for (Finally) Bombing Assad
If Russia does want to limit its involvement in Syria, the threat of limited strikes should persuade it to make the Syrian leader behave.
Aug 3, 2016
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  • Dennis Ross
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Damascus Control Emboldens Assad Nationally
Without a real military threat to the capital, neither the Syrian leader nor Iran will accept a political transition, even if Russia agrees to one.
Aug 2, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kurdish Forces Bolster Assad in Aleppo
By allying with the Syrian regime, the YPG implicitly signaled to the U.S. government that the Kurdish group will act based on its own interests.
Jul 29, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Closing Loopholes in the Proposed U.S.-Russian Agreement on Syria
The agreement's currently proposed terms have far less chance of stemming the international terrorist threat, helping the Syrian people, or turning the cessation of hostilities into a viable ceasefire.
Jul 14, 2016
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Threat in the Golan Heights
Using both carrots and sticks, Israel has so far managed to prevent attacks against the Golan, but the danger is growing as jihadist movements increase their presence in southwestern Syria amid setbacks on other fronts.
Jul 14, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Will the PKK and the Islamic State Bring Turkey and Russia Closer Together?
If Ankara wants to intervene against the Islamic State in Syria, block Kurdish advances, and defeat the PKK at home, it may decide to do whatever is necessary to placate Moscow, perhaps even cutting off support for certain anti-Assad rebel groups.
Jul 7, 2016
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Why the Islamic State Targets Muslim Countries Like Turkey
In addition to ideological concerns, the group can't afford to lose access to Syria's northern border, so it has responded to Turkish-backed rebel offensives there with multiple terrorist attacks.
Jul 6, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Shaping U.S.-Russian Cooperation Against Jabhat al-Nusra
Helping Russia target the jihadist group will only benefit the Assad regime unless Washington ensures that such efforts are carefully targeted, strictly conditioned, and accompanied by additional reinforcement of the moderate opposition.
Jul 1, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Tuesday Changed Everything
A discussion of how the Istanbul airport attack will affect Turkey's tourism sector, its war footing against ISIS, its domestic political climate, and other key factors.
Jun 30, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Istanbul Attack Vengeance Will Be Like 'Rain From Hell'
ISIS may be trying to sow domestic suspicion by not claiming responsibility for the airport attack, but the incident could still spur Turkey into full-scale war against the group.
Jun 29, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Prove Islamic State a False Prophet
Washington needs to destroy the group's image and achievements, and give Sunnis reason to help in that effort.
Jun 21, 2016
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's Views on Homosexuality
The group's public executions of gay men are part of a deliberate moral policing campaign, one aimed at showing supporters and enemies alike that it means to enforce its narrow, atavistic view of Islamic law wherever it can.
Jun 14, 2016
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
Hizbullah Under Fire in Syria
Last month's assassination of a senior Hizbullah commander, apparently by Syrian rebel groups, demonstrates the growing threat the organization faces from fellow Arabs and Muslims.
Jun 9, 2016
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Nadav Pollak
Brief Analysis
Russian Views on the Middle East: A Trip Report
Two Washington Institute experts share their findings from recent visits to Russia, where they discussed a wide range of regional issues with current and former officials, leading analysts, and other citizens.
Jun 3, 2016
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  • James Jeffrey
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Raqqa Will Not Fall Until Arab Tribes Fight the Islamic State
The tribes in eastern Syria have been driven in different directions by the Assad regime, outside actors, and their own self-interest, leaving the coalition with a complex web to untangle before it can fully uproot IS.
Jun 3, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
The Aerial Delivery of Humanitarian Aid in Syria: Options and Constraints
While airlift operations may provide temporary relief for a number of besieged and hard-to-reach communities, urgently enhancing the military capabilities of moderate opposition groups is ultimately the only way to effectively counter the Assad regime's use of food as a weapon.
May 27, 2016
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Water Issues Are Crucial to Stability in Syria's Euphrates Valley
Regardless of who drives the Islamic State out of the Euphrates Valley agricultural zone, they will need to address the legacy of failed regime irrigation policies that are once again creating tension among local tribes.
May 26, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
The PKK Could Spark Turkish-Russian Military Escalation
Russia and Syria's dormant ties with the group have been reawakened by the civil war, raising the prospect of dangerous weapons proliferation and potential escalation into direct conflict with Turkey.
May 25, 2016
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Is Targeting Syria's Alawite Heartland -- and Russia
The group's choice of targets is a clear sign of its intention to inflame Sunni/Alawite tensions, raise the price of Moscow's intervention, and assert its symbolic leadership over the rebellion.
May 24, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
The Southern Front in Syria
By supporting rebel progress in the south, Washington could put more pressure on Assad and his allies at relatively low cost, and perhaps turn the wavering Druze fully against the regime.
May 24, 2016
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  • Ehud Yaari

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler is the Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on Syria and U.S. policy in the Levant.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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