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Proliferation

Policy Analysis on Proliferation

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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Assad's Chemical Attack Signals an Imminent Idlib Offensive
The regime's latest atrocity was spurred by clear military motivations, and the situation will likely worsen as the army begins a wider ground campaign against rebel strongholds in Idlib province.
Apr 14, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Iran Is Still Using Pseudo-Civilian Airlines to Resupply Assad
While some international sanctions against Iranian civil aviation have been lifted, Tehran's insistence on using Mahan Air and other companies to send personnel and weapons to Syria may jeopardize the industry's future.
Apr 13, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Military Strikes on Syria: Historical Lessons and Implications
Assad's track record indicates that he will likely continue challenging the chemical redline, and that additional strikes and other pressures may be necessary to deter him from doing so.
Apr 7, 2017
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Trump Raises the Stakes for Russia and Iran
Even if the U.S. strike in Syria has not fundamentally changed the dynamic in the war, opening a new window of possibility, Washington has sent the powerful message that using chemical weapons carries a price.
Apr 7, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Altering Assad's Course
As the Trump administration decides whether to pursue a limited military response, it should use existing international legal mechanisms to pressure Damascus and Moscow right away.
Apr 6, 2017
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Is Khan Sheikhoun a Game Changer for Russia?
The United States should not expect any change from Putin until Washington changes its approach first.
Apr 6, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
America Must Send a Strong Message to Syria That Using Chemical Weapons in War Is Not Acceptable
The latest regime attack has once again shown that any effort to confront the Islamic State in Syria must also confront Assad.
Apr 4, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Testing the Limits: Iran's Ballistic Missile Program, Sanctions, and the IRGC
A military expert lays out the short- and long-term strategic challenges posed by allowing Tehran to continue building up its missile arsenal.
Mar 29, 2017
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
The View from Congress: U.S. Policy on Iran
A former National Security Council director outlines the three pillars on which Washington can build a policy of curbing Iran's more destabilizing regional ambitions.
Mar 28, 2017
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Iran May Be Renewing Its Interest in Armored Warfare
The Syria war will likely spur Tehran to increase the role of armor in its future military planning, but it is still years away from developing an advanced tank force of its own.
Mar 27, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Iran's navy commander speaks in front of a map
Brief Analysis
Is Iran Attempting to Thwart U.S. Naval Surveillance of Its Missile Tests?
Tehran seems eager to extend the range and capabilities of its antiship missiles, and just as eager to prevent the West from monitoring its progress toward that end, even at the risk of escalating naval tensions.
Mar 9, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
In-Depth Reports
Deterring Tehran:
An Iran Policy for the New Administration
The United States should adopt a strategy on Iran that erects daunting defenses to dissuade the Islamic Republic from challenging the interests of the United States and its allies and that imposes sharp, painful costs should Iran do so nonetheless. In this transition paper for the new administration, Institute managing
Mar 7, 2017
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Iran Takes Another Step Toward Fielding S-300 Missiles
If this and other recent air defense developments bear fruit, Iran might soon become self-sufficient in such technology and could even begin offering it for export.
Mar 7, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iran Keeps a Lid on Its Latest 'Great Prophet' Exercise
The restrained nature of this month's military demonstration could signal a combination of dynamics in Tehran: a reaction to the Trump administration's arrival, a shift in the regime's threat assessments, or continued internal political maneuvering.
Feb 28, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Iran on Notice
A former Treasury official outlines the various steps Washington can take to support its stated goal of curbing provocative Iranian behavior such as ballistic missile tests, military interventionism, illicit financing, and terror sponsorship.
Feb 16, 2017
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  • Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
Why Trump and Netanyahu Might Keep Iran Nuclear Deal After All
Despite the prime minister's distaste for the deal, he will likely ask Washington to enforce it to the hilt instead of shredding it -- something the Trump White House seems ready to do given its actions toward Iran thus far.
Feb 15, 2017
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
Reinforcing the Role of Sanctions in Restraining Iran
Even while the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action is in place, the Trump administration could bring significant pressure to bear on Iran. In this Policy Note, Institute fellows Katherine Bauer, Patrick Clawson, and Matthew Levitt look at the role of sanctions in restraining Iran's regional aggression and disrupting its global-terrorism
Feb 13, 2017
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  • Katherine Bauer
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Can Trump Break Up the Russian-Iranian Alliance?
One of the president's biggest early foreign policy tests will be navigating the aftermath of the nuclear deal, which brought the Islamic Republic even further into Russia's orbit.
Feb 6, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Iran's Latest Missile Test: Scenarios and Implications for the New Administration
Regardless of how the details surrounding Sunday's launch shake out, it was an unhelpful move at a time when the Trump administration is determining its policy toward Iran's missile program and broader regional behavior.
Feb 3, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Video
Brief Analysis
President Trump and the Middle East: Views from Israel
Two Israeli statesmen discuss their country's strategic situation and relations with the United States in the Trump era.
Feb 2, 2017
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  • Tzachi Hanegbi
  • Itamar Rabinovich

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Henry Rome
Henry Rome
Henry Rome was a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, specializing in Iran sanctions, economic, and nuclear issues.
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