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Peace Process

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Peace Process

Policy Analysis on Peace Process

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Articles & Testimony

UAE-Israel Peace Is Revealing the Middle East’s Faultlines

Much of the commentary surrounding the deal has focused on what it portends for the Palestinian issue and other Israeli relationships, but it may say just as much about the four rival factions that have crystallized in the region since 2011.

Sarah Feuer

How to Balance Competing Priorities with an F-35 Sale to the UAE

The sale offers strategic opportunities at a time of pivoting U.S. policy, and the concerns raised in Washington and abroad can be addressed through deliberate technical limitations, financing restrictions, offsetting benefits for Israel, and other measures.

Christine McVann

Articles & Testimony

Diplomacy Built Israeli-Arab Peace. The Private Sector Will Sustain It.

Bahrain, Israel, and the UAE must now focus on the practical steps required to scale up their relations, including efforts related to civil aviation, banking, tourist sites, and more.

Dana Stroul

How the Abraham Accords Look Forward, Not Back

Close reading of Israel’s agreements with the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain shows how their strictly bilateral focus could affect the chances for people-to-people engagement and regional security cooperation, depending on each government's political will.

David Makovsky

Articles & Testimony

Why Moscow Is Quiet on the Israel-UAE Peace Deal

The fact that American rather than Russian mediation helped broker a major Middle East peace agreement is a blow to Putin’s ongoing quest for restored great-power status.

Anna Borshchevskaya

The UAE-Israel Breakthrough: Bilateral and Regional Implications and U.S. Policy

Former diplomats and experts discuss what steps each party should take after the historic White House signing ceremony, and how to bring the Palestinians and other actors into the fold.

Ebtesam al-Ketbi
Dore Gold
Barbara A. Leaf
David Makovsky

Mahmoud Abbas Checking His Watch

Articles & Testimony

The Middle East Is Changing. Will Palestinians Be Left Behind?

The Palestinian issue has become far less of a priority for most Arab states, who now tend to see Israel as a bulwark against regional threats and a partner on urgent health, water, and food-security needs.

Dennis Ross

Bahrain Move Toward Israel Risks Domestic Reaction

The announcement of a peace deal between Israel and Bahrain suggests that the Gulf island kingdom has reassessed the danger of opposition from both its majority Shia population and its Sunni community.

Simon Henderson

Qatar Strategic Dialogue Offers Opening to End Gulf Rift

The Washington meeting between the United States and Qatar, overlapping with the Israel-UAE signing ceremony on normalization, creates a unique opportunity to resolve the dispute between U.S. allies.

Simon Henderson

The Road Beyond UAE-Israel Normalization

Netanyahu’s strategy of bypassing the intractable Palestinian issue has paid substantial dividends worldwide, but a peace treaty ‘domino effect’ is unlikely in the near term given various calculations in Riyadh and other Arab capitals.

Ehud Yaari

Articles & Testimony

Here’s How Palestinians Could Benefit from the Diplomatic Deal Between Israel and the United Arab Emirates

Skillful U.S. and Arab diplomacy could use normalization and the accompanying annexation freeze as a base for renewed momentum toward an eventual two-state solution.

David Makovsky
Daniel Shapiro

Normalization Can Inject New Life into the Arab Peace Initiative

With careful diplomacy, blunt discussion of national interests, and reciprocal steps on the ground, a group of like-minded Arab states could advance Palestinian-Israeli peacemaking while still preserving the API’s core.

Ghaith al-Omari

Articles & Testimony

Peace for Warplanes?

How domestic and foreign disputes over the potential sale of F-35 jets to the UAE could complicate the country's normalization deal with Israel.

Neri Zilber

Articles & Testimony

The Israel-UAE Deal Proves the One-State Solution Is Delusion

Far from producing a melting pot of coexistence and equality, forcing Israelis and Palestinians into a single state would only inflame the conflict and trigger an endless struggle over dominance.

Isaac Herzog
Michael Herzog

Normalization Is Making Cairo Uncomfortable

The UAE’s deal with Israel may render Egypt a junior partner in future peace diplomacy, aggravating its existing frustration over years of financial dependence on the small Gulf state and a string of foreign policy setbacks.

Haisam Hassanein

Decision Points Season Two

The new season of the Decision Points podcast with host David Makovsky focuses on key Israeli and Arab leaders.

David Makovsky

Articles & Testimony

Why the Israel-UAE Agreement Is Actually a Very Big Deal

It shows the Palestinians that their longstanding paradigm for isolating Israel has failed, partly due to converging regional interests, and partly because it was based on incorrect assumptions.

David Makovsky

The Normalization Deal Splits the Gulf States—for Now

Some Gulf governments have welcomed the paradigm-changing Israel-UAE agreement while others have not, and those who follow Abu Dhabi’s path will do so based on their own interests and timetables.

Elana DeLozier

Articles & Testimony

Putting the UAE-Israel Agreement in Its Proper Perspective

Like all good policy decisions, the deal emerged from the enlightened self-interest of the key parties, but the stakes are not as high as with Israel’s previous two Arab peace treaties.

Robert Satloff

Lessons of the UAE Breakthrough: How We Got Here, and Why the U.S. Role Remains Central

Statements and actions by Israel and the UAE show how much regional decisionmaking is still shaped by U.S. assurances that enable parties to calibrate their cost-benefit analyses—an approach that could serve as a template for potential future Israel-Gulf ties.

David Makovsky

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