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North Africa

Policy Analysis on North Africa

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Brief Analysis
Israeli Gas Export Route to Egypt Finalized
The two countries still need to resolve longer-term questions about international export options and energy contracts with Jordan, but the latest step toward reopening the pipeline is encouraging.
Nov 13, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Renaissance Dam Negotiations: An Egyptian View
The U.S.-brokered talks are a good start, but breaking the impasse on the GERD reservoir’s fill rate is crucial to avoiding deep socioeconomic damage in Egypt and potential armed conflict.
Nov 12, 2019
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  • Mahmoud Farouk
Brief Analysis
The Counter-ISIS Coalition Has Much to Do After Baghdadi’s Death
From dissolving the group’s caliphate to killing its leader, the coalition has notched major achievements, but all that work may be for naught if the United States and other members do not renew their cooperation at the upcoming ministerial meeting.
Nov 7, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The U.S.: Between Being the World’s Policeman and Trusting Regional Partners
Despite long-documented public weariness with Middle East conflicts, Trump’s successor could well recognize the value of reestablishing American credibility in the region.
Oct 28, 2019
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Tunisians to Elect a New President
With no clear front-runner emerging and public disillusionment mounting, the struggling Arab democracy is transitioning from a period of consensus to uncertainty.
Sep 13, 2019
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  • Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
The Development of Tunisia’s Domestic Counter-Terrorism Finance Capability
The country is fast becoming a regional leader in meeting global CT norms, developing the necessary toolkits, and integrating its efforts with those of foreign governments.
Sep 10, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
Another Conference on Libya? Enforce the Arms Embargo Instead
Without a concerted international effort to ground UAVs and halt the flow of weapons, the UN will have minimal leverage to restart the country's long-stalled political transition.
Sep 9, 2019
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  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Egypt Takes Another Step Toward China
Port projects and other outreach may help President Sisi check off some of his policy goals, but giving China such a foothold could threaten a number of U.S. interests in the region.
Aug 19, 2019
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  • Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
Twenty Years Under King Mohammed VI (Part 2): Foreign Policy Developments
The king has invested considerable diplomatic capital in Africa, Europe, the United States, and China, but the longstanding Western Sahara dispute remains a source of tension with neighboring Algeria.
Jul 29, 2019
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  • Sarah Feuer
  • Reda Ayadi
Brief Analysis
Twenty Years Under King Mohammed VI (Part 1): Domestic Developments
America’s oldest Arab ally has made significant economic progress since 1999, but grievances regarding social issues and political reform continue to pose a challenge.
Jul 25, 2019
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  • Sarah Feuer
  • Reda Ayadi
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Keeps Calm and Carries On After Latest Terrorist Attack
Links between this attack and older jihadist networks underscore the complex nature of Tunisian radicalization, even if suspicious government data trends seem to suggest the problem is diminishing.
Jul 3, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Now That Morsi Is Gone, Sisi Should Ease His Crackdown
The resilient Muslim Brotherhood is only feeding off Cairo’s repression campaign, which cannot ensure stability indefinitely given the government’s failures on other fronts.
Jun 21, 2019
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  • Barak Barfi
Brief Analysis
Death of Divisive Morsi Could Unite Egypt’s Opposition
His deep unpopularity made it difficult for many actors at home and abroad to criticize the current government, but Washington still stands to lose rather than gain if it comments on the matter.
Jun 20, 2019
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  • Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Energy and Middle East Peace
The slow but steady progress in developing offshore gas fields is transforming local economies and could underpin U.S. peace plans.
Jun 13, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Ramadan Soap Operas Contradict Sisi’s Outreach to Israel
Despite Egypt’s warming relations with the Israeli government, the country’s airwaves and movie theaters are still rife with bellicose and anti-Semitic content.
Jun 7, 2019
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  • Haisam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Warns Sudan—and Perhaps the Saudis—About Cracking Down on Protesters
As international players compete to ease or exploit the crisis, Washington is seemingly pressuring Riyadh to end its support for brutal warlords like General Dagalo.
Jun 6, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s Failure on the Nile
How Turkey’s president went from being a regional Islamist leader in the Arab Spring to sharing Qatar’s role as the Middle East’s odd man out.
May 28, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Russian Activities in Africa
An in-depth look at Putin’s economic, military, and diplomatic outreach to the continent, which has extended well past North African states following his successful power play in Syria.
May 16, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
The Conflict in Libya
To ensure an outcome that benefits U.S. interests in the region, Washington must take a concrete position on Libya that leads to peaceful negotiations rather than armed conflict.
May 15, 2019
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  • Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Moscow in the Middle East and North Africa
To counter Russia’s long game, Washington must show its willingness to compete by maintaining a credible regional presence, crafting a clearer message about its intentions, and moving beyond sanctions.
May 9, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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