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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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Brief Analysis
Proceeding with Caution in Western Sahara
Given growing uncertainties in other North African states, Washington should avoid any sudden moves on the Sahara file even as it builds on the momentum of recent talks.
Apr 23, 2019
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  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Renewing the Iran Sanctions Waivers (Part 1): Nuclear Activities
Neither blanket extension nor wholesale cancellation is the best course, but several of the expiring waivers would serve U.S. interests if properly—and publicly—revised.
Apr 22, 2019
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  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Don't Pull Back from the Middle East
Safeguarding America’s widely agreed interests in the Middle East requires a substantial presence, as does the region’s tendency to export insecurity.
Apr 16, 2019
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Turkish Rupture Could Cause a Fissure in NATO
A dramatic rift seems unavoidable unless Ankara delays the arrival of Russian missiles and Washington provides security guarantees against Moscow and the Syrian Kurds.
Apr 16, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
With Interests in Libya Under Threat, U.S. Must Adopt Urgency
If Haftar does not pull back his forces, Washington and the EU should sanction him for disrupting the UN-backed peace process.
Apr 15, 2019
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  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah-Iran Dynamics: A Proxy, Not a Partner
As U.S. pressure on Tehran heats up, many in Beirut, Washington, and Europe will argue that the group is still an independent actor, but past and recent evidence shows otherwise.
Apr 12, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
The IRGC Designation Couldn’t Come at a Worse Time for Iran
The regime has repeatedly avoided precipitous responses to U.S. sanctions, and it will be even more risk-averse today due to its domestic flood crisis and fears of broader escalation.
Apr 9, 2019
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  • Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
What Will IRGC Designation Actually Do?
The administration's message is not a new one, the FTO listing does not add much additional pressure, and the resultant risks to U.S. interests are significant.
Apr 8, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
How Might Tehran Respond to IRGC Designation?
The regime or individual hardline elements could opt for a number of provocations, from detaining foreigners to launching disruptive naval and cyber operations.
Apr 8, 2019
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
IRGC Designation: From Visas to Symbolic Effects
The practical effects may be limited to minor issues such as visa regulations, while the symbolic implications are not in Tehran's favor.
Apr 8, 2019
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  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Bouteflika Resigns: Next Steps in Uncharted Territory
The accelerating pace of events calls for a careful U.S. response, since instability in Algeria could cause significant disruptions in North Africa, the Mediterranean, energy markets, and counterterrorism.
Apr 3, 2019
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  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Missile Defiance: Potential Threats to Europe, the Gulf, and Israel
Tehran can be expected to continue its provocations amid Western pressure on its missile activities, issuing further threats against U.S. allies and showing off new systems.
Mar 29, 2019
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Assessing the Post–July 15 Turkish Military:
Operations Euphrates Shield and Olive Branch
After Turkey’s July 2016 failed military uprising, the leadership initiated purges and reforms aimed at ensuring the military’s future loyalty, but raising questions about the operational efficiency and effectiveness of the newly configured Turkish Armed Forces. Two subsequent cross-border operations into northern Syria provide valuable insight: Operation Euphrates Shield, lasting
Mar 26, 2019
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  • Metin Gurcan
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Procurement Channels: Leveraging Criminal Networks and Partnering with Iran
A February visit to Tehran by Syrian president Bashar al-Assad showcased just how close the Qods Force-Hezbollah alliance is when it comes to acquiring weapons.
Mar 21, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
How Will Turkey’s Purchase of Russia’s S-400 Air Defense System Affect Ties with NATO?
An expert on Turkish politics expresses the view that alliance pushback may be weaker than in the past, but that the purchase could devastate U.S.-Turkish ties.
Mar 21, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
A U.S.-Iraq Security Partnership: Avoiding the Pitfalls Just Ahead
Nationalist sentiment and Iranian pressure have led some Iraqi legislators to oppose a continued U.S. military presence, but Washington could make things much worse if it overreacts.
Mar 13, 2019
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  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
A Turkish ‘Safe Zone’ in Syria: Prospects and Policy Implications
Establishing such a zone in the northeast would give Ankara and the United States a unique opportunity to work together, provided Washington can convince its European allies to participate as well.
Mar 1, 2019
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Bravado Could Escalate India-Pakistan Attacks to Nuclear Level
National pride and honor can be tricky variables, especially when not accompanied by common sense.
Feb 27, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Repatriating Western Jihadists: The Impact of U.S. Syria Policy
Unless Washington changes its mixed message on foreign fighters and helps its European allies find practical solutions, it may soon face another mass outbreak of seasoned operatives from Syria.
Feb 27, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Growing Influence in North Africa
Moscow casts itself as a reliable mediator and security partner, but in actuality it benefits from playing all sides of regional disputes and fostering perpetual low-level conflict.
Feb 26, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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