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Military & Security

Policy Analysis on Military & Security

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NATO solderis with alliance and national flags
Articles & Testimony
How Putin and NATO Could Get Pulled Into a Disaster in Ukraine
Ukraine is no Syria, and Putin’s miscalculations are astonishing—but the West still faces grave risks of its own, including military escalation, mass refugee flows, and food shortages for Middle Eastern partners.
Mar 15, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Map illustrating strategies for preserving autonomy in northeast Syria.
Brief Analysis
How to Preserve the Autonomy of Northeast Syria
To offset the destabilizing measures coming from Turkey and the Assad axis, Western governments need to offer more development assistance—but in a targeted way that reassures local authorities and minimizes mismanagement.
Mar 15, 2022
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  • Fabrice Balanche
An Iranian Fateh-110 mobile missile launcher on parade
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Cross-Border Strikes: A Pattern in Search of a Policy
The latest strike on Iraq points to a brazen, illegal, and dangerous strategy of exercising leverage via missile and drone attacks—a practice that has gone unchecked for too long.
Mar 15, 2022
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  • Michael Knights
Illustration of chess pieces and the Russian and Ukrainian flags - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
How Will the Ukraine Crisis Affect Middle East Policy?
Three experts discuss whether the war might alter Washington’s calculus on rapprochement with Turkey, regional military deployments, and wider great power competition.
Mar 10, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Grant Rumley
Tunisian citizens who fled the Russian invasion of Ukraine arrive in Tunis - Source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Middle East Students Stranded in Ukraine
Regional governments are scrambling to repatriate thousands of their trapped citizens, and the United States could play a key role in facilitating their safe return.
Mar 9, 2022
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  • Carol Silber
  • Calvin Wilder
Abu Hussein in public
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Exposing Kataib Hezbollah's Royal Family? Insights from Recent Leaks
The unmasking of Abu Hussein and his brothers puts the deposed Kataib Hezbollah official on the receiving end of his favorite tactic: leaking the faces and names of rivals.
Mar 9, 2022
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  • Hamdi Malik
  • Michael Knights
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Mali and MENA: The Future of Counterterrorism in the Sahel and Maghreb
As the Ukraine war creates a critical juncture for European security, France and its partners are pulling military resources out of Mali, raising questions about how best to address persistent terrorist threats and growing Russian footprints in the surrounding regions.
Mar 7, 2022
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  • Louis Dugit-Gros
Humanitarian aid supplies in Lviv, Ukraine - Source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Sinister Reason Russia Wants Humanitarian Corridors in Ukraine
Putin’s deep experience with manipulating ceasefires and humanitarian agreements in Syria gives ample reason to believe he will do the same in Ukraine.
Mar 4, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Russian President Vladimir Putin meets with Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed in 2018 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Putin’s War Has Middle Eastern Countries Hedging Their Bets
Facing greater regional demands and limited resources, Washington will have to be more judicious in its obligations and more consistent in following through, lest its assurances fail to assure.
Mar 4, 2022
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  • David Schenker
United Nations headquarters building in New York - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The UN Resolution on Ukraine: How Did the Middle East Vote?
A comprehensive record of what regional officials said—or didn’t say—about the emergency wartime vote in the General Assembly.
Mar 2, 2022
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Game of Drones
After decades of steady development, Tehran now uses drones to complement its missiles and support the broader effort to bring the entire Middle East within its range.
Mar 2, 2022
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  • Farzin Nadimi
The Iranian embassy in London
Articles & Testimony
Trends in Iranian External Assassination, Surveillance, and Abduction Plots
Law enforcement actions and financial designations are appropriate but insufficient—the attacks will not stop without firm diplomatic isolation, travel and study bans on family members of Iranian leaders, and other direct consequences for regime decisionmakers.
February 2022
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  • Matthew Levitt
Video
Brief Analysis
Targeting the Islamic State: Jihadist Military Threats and the U.S. Response
Two scholars of jihadism assess the group's evolving approaches to conventional and insurgent warfare, and U.S. options for combating them.
Feb 22, 2022
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  • Ido Levy
  • Craig Whiteside
Houthi fighters rally in Sanaa, Yemen
Brief Analysis
A Goldilocks Approach to Sanctioning Yemen’s Houthis
Although the group undoubtedly merits FTO designation, issuing targeted sanctions with broader UN buy-in may achieve better results without the humanitarian complications.
Feb 18, 2022
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  • Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
Israel’s New Strategy: Why a Post-American Middle East Means a Greater Role in Regional Security
In strategic terms, at least, the United States is increasingly shifting its attention to Asia, but this may represent an opportunity for Israel as much as a challenge.
Feb 18, 2022
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  • Amos Yadlin
  • Assaf Orion
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, speaking
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Breaks His Silence on the Nuclear Negotiations
After months of publicly ignoring the issue, the Supreme Leader reminded negotiators to follow his guidelines but refrained from explicitly supporting or rejecting the state of play in Vienna.
Feb 17, 2022
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  • Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
The Third Age of Erdogan’s Foreign Policy
Turkey has been forced to adopt a new approach abroad, presenting a valuable opportunity that the United States and Europe need to seize quickly.
Feb 17, 2022
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  • Rich Outzen
  • Soner Cagaptay
A Russian soldier and flag
Articles & Testimony
The Ukraine Crisis Isn’t Over: Russia Has Lied About Troop Withdrawals Before
In Afghanistan, Syria, and other conflict zones, Moscow has made a habit of obfuscating its intentions and actions via fake withdrawal announcements.
Feb 16, 2022
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
LK profile
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Liwa Khaybar
With probable links to Kataib Hezbollah, this minor facade group claimed a major rocket attack on al-Asad Air Base, but mainly limits itself to claimed bombings against U.S. supply convoys.
Feb 15, 2022
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  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Brief Analysis
Unpacking the UAE F-35 Negotiations
In what has become a major test of America’s shift to great power competition, Washington must weigh its desire to maintain a close security partnership with the UAE against Abu Dhabi’s growing ties with China.
Feb 15, 2022
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  • Grant Rumley

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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