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Arab & Islamic Politics

Policy Analysis on Arab & Islamic Politics

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Brief Analysis
Reformists Apply the 'Lesser Evil' Theory to Iran's Elections
With most of their favorite candidates disqualified, the reformists embraced politicians who were little different from the hardline incumbents, raising questions about their claims of victory.
Mar 9, 2016
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
A Safe Zone in Southern Syria
As the Assad coalition and the Islamic State turn their attention southward, Jordan and the thousands of displaced Syrians waiting outside its border face an increasingly perilous security situation.
Mar 8, 2016
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  • David Schenker
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Protesters hold Syrian and Hezbollah flags
Brief Analysis
How Iran Is Building Its Syrian Hezbollah
Syrian Shiite fighters increasingly show loyalty to Tehran, over even the Assad regime, marking an important shift in the wartime dynamic.
Mar 8, 2016
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  • Phillip Smyth
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hezbollah Labeled Terrorist by GCC States – But What Do Their People Think?
March 8, 2016 In a remarkable if little-noticed development last week, all six GCC states – Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE, Qatar, Oman, and Bahrain – formally designated the Lebanese movement Hezbollah as a terrorist organization. This week, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu called this step “important and even amazing,” but
Mar 8, 2016
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  • David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How to Prevent al-Qaeda from Seizing a Safe Zone in Northwestern Syria
Strong ground support for moderate rebels would be needed to keep any buffer zone in the northwest from falling under the control of al-Qaeda's Syrian affiliate.
Mar 7, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Why the Nuclear Deal Hasn't Softened Iran's Hard-Line Policies
As the election process and continued regional aggression have shown, the regime won't change what it's doing at home or abroad until the price for such behavior is made clear and unmistakable.
Mar 6, 2016
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  • Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Lebanon's [Un]Civil Society
This contribution, the fifth in a series exploring prospects for political reform throughout the Middle East, considers the strengths and limitations of Lebanon’s robust civil society.
Mar 4, 2016
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Third Time the Charm for Reform in Iran?
Tehran has a history of showing hints of reform to hopeful citizens and Western observers only to snatch them away in the end.
Mar 4, 2016
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  • Patrick Clawson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Future of the Iraqi Ba'ath Party
March 3, 2016 Could one of Iraq’s most notorious political parties make a comeback after thirteen years in exile? This may increasingly become a central question for Middle East analysts, as Ba’athists are claiming their sociopolitical platform of supporting pan-Arab causes defused sectarianism and united Iraqis around nationalistic themes. They
Mar 3, 2016
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  • Dani Tahrawi
Brief Analysis
The State(s) of Ideology in Iran
Iranian policymakers understand the failure of their effort to export the Islamic Revolution, and acknowledge the more feasible path to hegemony offered by geopolitics.
Feb 29, 2016
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  • Said Amir Arjomand
Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Popular Demobilisation
The prime minister has broad backing to begin absorbing Shiite militias into the armed forces, though two key PMUs seem bent on resisting the move.
Feb 26, 2016
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  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Russia in the Middle East
Motives, Consequences, Prospects
Since becoming president in 2000, Vladimir Putin has reinvigorated Russia's Middle East ties, a trend underscored by his bold military intervention in the Syria crisis. Through these and other regional moves, he has sought to gain ground at the West's expense while bolstering the Kremlin's legitimacy against domestic pressures --
Feb 26, 2016
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Iran's Melting Factions and Failing Institutions
Given the absence of sharp ideological differences and the growing irrelevance of old political categories, those who win office this week may have little actual influence on important issues such as succession, economics, or the next presidential election.
Feb 26, 2016
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Realpolitik and the Syrian Conflict
Beyond wishful thinking, the current choices for Syria seem limited to either continuing a give-and-take war or having Assad rule Syria much as Saddam ruled Iraq in the 1990s -- under international isolation and with an iron fist.
Feb 26, 2016
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  • Azzam Alkassir
Articles & Testimony
Beyond Nationalism: Kurdistan as a Catalyst for a New Middle East
Caught at the geographic convergence of four key states and their various political and military conflicts, Kurdistan may gradually spread a new paradigm focused on sharing the space instead of attempting to carve untenable dominions out of it.
Feb 25, 2016
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  • Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia Rethinks Its Commitments to Lebanon
Riyadh's latest financial and diplomatic measures may just be a shot across Beirut's bow, but several signs point to a potentially wider Gulf withdrawal that could leave Lebanon even more at Iran and Hezbollah's mercy.
Feb 25, 2016
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Political Landscape -- and What Is Unlikely to Change with Friday's Elections
As in past votes, the candidates have been closely screened, the outcome is expected to uphold the legislature's largely conservative makeup, and the victors will remain largely dependent on military institutions.
Feb 25, 2016
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Great Unraveling
As tumultuous as the region's recent struggles have been, they have also exposed opportunities to establish a more multilateral Middle Eastern security architecture via renewed U.S. leadership.
Feb 25, 2016
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Polls Show Most Muslims Reject Both Extremism and Islamic Reform
In places like Jordan, even minimal support for the Islamic State fell over a one-year period, and a similar downward trend may be occurring elsewhere.
Feb 25, 2016
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  • David Pollock
"Arab Spring" protest in 2011
Articles & Testimony
Promoting Strong and Inclusive Institutions in the Middle East
The main lesson imparted by the Arab Spring at the five year mark is that toppling dictators does not clear a straight path to democracy. Without establishing strong and inclusive institutions to make democratization sustainable following regime change, civil wars have broken out in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Yemen, while
Feb 25, 2016
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  • Maurizio Geri

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari is the Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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