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Arab & Islamic Politics

Policy Analysis on Arab & Islamic Politics

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Articles & Testimony
Iraq Is Not Yet Lost, But If We Continue to Ignore It, It Soon Will Be
Muddled governance, harsh crackdowns, and outside interference threaten to overturn the fragile freedom that Iraqis have won at great cost.
Oct 15, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What Is Iran Up To in Deir al-Zour?
Tehran and its proxies have been exerting hard and soft power in northeast Syria, combining military consolidation with economic, social, and religious outreach in order to cement their long-term influence.
Oct 10, 2019
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  • Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
As Protests Explode, Iraq Must Get Serious About Reform
The public’s demands are just and their patience is all but gone, so Baghdad needs to get on with the hard work of opening up the economy and providing critical services before the violence spirals out of control.
Oct 4, 2019
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  • Bilal Wahab
Kuwait City at sunset.
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Kuwait: A Changing System Under Stress
Sudden Succession Essay Series
In a Gulf region experiencing sharp tensions, how might a leadership transition in Kuwait affect a much-needed node of stability?
Oct 4, 2019
◆
  • Kristian Coates Ulrichsen
  • Simon Henderson
◆ Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Prioritizes Its Own Interests, Putting Lebanon at Risk
As demonstrators rail against economic problems, corruption, and sectarianism, the group’s role in undermining the public’s financial and physical security is coming under greater scrutiny.
Oct 3, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Helping Iraq Take Charge of Its Command-and-Control Structure
Recent organizational shifts offer a glimmer of hope that Baghdad will stand up to Iranian influence, but implementation will be the test of their actual merit.
Sep 30, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
Erdogan's Empire: The Evolution of Turkish Foreign Policy
A lively discussion of how Ottoman history, pro-Western precedent, and sharp regional setbacks have shaped the Turkish leader's shifting approach to foreign affairs and relations with Washington.
Sep 27, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Amanda Sloat
  • Molly Montgomery
  • Tomasz Hoskins
In-Depth Reports
Syria Study Group 2019:
Final Report and Recommendations
A comprehensive, bipartisan look at how the U.S. government can still achieve important objectives on various fronts, from countering terrorist groups and Iran to addressing refugee and humanitarian issues.
Sep 24, 2019
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  • Michael Singh
  • Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Seven Black Swans in the Middle East
Events considered impossible tend to happen in the region with unusual frequency, so when will the next one appear?
Sep 24, 2019
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  • Martin Kramer
Brief Analysis
Don’t Write Off Iraq
Even as Baghdad works to rein in militias that invite outside attacks, Washington needs to be patient with the country’s contradictions in the near term and give space for it to exert sovereignty in the long term.
Sep 24, 2019
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  • Bilal Wahab
  • Barbara A. Leaf
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Push for ‘Regime Change’ in Saudi Arabia and Washington
Emboldened by their success in attacking Gulf and U.S. interests with relative impunity, Iranian leaders are now aiming to disgrace the Saudi royal family and foster Trump’s defeat in the 2020 election.
Sep 20, 2019
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The South Caucasus Factor of the United States-Russia-Iran Triangle
Armenia, Georgia, and Azerbaijan still have pro-Western democratic aspirations, so U.S. policymakers should continue engaging them on ways to reduce interference from Moscow and Tehran.
Sep 16, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Tunisians to Elect a New President
With no clear front-runner emerging and public disillusionment mounting, the struggling Arab democracy is transitioning from a period of consensus to uncertainty.
Sep 13, 2019
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
How Will Palestinians Respond to Netanyahu’s Annexation Announcement?
Abbas will likely use it to rally the Arab League and UN against the Trump administration’s peace plan, and his success will depend on Washington’s own reaction going forward.
Sep 11, 2019
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
In-Depth Reports
Shia Leadership After Sistani
Sudden Succession Essay Series
The current holder of the highest clerical rank in Shia Islam is eighty-nine-year-old Ali al-Sistani, who is based in Najaf, Iraq. Sistani has played an important role in Iraq’s post-Saddam era, supporting political reconciliation and a constitution-based society. While the transnational reach of marjaiya will likely diminish after Sistani leaves the scene, the specific contours of this shift and Tehran's efforts to intervene remain an open question.
Sep 10, 2019
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  • Ali Mamouri
  • Mehdi Khalaji
◆ Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
The Challenges Facing the New Saudi Oil Minister
Riyadh’s hopes of raising money through a partial sell-off of Saudi Aramco depend on the price of oil, which failed to rise sufficiently under the previous minister.
Sep 10, 2019
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Younger Palestinians More Moderate on Tactical Issues, But Not on Long-Term Peace with Israel
A recent survey suggests an immediate opening for Washington to promote certain reforms, but real reconciliation still looks like a distant dream.
Sep 6, 2019
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  • David Pollock
Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers public remarks.
Brief Analysis
Is Iran Negotiating Its Way to Negotiations?
While Tehran’s internal debate about engagement with Washington intensifies, its words and actions already seem to be shaping—even unintentionally—the terms of any future talks.
Aug 30, 2019
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  • Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Arab States Give China a Pass on Uyghur Crackdown
Leaders in the Middle East have calculated that defending the Muslim minority is not worth the risk of losing Chinese economic, political, and military assistance.
Aug 26, 2019
◆
  • Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
Egypt Takes Another Step Toward China
Port projects and other outreach may help President Sisi check off some of his policy goals, but giving China such a foothold could threaten a number of U.S. interests in the region.
Aug 19, 2019
◆
  • Haisam Hassanein

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Supported by the

Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari
Ghaith al-Omari is the Rosalinde and Arthur Gilbert Foundation Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Irwin Levy Family Program on the U.S.-Israel Strategic Relationship.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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