عرب و اسلام سیاسی

Policy Analysis on عرب و اسلام سیاسی

The Syria Breakdown, Episode Two: Putin's Playground

In this episode of the Institute’s Syria Breakdown series, Russia analyst Anna Borshchevskaya explains why Russia's long military intervention in Syria failed to protect the regime of its local ally, Bashar al-Assad, from collapse in the face of a stunning rebel advance.

۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۵

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Anna Borshchevskaya

◆ The Syria Breakdown

A fighter from Syria's de-facto post-Assad government checks a civilian's identity documents after a curfew was imposed in the Alawite-majority city of Homs in December 2024 - source: Reuters

Brief Analysis

Alawites Under Threat in Syria?

At a time when Westerners are questioning the Islamist takeover in Damascus, Sunni Arab treatment of the Assad family’s broader Alawite base will offer insights into the nascent government’s true stance on religious tolerance, transitional justice, and state-building.

۳۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴

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Fabrice Balanche

Syrians celebrate the fall of the Assad regime in Majdal Shams - source: Reuters

Video

Brief Analysis

Building a Post-Assad Syria: How to Ensure the Process Reflects the Will of the People

Syrian civil society figures join a former U.S. official to discuss local sentiments on the ground and assess the daunting challenges of building a better state.

۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴

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Andrew J. Tabler
Ibrahim Al-Assil
Farouq Habib
Rafif Jouejati
Mahmoud Meslat

A rebel fighter belonging to the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham gestures while riding a vehicle near Aleppo in November 2024 - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

The U.S. Should Not Yet Trust Syria’s New Regime

Even as they celebrate the demise of Assad’s dictatorship, U.S. officials should take a “verify, don’t trust” approach to HTS, judging the group by its actions on the ground before considering the removal of sanctions.

۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴

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Matthew Levitt

Articles & Testimony

Hezbollah Post October 7—Beaten But Still Dangerous

The group has been greatly diminished by a year of war, but the Lebanese people won’t feel the difference unless the international community pushes Beirut and the LAF to reestablish trust and authority.

۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴

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Hanin Ghaddar

Articles & Testimony

Why Al-Assad Fell

The dictator’s rigidity at the negotiating table and within Syrian society left him with scant support when he needed it most, giving Washington a window for pushing a Syrian-led transition and cutting Iran’s axis for good.

۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴

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Andrew J. Tabler

People queue for bread in rebel-occupied Aleppo in December 2024 - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

How Syria’s ‘Diversity-Friendly’ Jihadists Plan on Building a State

As the group consolidates control in newly seized Aleppo, its leader is seeking to allay fears among minorities, pro-Assad residents, and skeptical Western officials alike.

۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴

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Aaron Y. Zelin

Imed Khemiri, a senior official in the Ennahda party and member of the Salvation Front (L) takes part in a protest, demanding the release of imprisoned journalists, activists, opposition figures and setting a date for fair presidential elections in Tunis, Tunisia May 12, 2024 - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

How Autocracy Prevailed in Tunisia

Any future democratic renewal will require an entirely new movement that goes much further toward addressing the country’s deepest economic and social injustices.

۴ نوامبر ۲۰۲۴

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Sarah Yerkes
Sabina Henneberg

Articles & Testimony

Kurdistan’s Pivotal Elections:

A Defining Moment for the Region’s Future

Disenfranchisement, party fragmentation, and external pressures are pushing Iraqi Kurdistan to a breaking point.

۲۱ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴

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Nickolay Mladenov

Protesters in New York City demand the release of U.S. citizens held hostage by Hamas in Gaza - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Hamas Leader Yahya Sinwar’s Death Can Bring the Middle East Closer to Peace

The long-elusive terrorist was known for brutality to Israelis and Gazans alike, and his passing opens the door to diplomatic, economic, and political progress.

۱۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴

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Jeffrey Sonnenfeld
Dennis Ross
Steven Tian

A banner in Gaza depicts the new Hamas leader, Yahya al-Sinwar - source: Reuters

Brief Analysis

How Sinwar’s Death Could Change the War

The demise of the Hamas leader and October 7 plotter could create significant diplomatic opportunities for Israel and the United States.

۱۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴

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Ghaith al-Omari
Neomi Neumann

Armed members of the Iraqi Shiite militia Asaib Ahl al-Haq demonstrate at a funeral in Iraq - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Embracing Asaib Ahl al-Haq: Pragmatism or Naivete?

Some observers argue that the group's plans for Iraq will eventually cohere with U.S. interests, but this view ignores how its leaders are already pursuing the Hezbollah model of terrorist state capture.

۱۵ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴

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Michael Knights

Brief Analysis

A Roadmap to an Enduring Ceasefire in Lebanon

Border security is chiefly a matter of state sovereignty, so the international community must pressure Lebanese officials to take essential political and security steps even before attempting to negotiate ceasefire terms with Israel.

۹ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴

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Hanin Ghaddar

Brief Analysis

In Lebanon, a Rare Moment of Opportunity

Israel’s campaign has greatly diminished Hezbollah, presenting a chance for Beirut to end the war and push back against the group and its Iranian sponsors—if Lebanese elites are up to the task.

۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴

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David Schenker

(left to right) al-Aqsa Mosque, Jerusalem; an Israeli tank in Ramallah; Hamas (top) and Fatah (bottom) protests in Hebron

In-Depth Reports

Understanding Geographic Distinctions in West Bank Public Opinion

Respondents to an extensive new poll shared remarkably independent views on issues ranging from Hamas’s success in the Gaza war to the likelihood of Israel’s collapse.

۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴

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Catherine Cleveland

Brief Analysis

What Nasrallah’s Death Could Mean for the Hezbollah Network

Iran’s proxy faces steep challenges on the leadership and military fronts, and the international community can now act vigorously to free Lebanon from its grip.

۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴

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Hanin Ghaddar

Brief Analysis

Tunisia Is Holding an Election—But Will Voters Show Up?

To counter President Saied’s electoral manipulation and increased repression, Washington should work more closely with its contacts in Tunisia’s military, civil society, and European partner governments.

۲۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴

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Sabina Henneberg
Sarah Yerkes

H.E. Yahya Cholil Staquf (“Pak Yahya”) speaks at The Washington Institute in September 2024

Brief Analysis

A New Religious Strategy for Effective Peacebuilding in the Middle East

A leading Muslim thinker explains how religious figures can play a truly effective role in regional peacebuilding by questioning the embedded norms that fuel intercommunal violence, including in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

۲۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴

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Yahya Cholil Staquf

Photo of a woman reading a document at a military checkpoint in the Philippines before being permitted to return home after fighting between government troops and Islamic State militants.

Video

Brief Analysis

Understanding Jihadist Governance: Contending with a Diverse Problem Set

Three experts discuss the findings of a new Washington Institute compilation on jihadist governance, highlighting several of the case studies and data points explored in the book.

۱۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴

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Devorah Margolin
Matthew Bamber-Zryd
Aaron Y. Zelin

Pro-Palestine demonstrations in Amman, Jordan

Fikra Forum

Hamas's Misleading Narrative and Its Impact on Jordanian National Security

In Jordan, Hamas is working to create a misleading narrative that conflates support for ending the war in Gaza and the Palestinians' right to self-determination with supporting Hamas.

۱۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴

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Saud Al-Sharafat

Supported by the

Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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دیوید شنکر

David Schenker is a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.

غیث العمری

*غیث العمری، هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و یکی از نویسندگان کتاب «خنثی سازی بشکه باروت غزه» است.

حنین غدار

حنین غدار هموند فریدمن در برنامه گدولد در انستیتو واشنگتن است که بر سیاست‌ کشورهای عربی متمرکز است. در این برنامه، مطالعات او در حوزه سیاست‌های شیعیان در سرزمین شام است.

بلال وهاب

بلال وهاب هموند برنامه نیتن و استر ک. واگنر در انستیتو واشنگتن است

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Policy Analysis on عرب و اسلام سیاسی

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منطقه‌ها و کشورها

موضوع

عرب و اسلام سیاسی

Policy Analysis on عرب و اسلام سیاسی

Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

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