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عرب و اسلام سیاسی

Policy Analysis on عرب و اسلام سیاسی

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Newly elected Lebanese president Joseph Aoun reviews soldiers at the presidential palace in Beirut - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Will Lebanon’s New Leaders Walk the Walk?
The new president and prime minister do not have a strong track record of confronting Hezbollah, but Washington should still be bold in supporting their stated commitments to reform, disarmament, and economic recovery.
۱۶ ژانویه ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Schenker
The Syria Breakdown Series Title Card
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Syria Breakdown, Episode Three: Turkey Turns an Enemy into an Ally
In this episode of the Institute’s Syria Breakdown series, Turkey analyst Soner Cagaptay traces the revolutionary transformation of Ankara's relationship with Damascus from heated enemies to the closest of allies.
۱۴ ژانویه ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
◆ The Syria Breakdown
Video
Brief Analysis
Lebanon Ceasefire: Status and Prospects of the Israel-Hezbollah Truce
Watch or read remarks from a former LAF general, the IDF’s former head of strategic planning, and an expert Lebanon analyst during a new series of virtual panels held by The Washington Institute.
۱۳ ژانویه ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Khalil Helou
  • Tal Kelman
  • Hanin Ghaddar
French President Macron and Moroccan King Mohammed VI in Rabat - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
EU-Morocco Relations: Stuck Between Law and Politics?
If Washington and its European partners fail to remediate ongoing disputes over trade rights and Western Sahara, they may leave room for Russia and China to assert more influence in the kingdom.
۸ ژانویه ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Souhire Medini
Articles & Testimony
Lebanon Headed Towards Promised Sovereignty
Choosing a reform-minded president would be a good first step, but absent a concerted effort to consolidate the setbacks to Hezbollah, the organization will simply reassert its murderous grip.
۸ ژانویه ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • David Schenker
The Syria Breakdown Series Title Card
Video
Articles & Testimony
The Syria Breakdown, Episode Two: Putin's Playground
In this episode of the Institute’s Syria Breakdown series, Russia analyst Anna Borshchevskaya explains why Russia's long military intervention in Syria failed to protect the regime of its local ally, Bashar al-Assad, from collapse in the face of a stunning rebel advance.
۳ ژانویه ۲۰۲۵
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
◆ The Syria Breakdown
A fighter from Syria's de-facto post-Assad government checks a civilian's identity documents after a curfew was imposed in the Alawite-majority city of Homs in December 2024 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Alawites Under Threat in Syria?
At a time when Westerners are questioning the Islamist takeover in Damascus, Sunni Arab treatment of the Assad family’s broader Alawite base will offer insights into the nascent government’s true stance on religious tolerance, transitional justice, and state-building.
۳۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Syrians celebrate the fall of the Assad regime in Majdal Shams - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Building a Post-Assad Syria: How to Ensure the Process Reflects the Will of the People
Syrian civil society figures join a former U.S. official to discuss local sentiments on the ground and assess the daunting challenges of building a better state.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Ibrahim Al-Assil
  • Farouq Habib
  • Rafif Jouejati
  • Mahmoud Meslat
A rebel fighter belonging to the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham gestures while riding a vehicle near Aleppo in November 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Should Not Yet Trust Syria’s New Regime
Even as they celebrate the demise of Assad’s dictatorship, U.S. officials should take a “verify, don’t trust” approach to HTS, judging the group by its actions on the ground before considering the removal of sanctions.
۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah Post October 7—Beaten But Still Dangerous
The group has been greatly diminished by a year of war, but the Lebanese people won’t feel the difference unless the international community pushes Beirut and the LAF to reestablish trust and authority.
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Why Al-Assad Fell
The dictator’s rigidity at the negotiating table and within Syrian society left him with scant support when he needed it most, giving Washington a window for pushing a Syrian-led transition and cutting Iran’s axis for good.
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
People queue for bread in rebel-occupied Aleppo in December 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How Syria’s ‘Diversity-Friendly’ Jihadists Plan on Building a State
As the group consolidates control in newly seized Aleppo, its leader is seeking to allay fears among minorities, pro-Assad residents, and skeptical Western officials alike.
۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Imed Khemiri, a senior official in the Ennahda party and member of the Salvation Front (L) takes part in a protest, demanding the release of imprisoned journalists, activists, opposition figures and setting a date for fair presidential elections in Tunis, Tunisia May 12, 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How Autocracy Prevailed in Tunisia
Any future democratic renewal will require an entirely new movement that goes much further toward addressing the country’s deepest economic and social injustices.
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Sarah Yerkes
  • Sabina Henneberg
Parliament of Kurdistan
Articles & Testimony
Kurdistan’s Pivotal Elections:
A Defining Moment for the Region’s Future
Disenfranchisement, party fragmentation, and external pressures are pushing Iraqi Kurdistan to a breaking point.
۲۱ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Nickolay Mladenov
Protesters in New York City demand the release of U.S. citizens held hostage by Hamas in Gaza - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Hamas Leader Yahya Sinwar’s Death Can Bring the Middle East Closer to Peace
The long-elusive terrorist was known for brutality to Israelis and Gazans alike, and his passing opens the door to diplomatic, economic, and political progress.
۱۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Jeffrey Sonnenfeld
  • Dennis Ross
  • Steven Tian
A banner in Gaza depicts the new Hamas leader, Yahya al-Sinwar - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
How Sinwar’s Death Could Change the War
The demise of the Hamas leader and October 7 plotter could create significant diplomatic opportunities for Israel and the United States.
۱۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Neomi Neumann
Armed members of the Iraqi Shiite militia Asaib Ahl al-Haq demonstrate at a funeral in Iraq - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Embracing Asaib Ahl al-Haq: Pragmatism or Naivete?
Some observers argue that the group's plans for Iraq will eventually cohere with U.S. interests, but this view ignores how its leaders are already pursuing the Hezbollah model of terrorist state capture.
۱۵ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
A Roadmap to an Enduring Ceasefire in Lebanon
Border security is chiefly a matter of state sovereignty, so the international community must pressure Lebanese officials to take essential political and security steps even before attempting to negotiate ceasefire terms with Israel.
۹ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
In Lebanon, a Rare Moment of Opportunity
Israel’s campaign has greatly diminished Hezbollah, presenting a chance for Beirut to end the war and push back against the group and its Iranian sponsors—if Lebanese elites are up to the task.
۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • David Schenker
(left to right) al-Aqsa Mosque, Jerusalem; an Israeli tank in Ramallah; Hamas (top) and Fatah (bottom) protests in Hebron
In-Depth Reports
Understanding Geographic Distinctions in West Bank Public Opinion
Respondents to an extensive new poll shared remarkably independent views on issues ranging from Hamas’s success in the Gaza war to the likelihood of Israel’s collapse.
۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
  • Catherine Cleveland

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The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

David Schenker
دیوید شنکر
David Schenker is a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Ghaith al-Omari
غیث العمری
*غیث العمری، هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و یکی از نویسندگان کتاب «خنثی سازی بشکه باروت غزه» است.
Hanin Ghaddar
حنین غدار
حنین غدار هموند فریدمن در برنامه گدولد در انستیتو واشنگتن است که بر سیاست‌ کشورهای عربی متمرکز است. در این برنامه، مطالعات او در حوزه سیاست‌های شیعیان در سرزمین شام است.
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