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Fikra Forum
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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Arab Security Sectors Can Advance a Peace Between Peoples
Terrorism knows no borders—and the struggle against it calls for neighboring countries to cooperate for the sake of regional and global security. Regions including Europe have come to recognize this reality, with dozens of governments forging unprecedented partnerships in policing, intelligence, and counterterrorism over the past decade. In the Middle
Dec 6, 2019
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Jassim Mohamad
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Erdogan, Davutoglu, and the Kurdish Vote in Turkey
After considerable consternation in U.S. congress against Turkey’s incursion into Syria, and a subsequent successful visit by Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan to the White House in mid-November, much attention in the United States has been focused on Turkey’s foreign policy agenda. However, Turkey’s foreign policy in Syria is deeply
Dec 6, 2019
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Jiwan Soz
Brief Analysis
Iran Is Losing Iraq’s Tribes
Angry over Iranian militia abuses and Baghdad’s sundry failures, a number of powerful tribes are setting aside their traditional sectarian loyalties and pushing to safeguard their basic needs, sometimes violently.
Dec 4, 2019
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Phillip Smyth
Articles & Testimony
OPEC Meetings May Provide Economic Answers—or Just More Questions
Amid Saudi stock sell-offs, Russian production limits, U.S. tariff showdowns, and a flurry of other factors, the potential impact of the cartel’s Vienna meetings is difficult to predict.
Dec 4, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
What Happens When Everyone’s Trying to Get Nukes?
Israel’s ‘Begin Doctrine,’ a commitment to prevent rival regional powers from acquiring nuclear weapons, risks becoming unenforceable, but it’s not clear what comes next.
Dec 4, 2019
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Jay Solomon
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Lebanon Poll: Despite Protests, Most Shiites Still Back Hezbollah, while Sunnis and Christians Turn More Negative
A reliable new Lebanese public opinion poll, conducted in November, shows that a large majority of the country’s Shiites retain positive views of both Hezbollah and its Iranian patrons—even as major anti-government protests include many Shiite participants for the first time. This surprising finding casts doubt on speculation that Hezbollah
Dec 4, 2019
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Algeria’s Political Change Offers Hope for Peace with Morocco and North African Prosperity
Since the beginning of the year, Algerians have repeatedly come to the streets to challenge their political system. Some have used these ongoing protests, also known as Smile Revolution or Hirak, to celebrate their current victories while others have used the occasion to call for a complete change in the
Dec 4, 2019
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Mohamed Chtatou
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The U.S.-Kurdish Relationship in Iraq After Syria
On November 23, U.S. Vice President Mike Pence arrived in Iraq for an unannounced trip that included a visit to meet with the President of the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) Nechirvan Barzani. In the published White House remarks of the meeting, one sentence asserted a sense of confidence in the
Dec 3, 2019
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Sardar Aziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Algeria’s Legitimacy Crisis: Path Towards an Impasse
In February, millions of Algerians went to the streets to protest against Bouteflika’s fifth bid for presidency after ruling the country for twenty years. What started as a spontaneous political movement against Bouteflika quickly transformed into popular demand for a radical political change. Even so, Algerians have been able to
Nov 26, 2019
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Zine Labidine Ghebouli
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Decline (and Fall?) of the “Fourth Persian Empire”
The timing of the Iranian government decision to lift gasoline subsidies, which has effectively doubled the cost of fuel on Iranian motorists, raises fundamental questions about the Tehran regime’s political calculus. Despite protests raging in nearby Iraq featuring open and persistent rejection of Iranian meddling and influence, and despite a
Nov 26, 2019
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
The IRGC States Its Case for Escalation Against the United States, Britain, and Saudi Arabia
As its concerns about domestic dissent and Western naval activity grow, Tehran may once again try to divert attention from the unrest at home by launching attacks abroad.
Nov 26, 2019
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Farzin Nadimi
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Bahrain After the Prime Minister
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Bahrain’s prime minister, Sheikh Khalifa bin Salman al-Khalifa, has held his position since 1971, the year his country gained independence from Britain, but he is now eighty-four and evidently in uncertain health. Potential candidates to replace him include Crown Prince Salman or even a much younger nephew, Nasser bin Hamad, mirroring the generational handover in Qatar and Saudi Arabia. But the Khawalids, an influential, once-sidelined branch of the ruling family, also merit attention as Bahrain nears the end of an era.
Nov 26, 2019
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Simon Henderson
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Sudden Succession Essay Series
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Must Blunt Russia’s Adventurism in Libya
The deployment of Kremlin-linked mercenaries will make a costly civil war even more difficult to end.
Nov 25, 2019
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Ben Fishman
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Course Correction:
The Muslim World League, Saudi Arabia's Export of Islam, and Opportunities for Washington
Throughout 2016 and 2017, statements from Riyadh suggested that Saudi Arabia might be on the verge of reorienting its decades-long promotion of Salafism around the world. Given the sheer scale of the kingdom’s support for Islamic institutions over the years, the ripple effects of such a shift would be profound
Nov 22, 2019
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Sarah Feuer
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Domestic and Foreign Response Options to the Protests
The Supreme Leader faces tough choices about who to blame for the protests, and what impact they should have on policy toward the United States.
Nov 21, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
What’s Next for Lebanon? Examining the Implications of Current Protests
An expert testifies on the concrete steps Washington can take to ensure that a credible, technocratic government forms in Beirut, and that the Lebanese Armed Forces protect civilians from Hezbollah-led reprisals.
Nov 19, 2019
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Hanin Ghaddar
Video
Brief Analysis
The Evolving and Persistent Terrorism Threat to the Homeland
The FBI’s top intelligence official shares his insights into how authorities and agencies are collaborating to keep the United States safe amid a shifting threat landscape.
Nov 19, 2019
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Matthew Alcoke
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Gasoline Protests: Regime Unpopular but Resilient
The demonstrations indicate widespread popular rejection of the political system, but this same system remains well organized to deflect and counter unrest.
Nov 18, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
A Better Iran Deal Is Within Reach
With Tehran testing the limits of European patience, Washington has an opening to forge a united front, offer conditional leeway on some sanctions, and push the Iranians back to the negotiating table.
Nov 15, 2019
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Iraq in Crisis: The View from Kurdistan
The Iraqi Kurdistan government's top diplomat shares the Kurdish view of the growing unrest sweeping Iraq.
Nov 15, 2019
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Safeen Dizayee
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