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Brief Analysis
Iran Nuclear Watchdog Report Suggests Impact of Suspected Israeli Sabotage
News of apparent enrichment setbacks has been offset somewhat by troubling developments in other aspects of the program, not to mention sharp Israeli warnings, diplomatic uncertainty in Vienna, and a pair of sobering nuclear anniversaries.
Jun 1, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Inside Story of How Trump ‘Kept the Oil’ in Syria and Lost
The ambitious plan would have seen Delta Crescent, a tiny Delaware company, try to bring peace and stability to the war-ravaged northeast, but local corruption, a lack of U.S. commitment, and other complications doomed the idea.
May 31, 2021
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Kenneth R. Rosen
Articles & Testimony
What’s Wrong with the NY Times’ Report on Children’s Deaths? So Much.
By failing to provide essential information on sourcing, the reporting environment, the victims’ proximity to legitimate military targets, their family connections with combatants, and other matters, the article presents a skewed, sensationalist image of the Gaza conflict.
May 31, 2021
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Robert Satloff
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Fake News Surrounding Qasim Muslih’s Arrest (Part 1): International Zone Claims
The first wave of post-arrest deception operations tried to give the false impression that militias controlled the Baghdad zone containing the prime minister's residence, the U.S. embassy, and other sensitive sites.
May 28, 2021
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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
Alex Almeida
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Fake News Surrounding Qasim Muslih’s Arrest (Part 2): Release Claims
Militias made a concerted effort to create the false impression that their colleague had been released immediately, and the claim was soon echoed by major global media outlets.
May 28, 2021
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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Failing Regional Administration and COVID-19 in Deir al-Zour
Statistics show that both the Damascus government and the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria are failing to effectively combat COVID-19 in Deir al-Zour.
May 28, 2021
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Omar Abu Layla
Brief Analysis
Algeria’s Economic Challenges: Opportunities for U.S. Engagement
The pandemic has exacerbated persistent structural problems in the government’s approach to foreign investment, banking reform, monetary policy, and other sectors, but Algiers may be more open to U.S. advice on such matters.
May 28, 2021
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Geoff Porter
Articles & Testimony
Wondering Why Gas Costs So Much? Blame Consumer Demands and the Oil Market
A post-oil future isn’t without risks, whether for Middle Eastern producers or Western economies still tied to hydrocarbons in myriad ways.
May 28, 2021
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Try, and Fail, to Intimidate the Government
Baghdad effectively enforced the rule of law by detaining a senior militia figure, though it still needs to arrest other murder suspects and show the public that October’s election will be safe.
May 27, 2021
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Palestinian Politics Are More Divided Than Ever
Fatah and Hamas have tried every conceivable power-sharing mechanism to no avail, and many Palestinians now feel alienated from both brands of authoritarianism.
May 27, 2021
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Ghaith al-Omari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Impact of Gender Violence on the US-Kurdish Alliance
Violence against women and other social issues in the KRI require multifaceted, international solutions, and the United States stands to benefit from supporting these solutions.
May 27, 2021
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Ruwayda Mustafah
Articles & Testimony
Beijing Is Social Media Trolling Biden Over Gaza
China’s "wolf warrior" diplomacy has discovered the Middle East, catching Washington unprepared.
May 26, 2021
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Michael Singh
Video
Brief Analysis
Not (Just) Another Rigged Syrian Election: Implications for Settling the War
A panel of experts discuss the short- and long-term consequences of the 2021 presidential vote, including its potential effects on domestic opposition, regional normalization, future peace prospects, and Western policy.
May 26, 2021
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Vladimir Pran
Hannah Roberts
Wael Sawah
Zahra Albarazi
Emile Hokayem
Emma Beals
Brief Analysis
A Military Assessment of the Israel-Hamas Conflict
Both sides employed new methods in this round, and while Israel’s were more effective in military terms, the true measure of success will depend on how quickly Hamas can rebuild its warfighting capabilities and exploit any political gains.
May 25, 2021
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Grant Rumley
Neri Zilber
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
As Polls Show Increasing Dissatisfaction, will Young Shias Turn the Tables on Iraq’s Political System?
The Kadhimi government must move quickly if it wants to avoid a potential popular uprising among dissatisfied Shias in Iraq.
May 25, 2021
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Munqith Dagher
Karl Kaltenthaler
Articles & Testimony
Why Blinken Will Have a Tough Sell
The Biden administration cannot solve the Israeli-Palestinian problem today, but it can shrink the conflict by helping both sides take small steps toward a two-state solution.
May 25, 2021
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
A Race of One? Iran Slashes Its Presidential Candidates List
The regime is seemingly removing any obstacle that might prevent Ebrahim Raisi from winning the presidency and, perhaps, succeeding Khamenei down the road, but the risk of further eroding its internal legitimacy is high.
May 25, 2021
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Omer Carmi
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Tansiqiya Signals Escalation Versus the United States
The Iraqi militia coordination committee is laying out its political and legal arguments for the removal of U.S. forces.
May 24, 2021
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Crispin Smith
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
When the Tansiqiya Speaks in AAH's Absence
The May 20 Gaza protest in Baghdad saw the Tansiqiya speak in the notable absence of any Asaib Ahl al-Haq members, and the event was conspicuously ignored by AAH channels.
May 24, 2021
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Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Preparing for Iranian Expansion in Syria after a Nuclear Deal
The United States should capitalize on closer ties between its regional allies to combat Iranian expansionism, with a special focus on Syria.
May 21, 2021
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Ammar Musarea
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