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Brief Analysis
Russia Signals Biden with Attack on Syrian Jihadist Group
Washington is no ally of HTS, but it should realize that Russian strikes against the group are aimed squarely at foiling U.S. objectives in Geneva, including the effort to maintain cross-border aid.
Jun 11, 2021
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Hanging on in Idlib: Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s Expanding Tribal Engagement
As Western policymakers debate potential engagement with HTS, they should do so with eyes wide open to the jihadist group’s true status in the province and its intentions toward local tribal institutions.
Jun 11, 2021
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Judiciary Weak Link
Regardless of the executive branch’s willingness to confront militia abuses, true rule of law cannot take hold unless judges are protected from intimidation and corruption.
Jun 10, 2021
◆
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Designating Hezbollah as a Terrorist Organization Under Australia’s Criminal Code
As in many other countries, the group has undertaken more than enough terrorist and criminal activity in Australia to justify an expanded listing.
Jun 10, 2021
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Preserving the Lebanese Armed Forces Amid State Decline
Although continued pressure on the country’s political elites is necessary, the U.S. government needs to find more immediate ways of helping soldiers and citizens by making creative use of State, Defense, and congressional authorities.
Jun 9, 2021
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David Schenker
Grant Rumley
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Militias Are Developing Local Funding Sources for Social Activities
Iran-backed militias in Iraq are using fraudulent loans to bankroll their community activities, drawing into question their adherence to Islamic laws and mores.
Jun 9, 2021
◆
Sadiq Hassaan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Pushing for Reforms from Iraqi Kurdish Ruling Parties
If the Biden administration is serious about addressing human rights violations, it should push for a more democratic, free, and just government in Iraqi Kurdistan.
Jun 9, 2021
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Diliman Abdulkader
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Next for Afghan-Based Terrorist Groups?
The U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan could mean heightened activity from terrorist organizations other than the Taliban.
Jun 8, 2021
◆
Thomas Parker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Unity Begins and Ends with Education Initiatives in Northern Syria
For years, progressive education has been a cornerstone in the Autonomous Administration in Northeastern Syria. It is now one of several components hampering regional unity.
Jun 7, 2021
◆
Kenneth R. Rosen
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Qais al-Khazali Doubles Down on His Muqawama Membership
The militia leader has not hesitated to provide court-quality evidence that he and his movement Asaib Ahl al-Haq are actively involved in attacks on U.S. forces.
Jun 7, 2021
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
◆
Militia Spotlight
Audio
Brief Analysis
Podcast: A Military and Political Assessment of the Gaza Conflict
In this episode of the Middle East PolicyCast podcast, Grant Rumley & Neri Zilber share their assessments of the factors that sparked and escalated the May 2021 Gaza conflict and share advice for policymakers who seek to prevent the renewal of major violence between Hamas and Israel.
Jun 7, 2021
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Grant Rumley
Neri Zilber
◆
Middle East PolicyCast
In-Depth Reports
A Sultan in Autumn
Erdogan Faces Turkey's Uncontainable Forces
The unprecedented economic growth and personal popularity once enjoyed by the Turkish leader have given way to stagnation, a dwindling support base, and problems abroad.
Jun 6, 2021
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Israel and Hamas After Gaza War
From expelling UN officials to giving Jews unsolicited relocation advice, Hamas has once again shown its true colors, even as Israeli politicians prepare to form a new multiethnic coalition government.
Jun 5, 2021
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The Evolution of Iran’s Qods Force Since 1979
By absorbing rival organizations and favoring commanders who lack connections to other regime power centers, the IRGC has used the Qods Force to steadily centralize and monopolize control over the country’s foreign operations.
Jun 3, 2021
◆
Ali Alfoneh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
U.S.-Egyptian Rapprochement after Gaza Ceasefire: Media Responses and Repercussions
While media responses to U.S. rapprochement with Egypt and Egypt's warming towards Hamas differ, it is clear that Sisi has used the Israel-Hamas ceasefire to his advantage.
Jun 3, 2021
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Mohamed Abdelaziz
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Proposed Power-Sharing Government: Policy Implications and Prospects for Survival
Even if the consensus-based coalition is sworn in, the big question mark hanging over Bennett and Lapid is whether Palestinian developments or Netanyahu’s relentless opposition will produce irreconcilable internal differences.
Jun 3, 2021
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The Policy Consequences of Arab State Normalization with the Assad Regime
In addition to undermining the Biden administration’s promised focus on human rights, allowing Assad to regain legitimacy abroad would constitute a strategic blunder that cannot be explained away.
Jun 2, 2021
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Oula A. Alrifai
Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A State in Collapse: Mapping Iraq’s Economic Woes
Poverty, unemployment, and a lack of local industry continue to plague Iraq's economy, and the resulting public unrest could be dangerous.
Jun 2, 2021
◆
Farhad Alaaldin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq at a Crossroads: Radical Reforms to Avert State Collapse
Without radical reform, Iraq faces potential dissolution and geographic fragmentation in the case of an increasingly likely economic crisis.
Jun 2, 2021
◆
Farhad Alaaldin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A State in Collapse: Iraq’s Security and Governance Failures
Unregulated weapons, corruption, and mismanagement are pushing Iraq's political system towards potential collapse.
Jun 2, 2021
◆
Farhad Alaaldin
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