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Syria

Policy Analysis on Syria

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Brief Analysis
How to Untie the Syrian Kurdish Knot with Turkey
To preserve its relations with both Ankara and Rojava, Washington may need to push for military action against the PKK leadership in northern Iraq.
Sep 7, 2017
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
A War with Hizbollah Would Essentially Mean War with Iran This Time Around
Conflict with Israel might be inevitable, but the context has become more complicated than ever for both sides.
Sep 4, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Preventing a Jihadist Factory in Idlib
The international coalition must take the same comprehensive approach to HTS as it is taking to the Islamic State.
Aug 31, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Is Turkey's Rapprochement with Iran and Russia Sustainable?
A lasting Turkish shift toward Tehran and Moscow would require a perfect storm, but anti-U.S. sentiments in the country offer reason for concern.
Aug 30, 2017
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Maintaining the U.S. CT Mission in Southern Syria
Despite the end of CIA support to the rebels, Washington can still counter the Islamic State by coordinating more deeply with Israel and Jordan, and by managing other regional actors.
Aug 28, 2017
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  • Evan Barrett
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Race for Deir al-Zour Province
The SDF and U.S.-supported Arab fighters likely lack the might and unity to overcome Assad-regime advances and other obstacles.
Aug 17, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
President Trump's Syria Conundrum
A vacuum in Raqqa following the defeat of the Islamic State will embolden Iran and lay the grounds for future jihadists.
Aug 14, 2017
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Focus on Clear Goals to Contain Iran in Iraq and Syria
The Powell Doctrine, a set of principles devised in the 1980s, can guide the United States in promoting regional stability and averting future disasters.
Aug 11, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
U.S. Security Assistance to Lebanon at Risk
Despite collusion between the LAF and Hezbollah, the United States may still have an interest in funding the Lebanese military.
Aug 3, 2017
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Institute of Peace Is Successful Against ISIS -- The U.S. Must Fund It
The cost-effective, nonpartisan institute can help promote broader reconciliation in Mosul and other areas now retaken from the jihadist group.
Aug 2, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
NATO solderis with alliance and national flags
Articles & Testimony
NATO's Role in Fighting Post-Caliphate ISIS Looms Large
As the Islamic State devolves from governance to insurgency, NATO should stay close to its traditional role as a military alliance, not a counterterrorism agency.
Aug 2, 2017
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  • Matthew Levitt
As Syria Crumbles, Only Iran Is a Sure Winner
A discussion of Syria's Sykes-Picot origins, the recent U.S.-Russia de-escalation deal, and the Sunni-Shia contest in the region.
Jul 23, 2017
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Arsal: The Last Hurdle to Hezbollah's Safe Zone
Absent vigorous international complaints, Hezbollah will force Syrian refugees out of eastern Lebanon to face certain persecution from the Assad regime.
Jul 21, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
What to Expect From the State Department's Annual Counterterrorism Report
Areas of focus will likely include a damaged but still dangerous Islamic State, a regrouping al-Qaeda, and the wide network fielded by Iran and its proxy Hezbollah.
Jul 18, 2017
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Turkey Can Ally with Syria's Kurds Someday
Most Kurds are now seeking rights in their respective countries, while downplaying the pan-Kurdish dream, giving Turkey more room to separate the PYD from the PKK instead of lumping them together.
Jul 18, 2017
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The Ceasefire and U.S. Interests on the Jordan-Syria Border
By setting limits on Iranian deployments in southern Syria, Washington could insulate Jordan from problems on the border and encourage Iranian caution in the east, potentially decreasing the likelihood there of a U.S.-Iran clash.
Jul 17, 2017
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  • David Schenker
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
The Caliphate Project in Iraq Post-Mosul
Destroying the vestiges of IS governance will not eliminate the group -- which will continue to pose an insurgent and terrorist threat -- but it will remove any arguments the jihadists might be inclined to make about the near-term viability of their state.
Jul 13, 2017
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
An Opening for the Syrian Regime in Deir al-Zour
Events on the ground are fluid in the eastern Syrian city and province, but dynamics suggest Syrian forces and their backers will prevail over the Islamic State and U.S.-supported fighters.
Jul 12, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Why Latest Syria Ceasefire Is Exactly What Putin Wanted
As long as Putin keeps control of the narrative in Syria, he can forestall a resolution that compromises Russian interests.
Jul 11, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
A Half-Million Syrian Returnees? A Look Behind the Numbers
Closer examination reveals that far more refugees are leaving Syria than coming home and that security and corruption represent major obstacles to their return.
Jul 7, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler is the Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on Syria and U.S. policy in the Levant.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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