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Syria

Policy Analysis on Syria

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Brief Analysis
Clinton vs. Trump on Key Middle East Issues: Prepping for the Debate
Read what both candidates and their parties have said about Syria, ISIS, the Iran nuclear deal, U.S.-Israel relations, and host of other pressing regional issues.
Sep 22, 2016
Brief Analysis
Russia and the Syria Ceasefire Deal
How will the Syrian cessation of hostilities deal brokered by Washington and Moscow affect the geopolitical and military dynamics of Russia's intervention? Read a summary or watch video of this expert forum.
Sep 21, 2016
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Paul Schwartz
  • Robert Ford
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Strike in Deir al-Zour: Implications on the Ground
The episode gives Moscow a great excuse to be uncooperative, which it may have planned to be anyway, but providing clearer information could nevertheless help further the coalition's goals.
Sep 19, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
The Islamic State's 'Homo Jihadus'
The group's use of children as suicide bombers highlights its broader indoctrination practices, which mirror many of the mundane techniques used in normal educational curricula.
Sep 18, 2016
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  • Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
The Flow of Islamist Fighters From Egypt to Syria, and the Sisi Government's Crackdown
Recent reports and interviews highlight the various factors that may have driven hundreds of Muslim Brothers to Syria -- and the problems they face in returning home.
Sep 17, 2016
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Judging Kerry's 'Secret' Syria Agreement with Russia
While maintaining secrecy might be a way to get the agreement off the ground, convincing the parties to implement its terms, fight terrorism, and end the war will require much more transparency, particularly regarding Assad's future.
Sep 15, 2016
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Video
Brief Analysis
The Military Campaign Against the Islamic State: An Assessment
Two years into Operation Inherent Resolve, where does the U.S. campaign to "degrade and ultimately destroy" the Islamic State stand?
Sep 14, 2016
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • James Jeffrey
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What Will Year Two of Russia's Syria Intervention Bring?
Moscow and Iran are already several steps ahead of Washington in shaping the war's potential endgame, so the next administration will need to be mindful of Putin's likeliest strategies and strongest levers if it wants a different outcome.
Sep 14, 2016
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
In-Depth Reports
In Pursuit of Good Ideas:
The Syria Train-and-Equip Program
This study by two military experts explores the evolution of the initial Syria train-and-equip program and offers recommendations should Washington decide to pursue future iterations.
Sep 12, 2016
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  • Lt. Col. J. Stewart Welch
  • CDR Kevin Bailey
Articles & Testimony
In Syria Talks With Russia, John Kerry's Hand Is Missing a Key Card
If President Obama hopes to change the ongoing stalemate on ceasefire talks, Secretary Kerry needs an 'or else' to deliver to Moscow.
Sep 9, 2016
◆
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
After ISIS: A New ISIS
Even after the group is defeated in Iraq and Syria, it will maintain the intellectual arsenal it has constructed for its supporters, so the U.S. should prepare for the next stage of the fight accordingly.
Sep 8, 2016
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
Iran's 'Useful Syria' Is Practically Complete
Helping the Assad regime establish full control in Damascus is only one part of Iran's plan to create a regional Shiite crescent, and any ceasefire plan that furthers such goals could spark wider sectarian conflict.
Sep 8, 2016
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Obama's Meeting with Erdogan: 'Minor Uptick' in U.S.-Turkey Relations
Their first post-coup meeting was one of the few positive bilateral developments in quite some time, so Washington should try to build on it.
Sep 7, 2016
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
After the Jarabulus Offensive:
How Far Will Turkey Shift Its Syria Policy?
Turkey's Syria policy appears to be changing trajectory, signaled by three recent developments: the July 16 attempted coup, which exposed rifts within the military; the August 9 meeting between Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Russian president Vladimir Putin; and Turkey's incursion into Syria, culminating in the capture of Jarabulus
Sep 2, 2016
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Non-Iranian Shiites Paying the Price in Aleppo
The costly siege has spurred Iran to withdraw or relocate certain IRGC units, but this is unlikely to hurt the Assad coalition's strategy in Aleppo so long as Hezbollah and other Shiite militias remain willing to fight there.
Aug 31, 2016
◆
  • Ali Alfoneh
Articles & Testimony
Vladimir Putin and the Shiite Axis
Russia's military alliance with Iran is all about keeping Assad in power and America on its back foot, and even a short-lived partnership can do long-term damage to U.S. interests.
Aug 30, 2016
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
In-Depth Reports
The Rise of ISIL:
Counterterrorism Lectures 2015
As authorities scramble to prepare for the ways in which the Islamic State threat will continue to evolve, many lessons can be learned by looking at the factors that led to its rise. This seventh volume of Counterterrorism Lectures traces ISIL's evolution during 2015.
Aug 29, 2016
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  • Matthew Levitt
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Turkey
The ongoing influx of Syrians could tilt future elections in Erdogan and the AKP's favor, though the long-term demographic and social repercussions will be felt regardless of political outcomes.
Aug 25, 2016
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Oya Aktas
  • Cagatay Ozdemir
Brief Analysis
Rojava's Sustainability and the PKK's Regional Strategy
As the Kurds continue to pursue their goal of a contiguous territory in northern Syria, various nonmilitary factors will determine whether their nascent statelet is viable in the long term, including a host of demographic, economic, water, and oil issues.
Aug 24, 2016
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Assad Bombs the Kurds: Implications for U.S. Strategy in Syria
Escalating hostilities between regime forces and Syrian Kurds in Hasaka will likely complicate Washington's campaign against the Islamic State, in which the Kurds and their Arab allies have been its most effective partners.
Aug 23, 2016
◆
  • Barak Barfi

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler is the Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on Syria and U.S. policy in the Levant.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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