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Proliferation

Policy Analysis on Proliferation

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Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, speaking
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Throwing a Tantrum but Wants a Deal
Defiant warnings aside, Tehran will eventually negotiate with President Trump—as long as Vladimir Putin mediates.
Aug 15, 2018
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran Is at a Strategic Crossroads Again
As the regime’s strategy for countering the Trump administration continues to falter, will its traditional two-step of provocation and restraint give way to wider escalation?
Jul 25, 2018
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Articles & Testimony
What the Stolen Iranian Nuclear Secrets Do, and Don’t, Reveal
The Israeli revelations make the argument for sticking with the nuclear accord much more difficult to sustain.
Jul 17, 2018
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran After the JCPOA Withdrawal (Part 2): Shaping Tehran’s Response
Tehran will likely resort to measured countermoves in the nuclear domain at first, but successful U.S. pressure could spur it to challenge JCPOA limits, take action in non-nuclear domains, or push back against U.S. and allied forces.
Jul 17, 2018
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Iran After the JCPOA Withdrawal (Part 1): Lessons from Past Pressure Campaigns
Tehran has generally responded to pressure by issuing threats, ramping up its nuclear activities, accepting temporary limits, and, when the heat is turned up, launching cyber, military, and terrorist operations.
Jul 16, 2018
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Video
Brief Analysis
North Korea in the Middle East: A Dangerous Military Supply Line
Pyongyang has long threatened U.S. regional allies and interests with military support for terrorists, militias, and hostile regimes. Can a potential bilateral deal sever these supply lines?
Jun 12, 2018
◆
  • Anthony Ruggiero
  • Kongdan Oh
  • Jay Solomon
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Nuclear Model: Japan or North Korea?
Given Tehran’s threat to scale up its enrichment efforts, how far might its nuclear program go post-JCPOA, and what lessons might it draw from U.S. discussions with Pyongyang?
Jun 8, 2018
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking
Brief Analysis
When the Ayatollah Cried Mouse
Khamenei’s Ramadan speech combined explicit attacks on the United States, implicit criticism of Rouhani’s approach, and excessive demands on Europe, seemingly bracing the regime for one of the toughest challenges of his thirty-year rule.
May 25, 2018
◆
  • Omer Carmi
Video
Brief Analysis
The Gulf's View on Washington's Plan B for Iran
Can Washington turn its Arab partners' favorable rhetoric on the administration's new Iran policy into concrete actions to curb Tehran's regional adventurism? Join us for an expert conversation and live webcast on Tuesday, June 5.
May 23, 2018
◆
  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • Ali Shihabi
Video
Brief Analysis
The JCPOA Decision: Managing Reactions, Evaluating Sanctions
An expert panel assesses sanctions and the future of U.S. Iran strategy in light of the Trump administration's exit from the nuclear deal.
May 18, 2018
◆
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Here's What Trump Should Do Post-Nuke Deal
The United States must explain to its allies how withdrawing from the Iran deal fits into a larger strategy for the Middle East.
May 17, 2018
◆
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Trump Broke Iran Policy. Let Him Fix It.
The administration doesn’t seem to have a day-after strategy for drawing the Europeans back into the fold after essentially rejecting months of negotiations with them.
May 11, 2018
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Technical Implications of Trump’s JCPOA Announcement
Now that the nuclear deal is off, Iran’s next steps will be shaped at least in part by the technical capabilities of its enrichment program and related efforts.
May 9, 2018
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Is Washington Too Focused on Iran’s Nuclear Program?
What the United States really needs is a new Iran policy, not just a nuclear policy—and the will to roll up its sleeves and carry it out.
May 9, 2018
◆
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Israel’s Intel Coup Actually Provides Good Arguments for Staying in the Iran Nuclear Deal
Historically, outside pressure on Iran has been most effective when Washington acts with its allies rather than on its own, and the recent intelligence revelations support the former path.
May 5, 2018
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Details Reveal the True Danger of Iran’s Secret Nuclear Program
A guide to the key jargon and technical minutiae underlying Netanyahu’s troubling accusations against Iran.
May 1, 2018
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
If Trump Pulls Out of the Iran Deal, What’s Our New Strategy?
Withdrawal alone doesn’t offer a means of keeping Iran from nuclear weapons, responding to reactions from friends and adversaries, or clarifying the administration’s wider regional objectives.
May 1, 2018
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Israel’s 2007 Strike on Syrian Nuclear Reactor: Lessons Learned for Iran
Israel’s intelligence agencies deserve praise for their role in the operation, but they must also consider what their prior miscalculations mean for future counterproliferation efforts.
Apr 25, 2018
◆
  • Michael Herzog
Video
Brief Analysis
Beyond 'Mowing the Grass': U.S. and Israeli Strategy in the Middle East
Two former policymakers discuss whether the longtime allies can move beyond tactical responses to their strategic challenges in the region.
Apr 24, 2018
◆
  • Chuck Freilich
  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Russia Risks a Wider Mideast War
The Trump administration may want out of Syria, but when the United States is on the sidelines, the danger of a regional war intensifies.
Apr 24, 2018
◆
  • Dennis Ross

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
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