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North Africa

Policy Analysis on North Africa

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Brief Analysis
Turkey Pivots to Tripoli: Implications for Libya’s Civil War and U.S. Policy
Facing pressure from General Haftar and his foreign military backers, the Tripoli government has welcomed the helping hand extended by Ankara, whose own lack of regional options has drawn it into the middle of another conflict.
Dec 19, 2019
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Russian Private Military Companies: Continuity and Evolution of the Model
In a bid to ensure plausible deniability, address internal rivalries, and advance its competition with the West, the Kremlin has increased its use of such contractors in the Middle East and elsewhere.
Dec 19, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Turkey Doubles Region’s Troubles—First in Syria, and Now in Libya
New maritime and military agreements may pull Ankara into Libya’s civil war, adding yet another foreign actor to an already tortuous multilateral showdown.
Dec 16, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Algeria’s Election Is a Make-or-Break Moment
The vote’s outcome will not have much legitimacy in the eyes of the people, so Washington should focus on urging all parties to lay the groundwork for longer-term reforms aimed at breaking the political deadlock.
Dec 10, 2019
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  • Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
What Will It Take to Repair Middle Eastern Economies?
Directly investing in nongovernmental enterprise and giving international approval to private competition can change the dynamic in individual countries, promote liberal economies, and give citizens greater agency.
Dec 8, 2019
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  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State in Libya Has Yet to Recover
Given the group’s operational silence and loss of foreign help, it may not be able to launch the type of insurgency seen in Syria, but that could change if U.S. attention wanes militarily or diplomatically.
Dec 6, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Must Blunt Russia’s Adventurism in Libya
The deployment of Kremlin-linked mercenaries will make a costly civil war even more difficult to end.
Nov 25, 2019
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  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Israeli Gas Export Route to Egypt Finalized
The two countries still need to resolve longer-term questions about international export options and energy contracts with Jordan, but the latest step toward reopening the pipeline is encouraging.
Nov 13, 2019
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Renaissance Dam Negotiations: An Egyptian View
The U.S.-brokered talks are a good start, but breaking the impasse on the GERD reservoir’s fill rate is crucial to avoiding deep socioeconomic damage in Egypt and potential armed conflict.
Nov 12, 2019
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  • Mahmoud Farouk
Brief Analysis
The Counter-ISIS Coalition Has Much to Do After Baghdadi’s Death
From dissolving the group’s caliphate to killing its leader, the coalition has notched major achievements, but all that work may be for naught if the United States and other members do not renew their cooperation at the upcoming ministerial meeting.
Nov 7, 2019
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The U.S.: Between Being the World’s Policeman and Trusting Regional Partners
Despite long-documented public weariness with Middle East conflicts, Trump’s successor could well recognize the value of reestablishing American credibility in the region.
Oct 28, 2019
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Tunisians to Elect a New President
With no clear front-runner emerging and public disillusionment mounting, the struggling Arab democracy is transitioning from a period of consensus to uncertainty.
Sep 13, 2019
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  • Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
The Development of Tunisia’s Domestic Counter-Terrorism Finance Capability
The country is fast becoming a regional leader in meeting global CT norms, developing the necessary toolkits, and integrating its efforts with those of foreign governments.
Sep 10, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
Another Conference on Libya? Enforce the Arms Embargo Instead
Without a concerted international effort to ground UAVs and halt the flow of weapons, the UN will have minimal leverage to restart the country's long-stalled political transition.
Sep 9, 2019
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  • Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Egypt Takes Another Step Toward China
Port projects and other outreach may help President Sisi check off some of his policy goals, but giving China such a foothold could threaten a number of U.S. interests in the region.
Aug 19, 2019
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  • Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
Twenty Years Under King Mohammed VI (Part 2): Foreign Policy Developments
The king has invested considerable diplomatic capital in Africa, Europe, the United States, and China, but the longstanding Western Sahara dispute remains a source of tension with neighboring Algeria.
Jul 29, 2019
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  • Sarah Feuer
  • Reda Ayadi
Brief Analysis
Twenty Years Under King Mohammed VI (Part 1): Domestic Developments
America’s oldest Arab ally has made significant economic progress since 1999, but grievances regarding social issues and political reform continue to pose a challenge.
Jul 25, 2019
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  • Sarah Feuer
  • Reda Ayadi
Tunisian police guard the site of a terrorist attack - soucre: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Keeps Calm and Carries On After Latest Terrorist Attack
Links between this attack and older jihadist networks underscore the complex nature of Tunisian radicalization, even if suspicious government data trends seem to suggest the problem is diminishing.
Jul 3, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Now That Morsi Is Gone, Sisi Should Ease His Crackdown
The resilient Muslim Brotherhood is only feeding off Cairo’s repression campaign, which cannot ensure stability indefinitely given the government’s failures on other fronts.
Jun 21, 2019
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  • Barak Barfi
Brief Analysis
Death of Divisive Morsi Could Unite Egypt’s Opposition
His deep unpopularity made it difficult for many actors at home and abroad to criticize the current government, but Washington still stands to lose rather than gain if it comments on the matter.
Jun 20, 2019
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  • Haisam Hassanein

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Robert Satloff - source: The Washington Institute
Robert Satloff
Robert Satloff is the Segal Executive Director of The Washington Institute, a post he assumed in January 1993.
Ben Fishman
Ben Fishman
Ben Fishman is the Steven D. Levy Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on North Africa.
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