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Middle East

Policy Analysis on Middle East

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Middle East doctor, Turkish protestor, veiled voter
In-Depth Reports
A New Start for the U.S. on Mideast Democracy and Human Rights
In a region where publics are clamoring for healthcare, housing, jobs, and freedom of expression, progress toward electoral democracy need not always be the top priority.
Sep 19, 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
  • Robert Satloff
◆ Reform, Protest, Change
A Taliban fighter at a police station in Kabul
Articles & Testimony
How Not to Repeat My History with the Taliban
To avoid the worst outcomes, Washington needs to assiduously enforce any deals with the new Afghan leadership, cooperate effectively with other world powers, and explain to a domestic audience how the withdrawal will facilitate a focus on different priorities.
Sep 2, 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
Turkish National Security Council
In-Depth Reports
Deals, Drones, and National Will:
The New Era in Turkish Power Projection
Turkey has recently pushed the PKK fight from its own turf and blunted challenges in northern Syria, Azerbaijan, Libya, and the Gulf, all while strengthening its defense export sector.
Jul 9, 2021
◆
  • Rich Outzen
Rouhani, Putin, Erdogan
In-Depth Reports
Triangular Diplomacy:
Unpacking Russia's Syria Strategy
Moscow has repeatedly played actors off each other to secure its own interests and keep the Assad regime in power.
Jul 7, 2021
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Iraq protestors 2019
In-Depth Reports
Promoting Sovereignty and Accountability in Iraq:
Guidelines for the Biden Administration
The complexity of Iraq’s challenges might prompt some U.S. officials to balk, but a constructive policy can help advance both Iraqi and American interests in areas ranging from counterterrorism to economic development.
Jun 17, 2021
◆
  • Bilal Wahab
◆ Transition 2021
Erdogan pensive
In-Depth Reports
A Sultan in Autumn
Erdogan Faces Turkey's Uncontainable Forces
The unprecedented economic growth and personal popularity once enjoyed by the Turkish leader have given way to stagnation, a dwindling support base, and problems abroad.
Jun 6, 2021
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Stars: cracked earth climate change, U.S. military insignia, tankers, drone
In-Depth Reports
Beyond Forever Wars and Great Power Competition:
Rethinking the U.S. Military Role in the Middle East
To meet future security challenges, the United States will need to reassess how it deters adversaries and conducts security force assistance in the region, while becoming more proficient in gray zone operations and information activities. Addressing cultural factors and trends such as climate change will require solutions outside the traditional national security toolkit.
Jun 1, 2021
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
◆ Transition 2021
Natanz
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How Iran Employed Iraq's Muqawama in Its Post-Natanz Response
Militias falsely claimed attacks against Israeli and U.S. targets in retaliation for the nuclear incident, underlining how Tehran directs and coordinates each proxy's kinetic and information operations in a centralized manner.
May 3, 2021
◆
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
al-Sahaba Mosque, Darnah, Libya
In-Depth Reports
'A Caliphate That Gathered':
Addressing the Challenge of Jihadist Foreign Fighter Hubs
By devoting resources to areas of concentrated recruitment, the Biden administration can reduce the scope of future Middle East conflicts along with the likelihood that U.S. troops will once again be drawn into them.
Apr 15, 2021
◆
  • Nate Rosenblatt
Kokuka Courageous tanker, Gulf of Oman
In-Depth Reports
Deterring Iran in the Gray Zone
Insights from Four Decades of Conflict
The United States has repeatedly failed to understand the unique requirements of gray zone deterrence. A U.S. strategy would not only facilitate more successful diplomacy with Tehran but also enhance efforts to counter other actors such as China and Russia.
Apr 14, 2021
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Satellite map of wider Rea Sea with country names
In-Depth Reports
The Case for a Holistic U.S. Policy Toward the Emerging Red Sea Region
To promote stability and other U.S. interests, Washington must reshape its approach to this increasingly complex staging ground for global competition.
Apr 1, 2021
◆
  • Elana DeLozier
◆ Transition 2021
Soldiers in Africa, in Syria/Iraq, sensors, pen, other technology
In-Depth Reports
Rethinking U.S. Efforts on Counterterrorism:
Toward a Sustainable Plan Two Decades After 9/11
The shift away from a U.S.-led military posture will require that Washington repair its damaged credibility with allies abroad. A major task at home will be disentangling counterterrorism budgets from the military budgets on which they have long been grafted.
Mar 8, 2021
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
◆ Transition 2021
MbS, King Salman, Saudi map, fighter jet
In-Depth Reports
Defining a Mature, Balanced Relationship with Saudi Arabia
An Urgent Task for the Biden Administration
A revamped approach to the alliance should stay focused on shared goals, from ensuring a stable oil market to promoting a more tolerant version of Islam at home and abroad.
Feb 22, 2021
◆
  • Dennis Ross
  • Robert Satloff
◆ Transition 2021
Map of Israeli bilateral relationships with Arab states
In-Depth Reports
Building Bridges for Peace:
U.S. Policy Toward Arab States, Palestinians, and Israel
The Biden administration can succeed by strengthening and expanding Israeli normalization with Arab states and pursuing gradualism on the Palestinian issue.
Jan 26, 2021
◆
  • David Makovsky
◆ Transition 2021
Women with hands on hearts, Gilroy, California, vigil
In-Depth Reports
Counterterrorism Under the Trump Administration
A Fractured Response to a Diversified Threat
The administration's achievements were counterbalanced by a striking lack of alignment among three U.S. national security strategies and the discouraging rapid rise of far-right extremism at home.
Jan 7, 2021
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Iran warhead on Iran map
In-Depth Reports
The Coming Iran Nuclear Talks:
Openings and Obstacles
A reimagined approach to Iran nuclear talks could extend the country’s breakout time, preserve U.S. negotiating leverage, and strengthen American alliances in Europe and across the Middle East.
Jan 5, 2021
◆
  • Dennis Ross
◆ Transition 2021
HSI
Brief Analysis
The Counterterrorism Role of Homeland Security Investigations
Join a live webcast with a senior HSI official, a little-known agency with many unique authorities that is instrumental in solving numerous terrorism cases every year.
Nov 30, 2020
◆
  • Louis Rodi
Articles & Testimony
Bandar Speaks Out: The Changing Landscape in the Mideast
Palestinian leaders previously never had to acknowledge their mistakes or account for missed opportunities, preventing them from learning critical lessons and adjusting their behavior.
Oct 19, 2020
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Risks of the Palestinian Authority’s Outreach to Qatar and Turkey
Recent gestures, which have included reconciliation talks with Hamas, could strengthen the PA’s Gaza-based rival, further strain relations with its traditional Arab allies, and spur elections with destabilizing results.
Oct 13, 2020
◆
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Bahrain Move Toward Israel Risks Domestic Reaction
The announcement of a peace deal between Israel and Bahrain suggests that the Gulf island kingdom has reassessed the danger of opposition from both its majority Shia population and its Sunni community.
Sep 11, 2020
◆
  • Simon Henderson

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