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Policy Analysis on Middle East

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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Media and Official Reactions to Erdoğan’s Win
Considering Turkey’s pivotal role in the region and a number of current global issues, it’s no wonder that Arab media across the Middle East closely followed Turkey’s recent elections and speculated about the impact of the election results.
Jun 16, 2023
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  • Mohamed Abdelaziz
Army Day military parade, Tehran 2023
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Arming the Revolution:
Trends in Iranian Defense Spending, 2013–23
A close analysis suggests the United States must adopt a broader strategy to counter Iran’s military ambitions alongside its nuclear ones.
Jun 14, 2023
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  • Henry Rome
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Muslim Brotherhood: Organizational Crisis and Declining Capabilities
Once a dominant political movement, the Muslim Brotherhood's continual internal crises have caused the group to splinter and recede from the spotlight.
Jun 14, 2023
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  • Dr. Khairy Omar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Geopolitics and the Second Negev Summit
After months of delay, U.S. and Israeli government officials reportedly suggested that the second Negev Summit will proceed on June 25.
Jun 13, 2023
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  • Nashat Shawamreh
Salman Rushdie, attacker Hadi Matar, cell phone, Qasem Soleimani
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Is Iran Looking to Inspire Shia Homegrown Violent Extremist Attacks?
Amid a social media space rife with inflammatory content, two attacks last year showcased the willingness of Iran-inspired perpetrators to act.
Jun 12, 2023
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  • Moustafa Ayad
  • Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt: A National Dialogue or A Political Maneuver?
With key topics and figures excluded, Egypt's national dialogue is unlikely to achieve much in the way of reform.
Jun 9, 2023
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  • Dalia Ziada
Cairo Market Street
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egyptians Still Lukewarm on Mass Street Protests; U.S. Trails Russia and China as Overall Partner, But Edges Out Both as Security Partner
A new public opinion poll of Egyptian citizens, commissioned by the Washington Institute and conducted in late March/April by a regional commercial firm, showed that despite the current economic doldrums, street protests remained unpopular.
Jun 5, 2023
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  • Mohamed Abdelaziz
Brussels Conference
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Brussels Conference: An Opportunity to Inject Transparency into Syrian Earthquake Aid
With a focus on "the future of Syria," the Brussels Conference can be a platform through which Western and Arab countries can coordinate aid to Syria in an era of normalization.
Jun 2, 2023
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  • Bassam Barabandi
Ras al-Ain
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Border of the EU Starts at Syria’s M4
Driven by forced conscription, economic deterioration, and lack of opportunities, Syrians are increasingly crossing the M4 in northern Syria on their journey to Europe.
May 26, 2023
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  • Rena Netjes
Supporters of Iraqi Shia cleric Moqtada al-Sadr gather during a sit-in, inside the parliament building in Baghdad - source: Reuters
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Are Sadr’s Plans for the Elections in Iraq?
Although the Sadrist Movement withdrew from politics, participating in the upcoming provincial elections would provide them with critical momentum that they don't want to miss out on.
May 24, 2023
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  • Feyzullah Tuna Aygün
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Saudi Opinion Poll Shows 40 Percent Still Back Some Ties with Israel; Three-Fourths Say Rocket Fire Against Israel Will Have Negative Effects
A rare public opinion poll in Saudi Arabia, commissioned by the Washington Institute and conducted in March/April 2023 by a reputable regional firm, reveals an intriguing mix of attitudes—some in line with emerging Saudi government policies; others, not so much.
May 15, 2023
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Preserving U.S. Military Advantages in the Middle East
In areas such as basing, air superiority, high-tech weapons, and intelligence, America must act assertively to maintain its edge against competitors like Russia and China.
May 14, 2023
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  • Nathan P. Olsen
GCC
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Syria’s Normalization and the GCC: Adjusting to A New Modus Vivendi
Though GCC member states may disagree on Syria's normalization, the collective memory of past conflicts and the desire for regional stability will likely override internal divisions.
May 10, 2023
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  • Leonardo Jacopo Maria Mazzucco
Ships and a drilling platform in the Aphrodite offshore gas field near Cyprus
Brief Analysis
Increased Drilling Raises Hopes for East Mediterranean Natural Gas Production
Activity in Cyprus and Lebanon could have significant implications for regional energy and diplomacy.
May 10, 2023
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  • Simon Henderson
Saudi crown prince Muhammad bin Salman, President Biden, Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu (with backdrop of national flags)
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Saudi Normalization with Israel, Domestic 'Transformation,' and U.S. Policy
A near-term breakthrough may be unlikely, but President Biden is well positioned to apply his energy toward negotiating a historic deal that establishes peace and advances American interests.
May 1, 2023
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  • Robert Satloff
Bafel Talabani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Roots of the Rift between Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan's PUK
The tensions between Turkey and the PUK are not new, though recent actions by both sides have exacerbated the situation despite shared economic interests.
Apr 28, 2023
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  • Mehmet Alaca
Photo of an oil facility in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
KRG Oil and the Slipping Dream of Financial Independence
Following the ICC's decision, the KRG has limited options in its fight for financial independence from Baghdad.
Apr 6, 2023
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  • Nawras Jaff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Surging Violence: Hamas Attempts to Reshape the West Bank’s Political Landscape
With an opportunity to subtly expand its influence in the West Bank, Hamas is less likely to risk an all-out war with Israel from Gaza as they did in 2021.
Apr 5, 2023
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  • Nasser Khdour
Lebanon Flag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Can Federalism Work in Lebanon?
For those promoting federalism in Lebanon, a historical analysis of the country's geographic and ethnosectarian divisions demonstrates the necessity of inclusive discussion and collective engagement.
Mar 20, 2023
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  • Robert Rabil
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Iraqis View Life after the Fall of Saddam—Twenty Years Ago and Today
Two decades after the fall of Saddam Hussein, widespread frustration with the current state of Iraq is leading increasing numbers to express a negative view of life in the post-Saddam era.
Mar 19, 2023
◆
  • Munqith Dagher

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