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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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Brief Analysis
Iran May Double Down on Foreign Militias After Its 'Victory' Against the Islamic State
The Islamic Republic's self-declared triumphs in Syria and Iraq could embolden it to expand the role of its "International Basij" and build more-formidable proxies in Afghanistan, Yemen, and other locales.
Dec 6, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Possible Iranian Links to the Claimed Houthi Missile Launch Against the UAE
Early signs indicate that the rebels may have attempted to strike an Emirati nuclear site with an Iranian cruise missile -- a claim that could heighten international pressure on Tehran and raise the stakes of the regional conflict if confirmed.
Dec 4, 2017
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
The Regional Dimensions of Hariri's Resignation: Will Iran and Hizballah Compromise?
The prime minister's move was only a temporary setback for Tehran and its chief proxy, whose foothold in Lebanon and the wider Middle East is strong enough to withstand Saudi pressure for the foreseeable future.
Nov 28, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
In-Depth Reports
Beyond Islamists and Autocrats:
Prospects for Political Reform Post Arab Spring
The compiled series provides a timely country-by-country guidebook for engaging non-Islamist, pluralistically inclined actors in North Africa, the Gulf, and the Levant.
Nov 27, 2017
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  • David Schenker
  • Sarah Feuer
  • Vish Sakthivel
  • John P. Entelis
  • Simon Henderson
  • Nathaniel Rabkin
  • Nadia al-Sakkaf
  • Eric Trager
  • Hala Aldosari
  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • James Bowker
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • David Pollock
  • Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
Saudi 'Purge' a Re-Branding Attempt to Launch a 'Second Kingdom'
Most royal family members understand that the crown prince is merely trying to stave off potential unrest, so U.S. critics should reconsider their objections to his recent moves.
Nov 19, 2017
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  • Haisam Hassanein
  • Wesam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
Survey Research in the Middle East Needs to Be Transparent. Here's Why.
In a region where social taboos and fears of government surveillance persist, independent, unofficial pollsters offer the best path to credible findings.
Nov 16, 2017
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Competing Visions for the Arab Future
The worldview embraced by Qatar holds that political Islamists deserve support, but Saudi Arabia and the UAE have coalesced in opposition to this fundamental premise.
Nov 14, 2017
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  • David B. Roberts
Brief Analysis
Bahrain Pipeline Explosion Seen as a Warning from Iran
The incident, a few miles from the headquarters of the U.S. Fifth Fleet, could portend escalating regional tensions.
Nov 14, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia's War on Lebanon
In seeking to combat Iranian influence, Riyadh could undermine an already vulnerable Lebanese economy and threaten the country's tenuous calm.
Nov 13, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Meet the Next Generation of Saudi Rulers
Muhammad bin Salman knows he can't rule alone -- which is why he's been quietly cultivating a group of young princes to serve his agenda.
Nov 10, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
How the War in Yemen Explains the Future of Saudi Arabia
Instead of viewing Yemen as a poor peripheral country of little strategic importance, the Saudis seem to see it as a dagger aimed at their heart, with Iran holding the hilt.
Nov 8, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Countering Iran's Missile Proliferation in Yemen
Tehran is using the Houthis to test President Trump's resolve, as mounting evidence shows that it is helping the rebels build long-range missiles capable of hitting Gulf capitals.
Nov 8, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Prime Minister Resigns: What's Next?
Hariri's announcement could make Hezbollah and its Iranian patron more vulnerable to international pressure, particularly if the upcoming parliamentary elections do not go their way.
Nov 6, 2017
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia's 'Anti-Corruption' Purge
The shocking spate of high-profile arrests will strengthen the crown prince's political position, but the shakeup raises new concerns about the speed and style of change in the kingdom.
Nov 6, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
How a New Initiative Could Pave the Way to Gulf Reconciliation
One designation in particular by the Terrorist Financing Targeting Center suggests a foundation for better ties between Qatar and the GCC countries with which it has feuded.
Oct 30, 2017
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Trump Placing Heavy Focus on Yemen in the Campaign to Counter Iran
Given the maritime and missile threats posed by Iranian-backed Houthi rebels, senior U.S. officials have indicated that the White House will continue expanding its assistance to the Saudi-led coalition.
Oct 20, 2017
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  • Jay Solomon
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Saudi Royal Transition: Why, What, and When?
Speculation is widespread that King Salman may soon abdicate in favor of Crown Prince Muhammad, but that is just one of several possible options.
Oct 18, 2017
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Will Russian-Saudi Relations Continue to Improve?
Putin's recent summit with the Saudi leader is another diplomatic coup for the Kremlin, but it does not mark a fundamental shift in Russia's calculus on Iran or other regional issues.
Oct 10, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
King Salman's Moscow Visit Overshadowed by Past Tensions
The two countries have found themselves at odds on several decades' worth of regional issues, but Riyadh may finally be coming around to Moscow's views on Syria, energy, and trade.
Oct 4, 2017
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Survey: Qatari Public Wants Compromise, Not Iran's Help
The findings strongly suggest that, to maintain his popularity, the emir should seek a middle-ground exit from Qatar's standoff with other Arab states.
Oct 2, 2017
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  • David Pollock

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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