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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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Brief Analysis
Border Fight Could Shift Saudi Arabia's Yemen War Calculus
The mounting risk of a mass-casualty missile strike in southern Saudi Arabia should intensify U.S. efforts to deescalate the war.
Dec 6, 2016
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  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Responding to Iran's Arms Smuggling in Yemen
Tehran is ramping up its sanction-busting military support to the Houthis, necessitating a coordinated international response to close off Red Sea access to antigovernment forces.
Dec 2, 2016
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iraq Can't Commit to OPEC's Oil Output Deal
Despite pressure from OPEC to cap its oil production, the Iraqi government can neither afford a cut nor enforce it upon the Kurdistan Regional Government.
Nov 29, 2016
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  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Kuwait's Snap Election Revives Parliamentary Opposition, But Not Reform
While the new legislature is hardly a harbinger of deep reform, broader inclusiveness, or greater personal freedoms, it should be considered another welcome exception to the 'rule' that Arab democracy tends to produce instability, Islamist control, or sectarian oppression.
Nov 28, 2016
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  • David Pollock
OPEC flag
Brief Analysis
OPEC Meeting Is More About Regional Rivalry Than Production Cuts
Saudi Arabia's reluctance to show weakness toward Iran likely means no real agreement will result from this week's OPEC meeting.
Nov 28, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Narratives of Reform in the UAE
UAE success stories are legion: Vast oil resources have made the United Arab Emirates one of the wealthiest states per capita in the world. Emirati rulers have pursued economic and social development projects of epic proportions, and citizen support for the country's leadership is believed to be high. Yet, when
Nov 21, 2016
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  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Articles & Testimony
Humanitarian Crisis in Yemen
If the United States more openly addressed the wider strategic threat posed by Iran's role in Yemen, it could convince its allies in the Saudi-led coalition to modify their controversial military tactics, reduce civilian suffering, and support a serious peace effort.
Nov 17, 2016
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  • James Jeffrey
Video
Brief Analysis
A New President and the Middle East
How will the election's outcome shape the direction of U.S. Middle East policy, and how do America's friends in the region view the prospect of a new administration? Read or watch a conversation between leading Middle Eastern journalists and U.S. policy experts.
Nov 15, 2016
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  • Jamal Khashoggi
  • Jumana Ghunaimat
  • David Horovitz
  • Norman Ornstein
  • Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Beyond Syria and Iraq:
Examining Islamic State Provinces
As an idea, the Islamic State has gone global, attracting far more foreign terrorist fighters than all previous jihadist conflicts combined. But as a so-called state or "caliphate," how successful has it really been at expanding its global footprint through the establishment of "provinces" around the world? And what will
Nov 9, 2016
Articles & Testimony
3 Factors for the U.S. to Consider in Assessing Iran’s Role in Yemen Attacks
Publicly blaming Tehran for the recent missile strikes would be a serious matter, so U.S. officials need to go through several preparatory steps before deciding whether that is the best course of action.
Oct 26, 2016
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  • Michael Singh
Qatari leader Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Gulf Succession: Qatar's Model Could Be a Way Forward
With most of the leaders of the conservative Arab Gulf states old or in poor health, abdication in favor of a younger generation may invigorate moribund hereditary leaderships, though a one-size-fits-all solution is not feasible.
Oct 25, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Does the Execution of Saudi Prince Turki Signal Progress in the Gulf Kingdom?
The punishment of a single, almost irrelevant, prince is unlikely to change the world's view that Saudi royals are a law unto themselves.
Oct 21, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Future of Arab Reform: Beyond Autocrats and Islamists
A State Department official discusses why overcoming cynicism and encouraging reform in the Middle East remains a crucial part of America's role as defender of the international system.
Oct 20, 2016
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  • Tom Malinowski
Articles & Testimony
How to End Saudi Arabia's War of Paranoia
Repartitioning Yemen into separate northern and southern entities may be the only way to resolve its brutal war and beat back its al-Qaeda franchise.
Oct 20, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Death of a Prince
Speculation that the execution of a minor prince means greater accountability in Saudi Arabia is almost certainly misplaced.
Oct 19, 2016
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
A Familiar Pattern in Egypt's Spat with Saudi Arabia
Cairo has sought to placate Saudi and American officials while reaching out to their respective adversaries in Damascus and Moscow, but this balancing act may soon topple if Riyadh and Washington withhold crucial funding.
Oct 18, 2016
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  • Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
How Iran's Involvement in Yemen Could Draw America into the War
Along with Iran's heightened anti-American rhetoric and local naval deployments, the recent Houthi missile attacks against U.S. vessels raise fears that Tehran's clients may take the war into a new and more dangerous phase.
Oct 17, 2016
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Missile Attacks on the USS Mason: Principles to Guide a U.S. Response
After three antishipping attacks in two weeks by Iranian-backed Houthi rebels, Washington should take firm steps to prevent this from becoming the new normal off Yemen's coast.
Oct 12, 2016
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  • Jeremy Vaughan
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Houthi Antishipping Attacks in the Bab al-Mandab Strait
Yemeni rebels successfully attacked a UAE military vessel with what appeared to be an Iranian cruise missile, raising the need for a stronger U.S. role in the strategic waterway.
Oct 6, 2016
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  • Alex Almeida
  • Jeremy Vaughan
  • Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Mideast Meets Far East: Why the Next U.S. President Can't 'Pivot to Asia'
What binds Saudi Arabia with Japan, of course, and increasingly separates it from the U.S., is oil. Saudi Arabia is by far the world’s largest exporter of it; Japan is one of the largest importers.
Oct 4, 2016
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  • David Pollock

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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